Can Serena become number 1 (in the rankings) next year if she still plays 13 tournaments ?
Well, this year, there's no real chance she can be number 1. Next year, there's Australian Open, which she won last year, so she won't win that much points. She probably won't be number 1, before February/March !
If I'm right : at the end of last year, Serena had almost 6200 points and won 3 Slams (but she didn't play at AO).
This year, Clijsters hasn’t won any Slam and almost have 6600 points
(400 more than what Serena had at the end of last year). And because of the fact that she plays more than 17 tournaments (22), if she goes on playing consistently as so far, I have the feeling her points are not gonna fall that much, even with Serena and Venus playing (Clijsters’ 18th tournament gives her almost 200 points for the moment
). And many see her as a GS contender (what would her points be with a win in GS ?)
Besides, Justine is playing and winning consistently this year
(she won 7 tournaments out of 14 = the half)! Of course, she has a lot of points to defend next year on clay, but I don’t think she will lose lots of points. And she can win some points at next year’s beginning.
Venus will surely give Serena problems. I’m sure she will stop Serena’s winning streak against her
. It’s almost the same thing for Capriati.
And considering she didn’t take part to this year’s US Open, it’ll be more difficult for her to become number 1 before US Open 2004 (anyway, I’m sure she’ll grab many points at next year’s US Open).
What do you think ? Will Serena play more, to become number 1 (if she’s not injured) ? Or won’t she care of that 1st spot, as long as she’s considered the best (of course, she’ll have to prove that, even on clay against Justine for example)?