[Volcana]

Not that Meghann isn't a fine player, but she's spent protracted periods at #11 Looking at Nadia Petrova's past 12 months, I'm not seeing Top Ten here.
Why?
Fully one third of her points come from ONE tournament.
Replace RG with her 18th best result, and she isn't even a top THIRTY player.

2002-09-23 2r Leipzig           33    II 
2002-09-30 QF Moscow           112    I 
2002-10-21 2r Linz              29    II 
2002-12-30 2r Gold Coast        39.25 III 
2003-01-13 3r Australian Open  110    GS 
2003-01-27 1r Tokyo              1    I 
2003-03-03 1r Indian Wells       6.25 I 
2003-03-17 1r Miami              8.25 I 
2003-03-31 2r Sarasota          42.5  IV 
2003-04-14 1r Amalia Island      6    II 
2003-05-05 2r Berlin            27    I 
2003-05-12 3r Rome              77    I 
2003-05-26 SF Roland Garros    510    GS 
2003-06-16 SF 's-Hertogenbosch 106    III 
2003-06-23 3r Wimbledon         80    GS 
2003-07-21 1r Stanford           1    II 
2003-07-28 QF San Diego        148    II                                          
2003-08-04 2r Los Angeles        1    II 
2003-08-11 3r Toronto           58    I 
2003-08-25 4r U.S. Open        184    GS

One thing in her favor. She's erratic. She had six results of more than 100 points, and six first round losses. In a young player, that means one day they can consistently achieve good results. But at 21, the time to establish consistency is NOW. In fact, it's a bit late.

 

[ptkten]

Yes, but her past six months have been top 15 level, she hasn't been as inconsistent since the French as she was before

 

[goldenlox]

Check out how few points Vera Z. has to defend before Indian Wells.
Vera's got a big shot at the top 10.

 

[alexusjonesfan]

Mary Carillo says top 5 --and JohnnyMac agrees

 

[Ryan]

Eh, maybe she can break into the lower portion on the top 10 someday, but I don't see her being more than a top 15 player consistantly.

 

[CJ07]

Petrova doesn't move well enough to be a top 5 player

and she doesnt play like a top 5 player

Sure she has the tools, but so do alot of people

 

[Volcana]

Yes, but her past six months have been top 15 level, she hasn't been as inconsistent since the French as she was before

Are we looking at the same record?

Past six months at top fifteen level?

1r, 1r, 2r, 1r, 2r, 3r, SF, SF, 3r, 1r, QF, 2r, 3r, 4r

4 1st round losses
3 2nd round losses
3 3rd round losses
1 4th round loss
1 QF loss
2 SF losses

You can't lose half your tournaments inthe 1st or 2nd round and be top fifteen.

Since RG, she COULDN'T be less consistent

1 1st round loss
1 2nd round loss
2 3rd round losses
1 4th round loss
1 QF loss
1 SF loss

 

[bello]

She is still young and has time to improve moreso and i wouldnt be suprised to see her in the top ten within the next few years...and i agree about Vera..

 

[TheBoiledEgg]

6 months ago Nadya wasn't in top 100
and she was injured still
had to default from tourns a few times.

saying taking her RG pts away and she won't be Top 30......... duh, thats obviously gonna happen.
its like saying take Venus pts from Aus Final and Wim Final and she's barely Top 30 either

since RG, she's gained more pts in events than she gained at RG alone.

She'll get to top 10.

and didn't Dokic have 10( 0000j/k) 1st rd losses and was ranked #4 ???

 

[KV]

Petrova doesn't move well enough to be a top 5 player

and she doesnt play like a top 5 player

Sure she has the tools, but so do alot of people

What did N. Petrova do against A. Coetzer 6-1 6-0, she won 6-0 6-0 against M. Weingartner, at RG she bt. a J. Capriati who played well. Nadia had performances like a top 5 player. Generally, she underachieved against the top players there you have point. At her very best she's among the best 5 players

 

[Volcana]

saying taking her RG pts away and she won't be Top 30......... duh, thats obviously gonna happen.
its like saying take Venus pts from Aus Final and Wim Final and she's barely Top 30 either

Actually, its not like that at all. First I dropped ONE of Nadia's tournaments, not two. If I drop two, she's not top FORTY. But it's actually worse than that. Venus only has eight tournaments. So dropping two tournaments is also dropping 25% of her total tournaments. The equivalent for Nadia, therefore, would be to drop her FOUR best tournaments. In other words, you have to drop RG, the US Open, San Diego AND Moscow. giving Nadia a current ranking of about #58.

and didn't Dokic have 10( 0000j/k) 1st rd losses and was ranked #4 ???

Dokic is now more appropriately ranked.

And I agree, Dokic is a VERY apt comparison.