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We may assume the cutoff ranking of the AO 2019 Quali to be 231 ± 3 (95 %CL). And ranking at 253 in the alt list has the chance moving to the QD in the *end.


The Australian Open Quali Cutoff ranking could be evaluated by the formula

Qcutoff = #MD + #QD - #Qualifier - #QWC

with the assumption that

a) no. of injury/illness/pregnancy/retirement/banned etc. = no. of protect rankings
b) All MDWCs are eligible in Q draw.



For the 2019 AO
Qcutoff = 128 + 128 - 16 - 9 = 231

For the AO 2018 and before
Qcutoff = 128 + 96 - 12 - 8 = 204

Checking the cuoff history

 

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it is theoretically possible that players like Friedsam or Rogers use their PR to enter the qualies although they might have entered the MD
 

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Situation for Q-list, last IN Grymalska without considering possible SRs (I corrected with info you guys gave me :) )

Shadow Q-list Name ShadowPTS WtaPTS

215 105 XU Shilin (CHN) 272 272
216 106 HAAS Barbara (AUT) 270 270
217 107 ZANEVSKA Maryna (BEL) 269 269
218 108 HAN Na-Lae (KOR) 268 268
219 109 GATTO-MONTICONE Giulia (ITA) 267 267
220 110 HIVES Zoe (AUS) 267 267
221 111 ABANDA Francoise (CAN) 265 265
222 112 PAQUET Chloe (FRA) 263 263
223 113 LU Jia-Jing (CHN) 263 263
224 114 ZARYCKA Anastasia (CZE) 263 263
225 115 XUN Fang-Ying (CHN) 262 284
226 116 SERBAN Raluca (CYP) 261 276
227 117 LEMOINE Quirine (NED) 258 262
228 118 HIBI Mayo (JPN) 257 257
229 119 GRYMALSKA Anastasia (ITA) 254 262
----------------------------------------
230 alt 1 SHARMA Astra (AUS) 249 256
231 alt 2 KARATANTCHEVA Sesil (BUL) 249 249
232 alt 3 ZHANG Yuxuan (CHN) 249 249
233 alt 4 STOJANOVIC Nina (SRB) 246 246
234 alt 5 CABRERA Lizette (AUS) 244 244
235 alt 6 ORMAECHEA Paula (ARG) 242 250
236 alt 7 SAEZ LARRA Olga (ESP) 242 242
237 alt 8 OZGEN Pemra (TUR) 239 239
238 alt 9 MIN Grace (USA) 238 238
239 alt 10 GEORGES Myrtille (FRA) 237 237
240 alt 11 PONCHET Jessika (FRA) 235 235
241 alt 12 HESSE Amandine (FRA) 235 235
242 alt 13 SRAMKOVA Rebecca (SVK) 234 256
243 alt 14 GRABHER Julia (AUT) 234 234
244 alt 15 ZIMMERMANN Kimberley (BEL) 234 234
245 alt 16 ROGOWSKA Olivia (AUS) 233 233
246 alt 17 DOROSHINA Olga (RUS) 232 258
247 alt 18 KRATZER Ashley (USA) 230 230
248 alt 19 DUNNE Katy (GBR) 229 229
249 alt 20 AIAVA Destanee (AUS) 226 226
 

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Stojanovic almost IN :sobbing:
 

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I think Abanda is out, so that makes her one step closer. Maybe she'll sneak in just barely
I kept Abanda IN since I didnt know official info (and the motivation of the tweet I saw are a bit absurd to me). Also, I think a couple of Aussies ahead of Grymalska could become MDWC, so two more spots will be available. And furthermore, surely some withdrawals will arrive
 

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I kept Abanda IN since I didnt know official info (and the motivation of the tweet I saw are a bit absurd to me). Also, I think a couple of Aussies ahead of Grymalska could become MDWC, so two more spots will be available. And furthermore, surely some withdrawals will arrive
Would also like to see Ormaechea sneak in. She's really only played on clay this year, so not sure if she'll head to Australia or play some clay ITFs to begin the year. She hasn't played a GS since the 2015 French Open. Hoping to see her in quailies at Roland Garros this year, though. :)
 

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I think Abanda is out, so that makes her one step closer. Maybe she'll sneak in just barely

What's wrong with her? I saw some of her IG/Twitter posts practising.
 

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Entering in those lists doesnt mean she will withdraw to play AO
Torro Flor said the same last year, and ended up getting into AO Q, withdrawing from an ITF, flying last minute to flop and got back to the ITFs :oh:

That being said, Abanda makes it into Q anyways, so I guess she is not confident to fly to AO just to lose QR1
 
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Good Luck Caro in 2019!
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Discussion Starter · #97 ·
Nina :sad:
 
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