Tennis Forum banner

Best Years With Suprisingly Low Rankings

3.5K views 54 replies 27 participants last post by  .28707  
#1 ·
Serena's win over Rodionova today got me thinking about her consistency over the past year, and her ranking outside the Top Ten.

I find it sort of ridiculous. She's played twelve tournaments - she won the biggest tournament outside the Majors at Miami. She lost in the quarterfinals of the four other Majors, Rome, and Stuttgart, finals in Moscow, and now the semifinals in Bangalore.

It got me thinking about other players who have had low rankings, but their results say otherwise.

Anybody else have other ideas?
 
#51 ·
As long as Marion Bartoli is in the top ten, someone else deserves to be there. I'd say Serena has at least as good a claim to that spot as anyone else.

In general, the sisters are underranked because they don't play often. I'd say Venus is about right at the moment, but Serena's low.
 
#10 ·
Yea enter Nicole.....her slams were SF,QF,QF and 3rd...plus she consistently reached QF or better in 6 of the other 8 events she played(all Tier 2 or above) yet she ended at 12 last year!
 
#4 ·
quarterfinals in a slam really isnt a "Great" result when you dont play anywhere else... if you think that means you're 1 of 8 girls to get to that round or better... essentially she would be "top 8 if thats all the points you get, but its not... If you notice theres a big drop off between top 8 and 9 as far as points. like 500 i think or somethin like that.... that dif is Serenas lack or other tournaments...
 
#11 ·
You people like to pick and choose parts of others' posts.

I said that she had great results, yes. But, I did not mention only Majors.

WON - Miami (I)
QF - Rome (I)
QF - Paris (GS)
QF - Wimbledon (GS)
QF - New York (GS)
QF - Stuttgart (II)
F - Moscow (I)

Those are some terrific results for someone who ISN'T RANKED IN THE TOP TEN, is what I've been saying. I can't think of any other players in the past five years who have had that type of record and not been in the top ten - maybe Davenport in '02.
 
#7 ·
Miami isn't the biggest outside the slams-- that was Madrid. Serena didn't win a match there.
Miami is harder to win than Madrid. The players are fresh and the field is usually complete. Also, you lose once and you're out. It's called the 5th slam for a reason.
 
#6 ·
BTW... last week Serena is only player in TOP10 which not have any "atleast SF" result in her ranking record (now its Dementieva which overtake Ree).
 
#8 ·
The YEC is better to win in terms of quality of tournament, but yes I think Miami is perhaps more difficult to win.

Anyway, Serena had a good year-end ranking of 7 last year, her best since 2004. This was because she finally, for the first time since 04, was playing consistent tennis everywhere. It would have been nice to see her beat Henin in one of those Slam QF's, but at least she was getting to those stages instead of losing 3R to the Craybases of the tour. Apart from tournaments she had to retire from, she reached the QF everywhere else. That is what it takes to maintain top 10.

She didn't get any higher though, because Henin, Kuznetsova, Jankovic, Ivanovic etc. were better throughout the year and were playing and winning in more events. So they fully deserved to be there.
 
#13 ·
And this is a year when many top tournaments went to one player. I can imagine that in a more competitive year the players just outside the top 10 had even better results in the past 12 months.
 
#14 ·
For example, if we look at Seles' '00-'01 seasons.

Monica reached the four GS QFs, like Serena. She won one title (Tier II, Oklahoma City) compared to Serena's Miami. She reached the QFs in Sydney and the SF in Stanford and Scottsdale. She did reach the finals of three tournaments, which is what makes her year better...but still. She was ranked #4 at one point. So, 11 spots ahead of Serena? By only playing three more tournaments? Oh, and Serena even had a better win-loss percentage.
 
#28 ·
This is a bad example. Pre-2006 the WTA used quality points. There could even be a 200 point difference between two of the semifinalists at a grand slam, whereas now they just go by tournament points. I'm sure Serena had beaten good players at a GS but got no quality points, whereas Monica did and every pre-2006 player example did.

I understand why they got rid of the quality points, but I wish they'd bring it back....then Serena's ranking would probably be better than players like Bartoli, b/c she had a better and consistent GS and Miami record with better quality points.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sir Stefwhit
#16 ·
I get the observation Geisha is making and it's a good one. I challenge anyone to find a player on tour, past or present, that made four consecutive grandslam QFs and wasn't ranked in the top ten. Good luck with that! I think that's the point the thread starter was trying to make, she's not saying that Serena should be ahead of the other girls who play more of a full schedule- or that Serena doesn't deserve her ranking. She's just saying that the results don't mirror the ranking. And after you go searching you'll see that almost every player, with the exception of Serena, that has showed that kind of consistency in the slams always has a higher ranking. Instead some of you are too hung up on trying say that her results "really" aren't that great...

The truth is it's unusual for a player to have that kind of consistency in the slams and not have a top ten ranking. Of course her ranking makes perfect sense when we take into account the amount of tournaments she's played. Players that show that kind of consistency in the slams sually have better results in the smaller tournaments as well.

The logical thinking is that if you're good enough to show that kind of consistency in the slams, then you should be good enough to win more titles- easier titles, at the Tier 2s and Tier 1 events.

So again, the threadstarter is wondering if there are other players that have had good results where the ranking doesn't really show it. I'd venture to guess that it usually happens the other way around.

