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TF's Only Vögele Stan
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^whoa. Only 14 high-ranking showdowns for the whole year!

I assume this is partly due to the epidemic of early exits and withdrawals, and partly to the "only GS matter" mindset.
 

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TF's Only Vögele Stan
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5,649 Posts
So, it's more to do with the fact that the top of the tree (Woz aside) has been lopped off.

Boyle's Law says that vacuums get filled. It won't stay like this.

Interesting analysis.
 

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TF's Only Vögele Stan
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5,649 Posts
Fascinating stuff - you've outdone yourself this time.

So Kerber was the longest ELO shot for an AO winner since Capriati's first one in '01. Makes sense - just ask Misaki Doi.
And Serena in '15 was as close to a living certainty as a 128-player field could ever realistically get.

The "should have" figures for Woz, Simona, Aga & JJ do back up TF's endless teasing about them being relative underachievers so far.
But Svetlana is in an identical boat, and somehow escapes the same ridicule.
 
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