Tennis Forum banner

1 - 10 of 10 Posts

·
Registered
Joined
·
25,215 Posts
Discussion Starter #1
I had always felt Serena's jump from #20 into the top ten was something special. Indeed it is, but what it is NOT is uncommon. What I've listed below is what year a player first got into the top ten, and what their rank was the year before, and the differential (reverse order). I was surprised at the results. Maybe you won't be.

The smallest jump belongs to Martina Hingis, because she was ranked the highest the year before. If she had jumped to #1, she still would have been tied with Serena for third samllest jump. Serena, you'll note, didn't actually have a big jump for a top ten player. Neither did Venus or Lindsay. And all were ranked #20 or higher the year before they made the top ten.

^V year rk, year rk name<br />** **** *** **** ** ****<br />12 1995 16, 1996 04 Hingis<br />13 2000 18, 2001 05 Clijsters<br />14 1993 20, 1994 06 Davenport<br />16 1998 20, 1999 04 Williams, S.<br />17 1997 22, 1998 05 Williams, V.<br />18 2000 26, 2001 08 Dokic<br />19 1998 29, 1999 10 Mauresmo

In fact, most player seem to jump about 15 ranking positions on their first trip to the top ten.

However, there are exceptions

41 2000 48, 2001 07 Henin

FOURTY-ONE ranking positions to #7 in the world. IN-credible. Or it would be except...

80 1988 86, 1989 06 Seles

EIGHTY ranking positions to #6 in the world. Who picks the number 80 ranked player to end the year in the top ten? Can you even NAME the #80 player.

But then, we go to Theatre of the Absurd. Wanna know how good Jennifer Capriati was when she came up?

-- 1989 xx, 1990 08 Capriati

As near as I can tell, Jennifer Capriati made the top ten her FIRST year on the tour. I can't think of another player who done that.

I'm not sure all this means anything, except that MAYBE improvement by elite players isn't gradual. When they're ready, they jump over everyone else.
 

·
Keeper of Venus & Serena,
Joined
·
27,438 Posts
Pre-1996 it was much easier to jump into the top 10 with such ease because of the lax age-eligibility rules.

What was impressive with Serena is that her ranking went something like this: 450, 100, 40, 20(in 3 months). Then finally, a year later, she broke into the top 10. She had only played about 6 tournaments when she broke into the top 50 and only had about 12 when she made the top 10 (and at her peak at #4, only had 13, I believe). <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

Henin is quite impressive as well. Her last match of 2000 was in a $75K challenger losing to Virginie Razzano in the final. Six months later, she is taking a set off of Venus Williams in the Wimbledon final. Very impressive! <img src="smile.gif" border="0">
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
3,903 Posts
Thanks for the stats Volcana.

Besides the AER, it also hard to compare the ranking jumps from the Divisor era and the Best'N' we have now. I remember reading someone's calculation of the divisor using a minimum of 14 for last year's results. Under it, Henin was ranked around 25 (she played 13 or 14 events).

BTW - I thought Henin lost in the semifinal of the challenger event (Cergy-P?). Didn't Razzano beat Majoli in the final?
 

·
Premium Member
Joined
·
181,835 Posts
she did lose in semis to Razzano this time 12 months ago, look where she is now.

Gaby was also a fast climber
 

·
Plainclothes Division
Joined
·
6,350 Posts
In cases of big jumps (see Seles), it's usually because they played a limited schedule the year before, and/or didn't play the slams.

Other leapers:<br />Shriver 33-9 ('79-80)<br />Durie 28-6 (82-3)<br />Graf 22-6 (84-5)<br />Sabatini was #74 in '84, her first year on tour, and cracked the top 10 in '85 (but finished at #11)<br />Manuela Maleeva 31-6 (83-4)<br />Potter 25-10 (80-1)<br />Stove 22-7 (75-6)<br />Turnbull 30-9 (76-7)<br />Kohde-Kilsch 24-8 (83-4)<br />Schett 23-8 (98-9)
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
254 Posts
From no ranking to the Top 10 within a year at the age of 14, what can you say about it? What a phenomenal, talented, young girl Jennifer Capriati is!! Thanks for the interesting statistics!!

<img src="biggrin.gif" border="0"> <img src="biggrin.gif" border="0"> <img src="biggrin.gif" border="0">
 

·
Adrenaline junkie
Joined
·
23,008 Posts
You are talking yearend rankings. If a player's rise coincides with calendar year then we get what you are talking about. But what if it is not? Is it a lesser achievement? What if we talk biggest jumps within 52 weeks?

I would think Henin's jump would be easily humbled in that case..

Like, Venus entered Top 10 after Lipton 1998. Where she was ranked in April 1997? I am pretty sure she was way below Top 50. I remember quite well that in September 2000 Clijsters was ranked around 45-50. She managed to qualify for Chase and within only 7 months after that she was ranked Top 10. In early 2000 Elena Dementieva was almost nobody, who was losing in qualifying tourney after tourney , she cracked Top 10 an year later.
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
24,901 Posts
some interesting facst here!
 

·
Registered
Joined
·
3,903 Posts
I'm using Robert Waltz's 2000 WTA Tour Statistical Abstract for these numbers, BTW. He gives this table thing where he lists the previous year's top 25 plus a hand-picked few's rankings every half month.

Here are some player's high and low moments from 2000:

Clijsters<br />Jan 1: 46<br />May 15: 28<br />Oct 1: 47<br />Oct 15: 26<br />Nov 20: 18

Dementieva<br />Jan 15: 63<br />Apr 1: 31<br />Sep 1: 25<br />Sep 15: 17<br />Nov 20: 12

Henin<br />Jan 1: 69<br />Jun 15: 99 (a year later she broke in at no.9)<br />Aug 15: 72<br />Oct 15: 39<br />Nov 20: 48

and

Farina Elia (never in Top 10 but an interesting fluctuation)<br />Jan 1: 26<br />Jul 1: 56<br />Nov 1: 74<br />Nov 20: 63

I'd give you numbers for Dokic but she's not in this thing!
 

·
Banned
Joined
·
422 Posts
I like how Jelena Dokic just jumped into the top 10 like it was nothing new. I also like how Capriati made it into the top 10 it was very exciting!
 
1 - 10 of 10 Posts
Top