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Discussion Starter #1
Name three current top ten players who will NOT be in the top ten at the end of 2002. Remember, this is a vehicle for showing people how smart you are, not just who you like.

I could say, for example, that Lindsay Davenpot, Jennifer Capriati and Venus Williams will all be out of the top ten at the end of 2002. (Not my actual picks, of course.)

Good luck!
 

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Hmmm....tough choice....I really think this is the toughest top 10 and that the only person I see not being in the top 10 next year is Jelena Dokic.
 

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Jelena Dokic, Justine Henin. The remaining eight will stay in Top 10.
 

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What i think or would like are pretty similar.

think<br />out of 10<br />Dokic <br />Mauresmo

would like to be out of 10<br />Dokic<br />Mauresmo<br />Capriati
 

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The current top 10 ARE the top 10. I'm going to display my intelligence by telling you that 9 of them will be in the top 10 at the end of next year. The player left out will be either Jelena Dokic or Justine Henin.
 

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hard to think that any of the top 10 would fall out really, but i think that seems the case almost every season...but there's usually a couple surprises, so if i have to take out 3, i'd probably go with Dokic, Mauresmo, and Henin. mainly because i don't think the others are any more likely to fall out of the top 10 then them, lol. i'll be surprised if there are even 2 new top 10 players by years end, there are only a couple who i could see doing it, but we'll just have to wait and see i suppose. <img src="smile.gif" border="0">
 

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Capriati-because she has so much to defend.

Dokic-because she played nearly 30 events to get her #8 ranking.

Seles-because not playing in Germany will cause her to lose big points, before you jump on me remember she already finshed 2001 at #10.

[ December 17, 2001: Message edited by: Conchita94 ]</p>
 

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I can only laugh when I see people saying Justine Henin. When you would have seen her play sunday, then you certainly would know that she'll stay in the top10 and get even higher.

Will not be in the top10: Seles, Mauresmo, and Dokic
 

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Capriati: because she became fat again during the off season

Mauresmo: she's a floater, the only one of the top ten who isn't a real top ten player

Seles: she finished at 10 this year, I expect her to be #11 or #12 next year

I'm afraid Dokic is in the top to stay for a while, but she won't make the top 5

And Henin will not fall out of it!Her career as a tennsstar started this year and the best is yet to come!
 

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Current Top Ten @ the end of 2002

1. Lindsay Davenport<br />2. Jennifer Capriati<br />3. Venus Williams<br />4. Martina Hingis<br />5. Kim Clijsters<br />6. Serena Williams<br />7. Justine Henin<br />8. Jelena Dokic<br />9. Amelia Mauresmo<br />10. Monica Seles

If I had to pick three players who may fall out of the top ten @ the end of 2002, I would pick Jennifer Capriati, Jelena Dokic and Amelia Mauresmo for the following reasons.

1. Jennifer started the year with a bang. Plowing down Seles, Davenport and Hingis to win her first grand slam. She not only played amazing tennis; her general attitude was phenomenal. After winning the Family Circle Cup and the French Open as well as making the finals of Oklahoma, the Ericsson and the German Open, Jennifer really proved that she was a top contender. Once she lost @ Wimbledon, her game was never the same. Jennifer, I get the impression, cannot handle the pressure of being a top player. With so much to defend throughout the year, I really don't see Jennifer being able to do so.

2. Jelena Dokic- Jelena's decision not to play the Oz is not a good sign of her commitment to become an all around player. After February, Jelena played an incredible amount of tennis, 30 tournaments in all and that is a lot to have to defend. While this tactic worked effectively to get Jelena her first three titles, I am not sure that Jelena will be able to keep up the pace next year. However, I read an interview that stated that Jelena was currently working on the problem areas of her game, so that is always a good sign.

3. Amelia Mauresmo has always been a streaky player capable of downing a top player, (i.e. Davenport @ the Oz in 99) or falling to defeat to a lower ranked player (Jana Kandaar @ the FO 00). Unfortunately, Amelia suffers from not only a bad case of nerves, but she also has a clay court dependency that she is not willing to shake. In 02, Amelia must have better results on all surfaces and she must hold her nerves together better.

<br />I hope that I am wrong about my three picks simply because in one way or another, I really like all three players. Next year should be very interesting.
 

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Though I do respect the opinions of others, I do not see Seles falling out of the top ten, and will explain why. Even though Seles is not playing in Germany, her record at the Grand Slams this year was as follows,

AO - QF<br />FO - DNP<br />WM - DNP<br />US - 4th rd

With a healthy Monica Seles, this will not happen next year in 2002. Seles should reach at least the QF in three out of four Grand Slams ... if not all 4. <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

[ December 17, 2001: Message edited by: Big Lindsay ]</p>
 

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Originally posted by Big Lindsay:<br />[QB]Though I do respect the opinions of others, I do not see Seles falling out of the top ten, and will explain why. Even though Seles is not playing in Germany, her record at the Grand Slams this year was as follows,

AO - QF<br />FO - DNP<br />WM - DNP<br />US - 4th rd<br />With a healthy Monica Seles, this will not happen next year in 2002. Seles should reach at least the QF in three out of four Grand Slams ... if not all 4. <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

<br />I agree with you there. Monica missed at least 4 months this season, but she really came back with a vengance during the summer defeating Hingis (twice), Capriati and Serena Williams (who held six match points!). She won 4 titles at the end of the year. Yes, the competition wasn't that great, but it showed Monica's fitness and level of commitment. Her whitewashing of Kournikova in Denver and her win over Martina Navratilova shows how well Monica really is playing. I hope this car accident has not hurt her progress. Has anyone heard how she is doing?
 