Most of the time a player has that 'surprise result', whether it's QF or a SF at a slam, the final of a Tier 1, or a Tier 2 title, and as a result their rankings skyrockets. The ranking becomes over inflated and doesn't really represent the player accurately. It's like that one fluke good result is an anomaly but caries with it enough weight to distort that players ranking.

In Serena's case it's the opposite, but again, it's no mystery why. It's interesting nonetheless though. Then again, you could make the argument that her consistency in the slams was the very thing that allowed her to remain in the top ten without defending her slam win from the previous year. For the most part, she was able to keep her top ten ranking for a while on the strength of her consistency in the slams and Miami.
 
#19 ·
THANK YOU for finally getting the point of the thread across.

I agree, it is an interesting question. I'm trying to think of players that played the slams almost exclusively at some point, but it's not a large list.

The closest I can think of is Seles ending 2002 ranked #7 despite reaching 4 straight slam quarters (one of them being a semifinal). Ten years earlier, Capriati was ranked #8 with 4 straight slam quarters (one of them being a semifinal) right after the '92 Wimbledon. Less impressive but kind of similar, Kournikova being ranked #12 in spite of 4 straight 4th rounds at slams.

It's unrelated, but in the process of finding players in similar situations I just saw Sabatini's 1987 results, and boy did that have to be frustrating. She went on something like a 20-3 run between the US Open and the end of the year, and she rose a total of one spot in the rankings, from #7 to #6.

Another unrelated but odd thing: Pam Shriver played the French Open six times, winning the doubles title four of those times. But in spite of being a top 10 or top 20 singles player for about 12 years, she only played in the French Open singles draw twice! She was THERE for the event four additional, but didn't want to play the singles! How bizarre is that?
 
#18 ·
Serena has a relatively low ranking because obviously she's not playing that much at all. If she were to play a full schedule, without getting injured (which is virtually impossible) I have no doubt that she'd be #1 by like 3000 points, if that's possible...

Yes when Serena is well, she hardly has any freak losses...in fact, she's had hardly any freak losses altogether (apart from the 2005-2006 period, where she was practically playing injured for those whole to years). Serena is actually very consistent, unlike Venus.

Hopefully her ranking will inflate again after she plays and wins a couple of more tournaments. I just wish she will meet Henin in Miami so she can have revenge.
 
#27 ·
More points need to be placed on GS results I think. Granted, Serena doesn't play much apart from the slams, but it speaks volumes when Daniela Hantuchova (pre-AO 08) can be in the top 10 without making a single GS QF for a few years, and Serena was barely hanging onto the top 10 with extremely consistent and impressive slam results.
 
#29 ·
The rankings are a complete mess,The current players are so pathetic that anyone knows that other than sharapova or henin, the williams are the only ones with a chance to win a slam no matter their ranking, I miss Kim who would make short work of this so called top ten with then losing in the final.
 
#33 ·
This is just another "Grand Slams are the only tournaments that matter" thread. Just because she reached four QFs doesn't mean she automatically belongs in the top 10. Sure it might not have happened in the past (playing only 12 tournaments a year is also quite new) but that's really not some amazing discovery. It's just logic.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sir Stefwhit
#35 ·
This is just another "Grand Slams are the only tournaments that matter" thread. Just because she reached four QFs doesn't mean she automatically belongs in the top 10. Sure it might not have happened in the past (playing only 12 tournaments a year is also quite new) but that's really not some amazing discovery. It's just logic.
It's not really new. Graf used to do it quite often. (94, 95, 96 played 13, 11, and 11 tournaments respectively) That's not the point of this thread though.

I find this thread interesting because there are a lot of instances where one player gets easy draws in a big event and can rack up the points while another does consistently better at events but gets a tough draw or the rankings don't reflect the consistency, especially at the big events.

I think we're going to see discrepancies more and more now that quality points are gone. For example, with Serena, if she wins today, then she gets about as many points for her Tier II F in Bangalore that someone got in Dubai. That's ridiculous when you look at the quality of the draws. Players are going to take advantage of weak draws at Tier Is and Tier IIs and roll up their ranking points because two players who play an equal number of events but one wins Bangalore and Charleston, and the other wins Dubai and Rome will get the same amount of points.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Sir Stefwhit
#37 ·
People the bottom line is obvious.....the more tournaments you play the more points you have.Sure Steffi only played 13,12 and 11 events those respective years,but how many of those did she win.....exactly.A player simply cant play just 12 or so events and expect to be in top 10 when you arent winning(or atleast gettin to final ) of atleast 50% of those 12.
Besides Serena was high as 6 at one point last year!!!!!! Now she's 11 and people trip yet look at her last 52 weeks.....One win,one final and like 6 QF's....and you all expect that to get you in the top 10!!!!!!
 
#39 ·
shes ranked where she belongs. getting to a slam qtr final is good but can be done without facing a top 20 player. lena d (#11) had to beat the #12 player in the world just to make the 2nd round in dubai, that would never happen at a slam, it could only happen in the 4th round.

slam seedings protect the higher ranked players way too much, thus a player can play well/ok and reach qtr finals without beating anyone of significance.
 
#54 ·
Best 10 with no mandatory events. I only calculated the top 11. There's really not much difference except that players with big slam results get a little bump.

1. Henin-5260
2. Ivanovic-3555
3. Sharapova-3395
4. Kuznetsova-3000
5. Jankovic-2920
6. Venus-2505
7. Chakvetadze-2375
8. Serena-2295
9. Hantuchova-2230
10. Bartoli-1900
11. Dementieva-1745