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what do you think the top 10 will look like at the end of2002 and why?

mine:

1. Gustavo Kuerten - (assuming he'll play AO)will dominate the clay season as usual. The new seeding system will help him in the slams, where he has traditionally been weak with a few exceptions and maybe losing #1 this year has taught him a lesson. Think about it - The points totals at the end of the year were very close and if he'd gone to Wimbledon he may have been able to stretch the points lead significantly -remember he was once a quarterfinalist and the 32 seeds would have helped him.<br />2. Marat Safin - will be inconsistent, but I think he is on the rebound from this year and that kind of talent has to come out eventually. I think he will be inspired by the rather disappointing results (for him) this year.<br />3. Lleyton Hewitt - as usual, will be very consistent and win a lot of the smaller tournaments. I don't think he can repeat all his accomplishments this year and the other young players are improving enough that they will be more able to challenge him.<br />4. Juan Carlos Ferrero - strong clay season will support his rankings and is a decent hard player. I have a feeling that I'm placing him too high, but I'm not really sure what to do with him.<br />5. Andre Agassi - he's kind of the wild card. I don't think the baby is going to throw his career off track. <br />6. Yevgeny Kafelnikov - no real reason. I figure that he's just always hanging around the top 10 so if I put him somewhere in the middle I won't be too far off either way. Divorce seems to have done wonders for him and at 27, he shows no sign of deteriorating and is, in fact, possibly playing better than ever. If he gets a coach that he'll actually listen to, I can see him having a much better year than 2001. As usual, he'll probably start the season fairly well, slump horribly during the clay season only to inexplicably turn it around at the French and then slump again until the summer hard court season where his game will go on the rise again and he'll finish very strongly again during the indoor season.<br />7. Andy Roddick - Is extremely overhyped, but still a big talent with a great future. I expect him to plateau soon, but even so, he should do well.<br />8. Tommy Haas - He seems to be finally fulfilling his potential, but his progress has had a lot of false starts in the past. It may be that the past couple months was just an example of a good streak and won't continue. This placement doesn't feel right to me, but this is another one where I just don't know what to do with him. I think Haas is more of a 10-15 talent but I can't think of who else to put here. Normally, there is someone who comes out of nowhere to the top 10 while someone who logically should be there falls. I think Haas is the most likely candidate to fall.<br />9. Roger Federer - steadily improving but I don't think he'll do anything spectacular - one of those "filler" players for the top 10. Maybe I'm biased because I find him to be rather bland.<br />10. Tim Henman - another one of those 10-20 talents. Nothing too special but he's always around here so that's where I'll put him.

other players of note:<br />Pete Sampras - 2002 will be similar to 2001<br />Sebastien Grosjean - I think he's a Magnus Norman/Jonas Bjorkman type player : a solid player who overacheives one year. I think he'll stay in the top 20 though.<br />Goran Ivanisevic - should fall like a boulder after Wimbledon<br />Mikhail Youzhny - enters the top 20<br />Max Mirnyi - top 25

p.s. I'll probably keep a copy of everyone's predictions just to see how everyone does at the end of next year so if, for some reason, you don't want me to, make sure you say so.
 

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1-Marat Safin .... fully fit and raring to go , hope he can get a good start to the year for once and push on.

2-Lleyton Hewitt ... reliable and boring as ever.<br />3-Gustavo Kuerten <br />4-Yevgeny Kafelnikov<br />5-Juan Carlos Ferrero<br />6-Andy Roddick<br />7-Tommy Haas<br />8-Marcelo Rios<br />9-Thomas Enqvist<br />10-Sebastien Grosjean

<br />2002 ....Flop of the year .... Arnaud Clement ( he's in deep doo-dah if he goes out early in OZ) , his results apart from QF US Open have been pretty pathetic since he got to AUS final.
 

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1.Lleyton Hewitt<br />2.Gustavo Kuerten<br />3.Marat Safin<br />4.Yevgeny Kafelnikov<br />5.Roger Federer<br />6.Alex Corretja<br />7.Juan Carlos Ferrero<br />8.Sebastien Grosjean<br />9.Tommy Haas<br />10.Pete Sampras
 

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Rios hasn't been fully fit since the 98 season , always had injuries and long ones too.

If he is fit for 90% of the year he will be top 10.

On clay only a few players can compete with Guga .

Ferrero most obvious one.

Rios and Moya are two others who can match Kuerten but they tend to lose to others that Guga doesn't
 

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1. Marat Safin: if he gets back into form, we all saw what he was capable of near the end of 2000. If he lives up to his potential, this is where he should be.

