[aafx]

who do you want Garcia and Konta to be in 2025, someone snatching the last spot from another?

I don't have a preference but it would be fun to see Tauson snatch that spot from Jess, for ex, as it would be her first time and we kind of need new players in the YEC.

EDIT: I regret saying such things, lol

 

[SerenasAngles]

Rybakina will be in a tough spot if she flops Cincy and US Open - all her tournament slots are already filled, and she will have a hard time gaining points - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_WTA_Finals#Singles_2

At least she has a SF to show for Montreal. Hopefully she plays well in Cincinnati and at the USO.

 

[Smarter Force]

I have a feeling Osaka will be the 8th spot, aka the Garcia of 2025

 

[Hanan Ubis]

Osaka and Mboko are at 21 and 24 respectively now after Montreal... so they have an outside shot of making it without winning USO, but of course are both not in Cincy so it will decrease their chances a little.

 

[Samsonite]

I have a feeling Osaka will be the 8th spot, aka the Garcia of 2025

Osaka looks done for the season. It might take months to regroup from that lost final.

 

[Smarter Force]

Osaka looks done for the season. It might take months to regroup from that lost final.

I don’t think so. It was the moment of weakness, her game is looking well. Wiktorowski won’t cope with crap for long so I’m hopeful he’s gonna keep her in check.

 

[SerenasAngles]

Osaka and Mboko are at 21 and 24 respectively now after Montreal... so they have an outside shot of making it without winning USO, but of course are both not in Cincy so it will decrease their chances a little.

Naomi’s not playing Cincinnati now?

 

[MorganD]

Rybakina's base level is quite something, isn't it. Quietly putting together a pretty strong US season so far with two SFs in a row, and yet everyone, including me, is disappointed in her results and level of play.

On top of that, she's still very much in contention to make YEC with a VERY subpar year when it comes to her level of play, I don't know if I should be frustrated or hopeful about the future if/when her level picks back up.

 

[guichard]

 

[Hanan Ubis]

For reference, this was the points breakdown last year

1 Saba 9016
2 Swia 7970
3 Gauf 5230
4 Paol 5144
5 Ryba 4971
6 Pegu 4705
7 Zhen 4540
(+ Krejcikova)


As it stands we will see Saba+Swia+Gauf this year with the addition of Keys+Andreeva+(maybe)Anisimova and two of Paol+Ryba+Pegu, maybe three depending on Anisimova or anyone else on the outside.

 

[gbar23]

Iga qualifies for the YEC

 

[guichard]

 

[Green Unicorn]

The queen of clay sounds a little silly given she was more like the jester of the clay court this year

 

[Mangelwurzel]

After yesterday's semis' the pointgap is smaller between #6 Anisimova and #9 Paolini than between #9 P. and #10 Svitolina. The competition for the last few spots is getting tighter than lycra.

 

[Hanan Ubis]

odds lengthen for Svitolina and Tauson (and Shnaider) with a 1r USO loss

 

[SerenasAngles]

Coco’s now pretty much a lock having crossed the 5000 point mark after her R1 win.

 

[Hanan Ubis]

Coco’s now pretty much a lock having crossed the 5000 point mark after her R1 win.

pretty much 4 spots left barring anything crazy (e.g. Bencic/Navarro/Alexandrova wins USO and ends up #9 and Keys #10)

Withdrawals could also come into play

 

[SerenasAngles]

Coco less than 1K points away from qualifying. Big gap between her and numbers 5-10.

 

[Samsonite]

I thought Mirra was safe but looking at the race Rybakina, Pegula, Anisimova and Paolini are close so not a given. The first three can keep winning rounds at USO! And we could even have a shock USO winner to spice things up

She has barely won points since Wimbledon and is not playing smaller tournaments to build some margin. Hmmm...

 

[guichard]

I thought Mirra was safe but looking at the race Rybakina, Pegula, Anisimova and Paolini are close so not a given. The first three can keep winning rounds at USO! And we could even have a shock USO winner to spice things up

She has barely won points since Wimbledon and is not playing smaller tournaments to get build some margin. Hmmm...

Yeah Andreeva can drop to 7 or 8 after USO