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Mauresmo.

Frankly, if I had to bet I'd say the top 10 for 2001 IS the top ten for 2002. The one or two to "drop" will do so because of injuries. Henin, Dokic, and Mauresmo are most likely to drop due to injuries, especially Mauresmo if she's hurt during clay court season. I picked Momo to fall not because she lacks talent(she's loaded with it), but because unlike Henin and Dokic, I don't see her playing herself into the ground while hurt just for a top 10 ranking. Amelie has a history of injury problems.

Seles will stay in the top 10 without question. <br />Capriati too. Even after falling off last season, she still posted top 10 results.

Mary Pierce is a big wildcard IMO. If Mary charges back, one of the top 10 will have to give up her spot.

[ December 17, 2001: Message edited by: Rollo ]</p>
 

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I think at least nine of this Top Ten will finish next year ranked inside the Top Ten.

Should one fall out, I would be most inclined to say Mauresmo, since, after her torrid start to the year, her level of play really dropped off, and I think she's starting to turn into even more of a headcase than she already was.

Next would be Dokic, the least talented player up there. But she is feisty and really loves winning, and plays quite often. I don't expect her to improve on this year-end ranking, but she should stay around there.

Poor Justine is still so very nervous against the best players. She would be my third selection, but I think she'll be fine for the Top Ten next year.

Capriati won't even be close to #2, but she'll stay up in the Top Ten. Hingis could conceivably dip even lower than she is right now, but she's got all the shots to wipe out anyone who can't blast her off the court. Seles has enough firepower to crush all players on her good days.

Davenport, Williams, Williams, and Clijsters will definitely stay in the Top Ten.

If someone who is not in the Top Ten right now does end 2002 in there, it will be Dementieva, not Pierce. I don't really see anyone else seriously threatening for a position, and that is why I don't think too many of this Top Ten have to worry about losing their spot, even if they have seasons that don't match their expectations.
 

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Amelie/Jennifer/Hingis. <img src="smile.gif" border="0">
 

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Three I think can: Mauresmo/Dokic/Hingis

Amelie has a bizarre mental state. Which we saw at Roland Garros this year. If she comes back fitter than 2001 she will do great. Mentally she still needs help. Amelie didn't do too well after Roland Garros, which might help her in the end with her ranking.

Dokic has a lot to defend after the US Open. Finalist at Bahia, winner at Tokyo and Moscow. I expect the fields in these tournaments to be better then they were this past year which might cause trouble for Jelena

Hingis might if her game has improved zippo since the summer on. Other players won't be afraid of her anymore. She will be the last one I think will drop out of the top 10 out of the 3 I listed.

As for Seles...she won't fall out of the top 10 unless it's because of an injury. She finished at #10 because of the injury and the Chase tournament points coming off. With Seles having something like 2 points to defend from March-June I can't see her below #6 for the most part of the year.
 

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I don't understand why so many people are saying that Dokic will drop out of the top 10.

She is very talented - much underestimated IMO. She's got great grounstrokes, a good serve when it goes in, and has started to mix things up with drop-shots and volleys. Recent interviews suggest that she's going to work on her serve & variety and this has to be a good sign. Yes, she has played a lot of tournaments this year, but she says that she's going to play fewer next year and concentrate on the big ones. She's gained a lot of match experience in the latter half of 2001 & that's going to stand her in good stead.

The only current top 10 player I see dropping is Amelie Mauresmo. She just hasn't been playing at all well since before the French Open & her work ethic isn't good.

I expect Dokic & Seles to do much better in the Grand Slams than they did this year.

Henin is another possibility, but only if she gets injured. If she's playing, she'll be in the top 10.

Capriati isn't the player that she was at the beginning of 2001, but she's still pretty good and very consistent. I don't see her dropping below #4 or #5.
 

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Just an added comment here. While Mauresmo was my #1 candidate to fall out of the top 10, I still believe she has the "goods" to win at Roland Garros one day. Being French, it takes years to to<br />handle the burden of carrying the torch for your nation. She has the added stresses of scrutiny due to her sexuality, plus no other French women ( who are considered threats to win slams) to share the media frenzy with. If Pierce is healthy at next year's Roland Garros the odds improve for Amelie, because much of the unwanted spotlight will be on Mary.
 

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My thinking actually is that they will most likely to retain in top 10.<br />The player that I can clearly think of is Amelie Mauresmo. But there are still a lot of possible outcome. Acoording to chances of falling out of top 10.

1. Amelie Mauresmo- The least consistent ( Possible replaced by Meghann)<br />2. Jelena9 (still possible but not clear)<br />3. Henin,Serena- Of equal chances,though not that much possible if we are to compare them to players outside top 10.<br />4. Seles<br />5. Capriati- She's been number 1 for nothing, not really easy to drop.

Sure top 10: Lindsay/Venus/Martina/Kim
 
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