2. Hewitt: consistent results, and I wouldnt count out another slam win,should keep him near the top, if not at the top.

3. Gustavo Kuerten: I can't decided wether or not to switch Safin and Guga.. Guga will likely have another phenomenal clay season to boost his ranking, then further cushion it by some great hard court wins. He can't possibly do any worse indoors than he did this year. If he rests his injury, and is 100% for most of the season, I suspect he'll be number one again. I also suspect he has another Roland Garros in him.

4. Juan Carlos Ferrero: a good clay season should keep his ranking high. Like Guga, he can't possibly do worse indoors. His hardcourt play has been iproving every year..so he should do better on that surface. However, unless he gets injured during the clay season, I can't see him out of the top 5.

5. Yevgeny Kafelnikov: his form can be unpredictable, but his ranking is not. Consistently in the top ten, I suspect his year 2002 will be better than 2001. In fact, I can see his ranking as high as three. But I picked him to win Australia this year, and he let me down <img src="wink.gif" border="0"> ...so I'll keep him at 5 just in case. I do however feel that either he or Hewitt will win Oz 2002.

6. Andre Agassi: if he doesn't retire, and plays a full schedule, then I suspect he'll keep a good ranking. If not, put TOmmy Hass here. I faith that Hass will live up to his potential next year.

7. Roger Federer: I'm temped to put him in the top 5, but I don't know who too move out in his favour, so I'll put him here <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

8. Grosjean: why not? He can play consistently on all surfaces, and if not for an injury, his ranking this year would have been higher.

9. Roddick: I could put him higher too... seeing as he started 2001 out of the top 100 and ended it number 14 in the entry ranks. Frankly, the order from 6-10 is pretty interchangeable for me..

10. Tim Henman: this seems to be his permanent place in the order of things.. I dont expect him to become worse next year.. I figure he'll have a similar year and just miss out on the masters cup again. Maybe he'll be a little higher, but i'm not so sure.
 

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Very good analysis Becca, I concur with most of you say. Except for - too high prediction for JCF, lol. I expect Guga to drop. His rankings are based on clay results. Last year the clay season was mostly between two - Kuerten and Ferrero. I expect Hewiit, Safin, maybe Norman and Roddick to be much more into clay season next year, and that will surely decrease Guga's share of points. Well, we don't know what will be the effect of new balls though. Slowing down the game on fast surfaces might play into Guga's hands, and they won't be able to speed it up on clay enough to make it uncomfortable for him. But I concede, that bringing much faster balls into clay courts, and therefore drastically changing the pace of clay game might reshape the current clay status quo.
 

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Why is everyone underestimating Goran? He played great tennis last week and I think that if his shoulder doesn't bother him, he should have a good year and possibly finish inside the top 10.
 

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I think Goran will retire after Wimbledon unless he wins it again. He said he will play there even on one leg , he wants to come out and play on the Centre Court on the 1st Monday at 1pm.
 

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croat123: its no disrespect to Goran. But if you take away his Wimbledon points, he wouldn't even be in the top 80, let alone top ten.

If he has a good start to the season his entry rank could jump into the top ten, but I don't hink he'll end the year there. No disrespect intended.

Then again, who thought he'd win WImbledon, circa 2001?
 

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1. Gustavo Kuerten (just because he'll completely dominate the clay season again and he almost was number 1 this year, despite not doing much for the rest of the year)<br />2. Lleyton Hewitt (just because of the consistency)<br />3. Yevgany Kafelnikov (seems completely focused on his tennis at the moment and he's always going to be around top 5 due to the amount of tournaments he plays)<br />4. Juan Carlos Ferrero (for the same reason as Guga, he'll have a great clay court season)<br />5. Marat Safin (will still be too inconsistent, but I think he'll win a Grand Slam probably the US Open again)<br />6. Roger Federer (next year will be even better than this year for a player who will get to number 1)<br />7. Andre Agassi (despite not playing many tournaments, his grand slam results will keep him in the top 10)<br />8. Andy Roddick (just because of his serve, even though I still think he's a little over hyped)<br />9. Tim Henman (just because he's quite consistent and he'll get to the Wimbledon final)<br />10. Sebastian Grosjean (although he's a form player, when he's great he can beat anyone, but when he's not firing on all cylinders, he can be made to look a little ordinary)

Other players that will have a good year is Rios, I agree with Egg about that, if Rios can stay healthy. Mirnyi, Robredo and Canas will continue to improve all the time.

As much as I would really like to see Goran having a great year, I'm not sure how is shoulder is going to hold up and also he might not have the motivation for it. Although I can see him raising his game again for Wimbledon, but this will be his last year on the tour.

