I can easily build you several scenarios that would lead to just that, without any extraordinary events. Kim's Summer points are the following:disposablehero said:
No she isn't. However, she does have 12 less tournaments than Kim and 7 less titles. See, here's the thing. The Williams have always gotten good chunks of their points from the August hardcourt season. This year, nothing. So barring a radical increase of schedule during other parts of the season, they won't get those points back until August. If Kim wins the US Open, she will have the #1 ranking virtually uncontested until at least Roland Garros. She has 3 rivals for that ranking right now. The most dangerous is dug into a huge hole because she will have no points for the US Open or the 5 important events before it, and by the time she has a chance to catch up she will be defending winners points from Wimbledon. Next is Justine. A threat to take #1 from Kim? Yes. In fact the only threat for the next 6 months. But if she can't do it by April, then she can't do it. Finally, Venus. Has to win the US Open to even be in the mix. Even that would get her not immediately closer to Kim if Kim is the losing Finalist. Thing is, yes, Venus will eventually have some opportunities to gain some ground on Kim. But Kim has a chance at Us Open to stretch the margin WIDER, and is guaranteed to unless Venus wins the title.Knizzle said:
Great. now how many of these Slams did the WS lose in the QF of, which will allow them that big 850 point bump next year? And are they both going to win each Slam, or will there only be one winner for each?TennisPower said:
explain to me how Justine can be number 1 until after the French Open but Serena will go into Wimbledon number 1. Serena has not recently played any tournament between Roland Garros and Wimbledon, so if she does the same next year and Justine is still number 1 after Roland Garros (which she SHOULD win again), Justine would still be number one until after Wimbledon.Knizzle said:
You have it all twisted with points to defend. First, you've got to consider the sisters seperately. Secondly, it's almost a full year between now and WB-04; those 850 pts in Kim's advantage can easily be absorbed. Didn't she lose to Lina lately? That shows she can lose early just as anyone else, thereby receding point-wise with respect to her competitors.disposablehero said:
I agree with most of this, but Serena will probably be close enough to Clijsters to take over the #1 if Serena wins the French. I don't expect there to be big gaps between the 1-4 by the French Open. I expect the #1-4 rankings to change hands alot in 2004, but I don't expect either WS to get it until after the French Open.disposablehero said:
