[Tennisace]

Lindsay currently has 4724, which has Sydney points off already.

Four months will now will be the start of the clay season, with Miami coming off so here are the points that should fall off:

2001-01-15 Australian Open 436
2001-01-29 Tokyo 426
2001-02-26 Scottsdale 295
2001-03-05 Indian Wells 111
2001-03-19 Miami 106

That means she has 1374 points coming off!

Her new total will be 3350. I would say that when she returns she'll probably be ranked in the 5 to 7 range!

 

[Infiniti2001]

You know, this is not as horrible as it appears.. How many lower ranked players would love to be in the Top 10 ??? Lindsay is a great player, that ranking will go up in no time ... Hey remember Venus in 2000??

 

[cheeky]

i read in an article that if she takes the full 6 months(god forbid)
that she may miss wimbledon as well,wouldn't she lose her points from eastbourne and wimbledon as well?

 

[Fingon]

Well, that's correct, but assuming that Lindsay is only out until Key Biscayne. I heard she can be out 4 to 6 months. 4 months would put her in May, with the clay court seaons almost finished, and I don't think Lindsay would come back at the French Open, if it's 6 months, she could miss Wimbledon as well.

And after that is when she has most of her points, basically she can defend them but she can't gain much, her chance to gain point was in the time of the year she was out last year. It also will depend what kind of form she is in when she comes back, Lindsay usually comes back strong but she has never been out so long.

 

[disposablehero]

Volcana commented before the surgery on where Lindsay would be if she didn't come back until Eastbourne. I think that is EXACTLY when she will come back, and the estimate is somewhere around #9.

 

[Tennisace]

Hmm, well of coures it all depends on how the other players do around her. Especially Seles and Dokic who can gain and perhaps some players outside the top 10.

 

[Williams Rulez]

Is Lindsay going to be out for THAT long?!!

 

[saki]

Won't she have an injury protected ranking of some sort?

 

[gentenaire]

Even if Lindsay comes out strong after those 4 or 6 months, it'll be hard for her to go up the rankings again after taking such a fall. She has so many points to defend the second half of the season.

 

[Sam L]

I just hope she gets well from this injury and is healthy for the rest of the season. I'm sure she'd be wanting to get back to the tour as soon as possible.

Even if she drops out of the top ten (by the end of the year, for example), as long as she's healthy and playing well she'd be right up there again.

 

[moby]

she MUST get the injury protected ranking

imagine lindsay being seeded out of the top 4 at wimby

 

[Meesh]

I believe the injury ranking comes into play after being out for 6 months. TBE could give us the official answer.

 

[gentenaire]

Even without the injury ranking, it's very likely the Wimbledon seeding committee will give Linds at least a top 4 seed.

 

[Maajken]

Looks like she wont even make wimby

Top-ranked Lindsay Davenport has surgery, out 4-6 months
January 11, 2002

VAIL, COLORADO (TICKER) -- Lindsay Davenport is going to miss more than the Australian Open.

The world's top-ranked women's tennis player underwent surgery to correct a cartilage defect in her right knee Friday and will need four to six months of rehabilitation.

Tony Godsick of IMG, Davenport's agent, said in a release that Davenport had successful surgery to correct a full thickness cartilage defect on her lateral tibia.

The surgery was performed by Dr. Richard Steadman of the Steadman-Hawkins Clinic. Steadman said in a statement that Davenport's prognosis "is good for a full recovery, but the recovery will require four to six months of rehabilitation."

On Tuesday, Davenport withdrew from the Australian Open, which starts Monday (Sunday night in the United States).

Should Davenport require the full six months of rehabilitation, she would miss both the French Open and Wimbledon, the second and third Grand Slams.

Davenport suffered cartilage damage to her right knee during her semifinal match at the Sanex Championships in Munich in November. The 25-year-old American pulled out of the adidas International in Sydney this week but was hoping to participate in the Grand Slam event she won in 2000.

In addition to claiming the crown two years ago, Davenport was a semifinalist in 1998, 1999 and 2001, when she fell to eventual champion Jennifer Capriati.

 

[Viva]

Lets not panic everybody. She's not dead.

She will lose points but the way she plays and how consistent she is can get her back to her usual ranking. This surgery could prevent any further problems and she might even be even more determined.

Lets just all be calm and rational and positive.

Hey you could compare her to Corina and think well at least she wont have to be sick for 2 years.

We miss you Corina and Lindsay!

 

[Volcana]

The worst-case scenario is Eastbourne.

If Lindsay loses 2400 points by Eastbourne, and she won't, she missed all of clay court season last year, she'll still have 2500 left, good for the #9 ranking now. even if the top eight dominate EVRETYTHING and get ALL the points, Lindsay will be ranked #9. That's about the absolute worst it can be.

When you have almost 5000 points, you can take time off. Lindsay had 4900 points in 17 tournaments. 290 points per tournament. Which except for Venus, is about as good as it gets. (Jenn and Serena are also in the 290 - 300 per tournament range. Venus is an unheard of 360 per tournament.)

So Lindsay won't fal far. She's too high up.

 

[Martian KC]

Poor Lindsay and she has lots of points to defend at the end of the year too!

 

[disposablehero]

#1, regarding injury-protected rankning, it only applies to cutoff for entires, it does not affect seedings. Of course, Wimbledon doesn't follow the rankings anyhow, so I would expect a top 8 seed for her there regardless.

#2, She only misses Wimbledon if it takes 6 months. 4 months would get her back in time for Rome, but I expect she will skip the Clay season.

#3, the current top 10 is not going to change much in the first half, most of them have few points to defend and will benefit from Lindsay's abscence. Amelie Mauresmo is an exception, and could drop below her with a bad start.

 

[-Sonic-]

I would have thought that dropping out of the top 8 would be very bad in terms of grand slams... u could get the higher ranked opponents sooner than you would if u were top 8...

And yeah, she will get back up where she was, but it'll take until after Miami next year? (or even after W'don next year if she misses it in 2002). When she comes back this spring/summer she can only defend (3 titles in 3 weeks and then a final, plus of course great U.S Hardcourt showing and great grass season), then only after that (i.e. start of 2003) she can start to climb get back to where she was, not finishing that climb until all her tournaments are back in her list, which would be after Miami or W'don. And this is a calm and rational view, i am not getting panicky as other threads have implied people have got.

Not the worst thing to happen to someone in the world ever, but in terms of tennis (esp ranking and seeding for events, leading to who you'll face and when), isn't it a decent sized hill to climb?