[ November 21, 2001: Message edited by: Martin ]</p>
 

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TOP 10

1)KUERTEN<br />2)Haas<br />3)Safin<br />4)Moya<br />5)Ivanisavic<br />6)Agassi<br />7)Hewitt<br />8)Enqvist<br />9)Ferrero<br />10)Rios<br />*10)Pat Rafter<br />*10)Rusedski<br />*10)Sampras<br />*10)Roddick<br />*10)Kefelnikov<br />*10)Corretja<br />Grand slams winners

Australian Open<br />EnQvist bts. Kuerten

Roland Garros<br />Kuerten bts Moya

Wimbeldon<br />Ivanisavic bts. Rusedski

US Open<br />Haas bts. Safin

[ November 22, 2001: Message edited by: bulgar ]</p>
 

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Oh people. Guga is not number just cause of his phenomenal clay season....<br />He won Cincinatti this year, defeating Kafelnikov, Rafter and Henman.... Reach Indianapolis final defeating Henman and Ivanisevic in his way, losing to Rafter only cause he was injured (usually he never gives up a match)<br />And in USOpen defeating Mirnyi in a historical match... Losing to Kafelnikov in disapointing three straight sets....<br />I expected more from him in USOpen, since he almost won Pioline in 1999s quarters... losing in a five setter match, including 4 tie breakers.....<br />Guga can do a reasonable hadr court season next year, and can win a GS in hard courts... I expect him to do it... since he has the game to do it, and I hope he recovers his confidence of 2000...<br />My ranking is :<br />1-Hewitt (Consistent, and proving to be number one... Even Guga accpet it..)<br />2-Guga (for a great 2001 season also... Including a GS, and taking off the end of the year, the best player of 2001!)<br />3-Rafter (Hmm very consistent in his hard courts tournament... reaching Wimbledon, Cincinatti and Montreal's final, winning Indianapolis, reaching AUSOpen, Indian Wells, Miami's semis, and etc...)<br />4- Safin (He deserves it)<br />5- Kafelnikov (USOpen's semis, Masters's semis, very consistent also in the hard-courts season..)<br />6- Grosjean (AUSOpen, Roland Garros's semis.. Masters's final, and won his first title in Paris, he will do well in 2002...)<br />7- Haas (Good 2001 seaosn to Haas, almost reaching in Sydney' if wasn't by Grosjean's title in Paris... Haas will do very well in 2002)<br />8- Roddick (Good year fo Andy, and I expct more for him in 2002.. Maybe a GS title, I don't know, I think he'll be in top 10 very soon, but 8th is enough for him)<br />9- Sampras (Sampras is Sampras LOL)<br />10- Henman (I think he will stay in the top 10 also, due 2002's season)<br /> <img src="tongue.gif" border="0">
 

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Becool: do you seriously think that Ferrero will fall out of the top ten, in favour of Grosjean, Roddick, and Henman? In all due respect to the other guys, I highly doubt Ferrero will fall significantly below them.

The only player who can contend against Ferrero when he is at his best on clay, is Guga - who was better this season. Safin maybe at his best... I do recall the whooping he gave Ferrero in Barcelona 200. However, Ferrero has much improved since then.

Regardless...unless he gets some injury that keeps him out the entire clay season, Ferrero is almost assured to stay in the top 5, IMO <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

However, its all just opinion <img src="smile.gif" border="0">

Are your rankings based on this year or projected for next? Cause I am fairly certaint Rafter won't be playing next year, though I hope otherwise.
 

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1)Hewitt <img src="graemlins/firey.gif" border="0" alt="[Fiery]" /> <br />2)Ferrero <img src="graemlins/hearts.gif" border="0" alt="[Hearts]" /> <br />3)Safin<br />4)Roddick<br />5)Kafelnikov<br />6)Kuerten<br />7)Grosjean<br />8)Federer<br />9)Agassi<br />10)Sampras
 

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1. Magnus Norman <img src="graemlins/hearts.gif" border="0" alt="[Hearts]" /> <br />2. Thomas Johannson <img src="biggrin.gif" border="0"> <br />3. Thomas Enqvist <img src="biggrin.gif" border="0"> <br />4. Andy Roddick<br />5. Juan Carlos Ferrero<br />6. Marat Safin<br />7. Jan-Michael Gambill<br />8. Dominik Hrbaty<br />9. Taylor Dent<br />10. Mike Bryan
 
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i should post a bunch of crap like max mirnyi #1, but i wont waste our time for hte sake of not being funny

<br />1) guga :-/<br />2) ferrero<br />3) hewitt<br />4) kafelnikov<br />5) agassi<br />6) norman<br />7) haas<br />8) grosjean<br />9) henman<br />10) MIRNYI (ah what the hell, go max go max)
 

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Becca : Rafter won't play 2002?? I thought that was rumours..... <img src="confused.gif" border="0">
 

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1. hewitt<br />2. guga<br />3. roddick<br />4. safin<br />5. ferrero<br />6. agassi<br />7. haas<br />8. federer<br />9. grosjean<br />10.kafelnikov

and i think roddick will win his 1st slam next year!

[ November 25, 2001: Message edited by: matthias ]</p>
 
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