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Art & Futures
20,902 Posts
Discussion Starter #1
Before the RG Draw, generally, I was thinking....

Biggest Threats To Win the Title:
Justine - Top Half
Serena - Top Half

Threats to Win the Title/Get to the Final:
Jelena - Top Half
Svetlana Kuznetsova - Bottom Half

Ready to Do Some Damage
Nicole Vaidisova - Top Half
Venus Williams - Top Half
Ana Ivanovic - Bottom Half

Ready to Do Some Damage but Rusty
Amelie Mauresmo - Bottom Half
Maria Sharapova - Bottom Half
Patty Schnyder - Bottom Half

Other Wildcards w/ previous history
Nadia Petrova - Top Half (eliminated)
Elena Dementieva - Top Half
Anastasia Myskina - Bottom Half (eliminated)

Others who can be dangerous
Dinara Safina - Top Half
Shahar Peer - Bottom Half
Lucie Safarova - Bottom Half
Anna Chakvetadze - Bottom Half

So everytime I look at the draw I can't get over how unbalanced it seems and how wide open the Bottom Half Seems. After some players like Myskina and Petrova have been eliminated, it seems like the only thing stopping Schnyder, Sharapova, Mauresmo, and Ivanovic from getting to that Final other than poor play on their part is Svetlana Kuznetsova, whereas on the top half you have Vaidisova, Venus, Serena, Justine, & Jelena all cramping each other's faces. What do you guys think?

these were the odds according to (before FO started)
Justine Henin: 11/8
Serena Williams: 7/2
Jelena Jankovic: 7/1
Amelie Mauresmo: 9/1
Svetlana Kuznetsova: 10/1
Maria Sharapova: 11/1
Nadia Petrova: 20/1
Venus Williams: 22/1
Ana Ivanovic: 22/1
Nicole Vaidisova: 25/1
Shahar Peer: 40/1
Anna Chakvetadze: 50/1
Dinara Safina: 50/1
Lucie Safarova: 66/1
Elena Dementieva: 66/1
Vera Zvonareva: 80/1
Daniela Hantuchova: 100/1

Patty isn't even in there and Golovin had odds too.

11,058 Posts
I think it's why they have the saying "the luck of the draw". If this was the draw for the Australian Open there wouldn't be much issue because you would have Mauresmo, Sharapova and Kuznetsova as big contenders and an out of form Serena and Venus and a nobody Jankovic. If anything the bottom would probably be viewed as stronger.

Now those players are out of form/injured and it makes the draw easier. it's no conspiracy though.

115,300 Posts
We all knew that when the draw came out. It was the same thing last year. I saw the draw and said in Sveta's thread that she has a great chance at the final. Same thing this year, she's in with Amelie and Sharapova, who do their worst at RG.

10,190 Posts
I would put Dementieva over Sharapova and Schnyder but you're so right. It's really uneven.
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