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post #1 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 7th, 2017, 07:34 AM Thread Starter
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US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

US Open WC is always fun to discuss because unlike the other three GS, there are many American players that could be potentially in the running for the WC and there are only THREE discretionary MD WCs to be allocated. Past two years, USTA gave the remaining WCs to the three highest American ALTs.

1. WC Challenge: Sofia Kenin
2. NCAA Winner: Brienne Minor
3. French WC
4. Australian WC
5. USTA Girls Nationals Champ: Ashley Kratzer
----
6. Kayla Day (Prolly a LOCK at this point. She won USO Jr, won a match last year, still young, managed to win a match last week at Stanford, #3 American ALT)
---
7. Kristie Ahn (#1 American ALT player, improved massively over the last 52 weeks. Last year USTA gave the WC to the three highest American ALTs)
8. Nicole Gibbs (Reached R2 last year, #2 American ALT.)
But apart from winning against Liu this week (or rather a choke from Liu) , her season has been very mediocre. Last year the WCs, Davis was in the Washington F and King reached Nanchang F.

This year, there aren't alot to choose from, but I guess Bernada Pera deserves the WC the most this year for having a resurgent year (albeit most of the wins were on clay), but she's not trained with the USTA.

Other potential WC choices: Caroline Dolehide, Amanda Anisimova (though I hope she'll play Q instead, she's more than capable to qualify on her own),




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post #2 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 8th, 2017, 09:00 AM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

MDWCs really shouldn't be going to players who skipped the previous slam to play a 25k, so I really don't want Gibbs to get one. Also don't want Minor to get one, her pro results have been embarrassing this summer and a QWC will be more than enough. Don't think Pera will be getting one, she seems to be outside the system and they've only given her a QWC once even though she's been lingering around the 300 range for years.

Day and Ahn are getting one for sure. Really don't know who the third one should go to. Kinda wanna see Anisimova play qualies for once.
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post #3 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 8th, 2017, 04:35 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

How long until the USTA gets sick of the FRA and AUS WCs clogging up its allocation? Surely they can't be happy with having to make room for Parmentier for no reason. I assume the AUS one will go to Aiava, which is a shame - qualies are better for her development at this point.

I think it'd be better for Anisimova to go through qualies but her results have been so brilliant that I wouldn't be mad with a MDWC, and I think the USTA might be swayed by her star quality. She's certainly ready to beat a number of potential MD opponents. But if she's playing the U18s she's probably the favourite to win that anyway.

Agree Day and Ahn are locks, especially with how close Ahn is. Gibbs, probably not - Anisimova (if she doesn't win the U18s) and Dolehide would be more exciting prospects who have had better years.

The number of options does reduce the chances for Sharapova, too...
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post #4 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 8th, 2017, 04:50 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by gold fangs View Post
How long until the USTA gets sick of the FRA and AUS WCs clogging up its allocation? Surely they can't be happy with having to make room for Parmentier for no reason. I assume the AUS one will go to Aiava, which is a shame - qualies are better for her development at this point.

I think it'd be better for Anisimova to go through qualies but her results have been so brilliant that I wouldn't be mad with a MDWC, and I think the USTA might be swayed by her star quality. She's certainly ready to beat a number of potential MD opponents. But if she's playing the U18s she's probably the favourite to win that anyway.

Agree Day and Ahn are locks, especially with how close Ahn is. Gibbs, probably not - Anisimova (if she doesn't win the U18s) and Dolehide would be more exciting prospects who have had better years.

The number of options does reduce the chances for Sharapova, too...
Not sure how close Arina Rodionova is to the Aussie Tennis Federation but I would think she would get it over Aiava surely.

Anisimova pulled out of the 18s the day she lost to Bektas last week in $60k Lexington. If Gibbs or Anisimova didn't get the WC not sure who else would get it.

IMO, I think it will be Day, Ahn and Gibbs but wouldn't be sad to see Amanda get it over Nicole. Would prefer Amanda to play qualies though like others have said.

I think the QWCs are very interesting actually, maybe more so because there are actually more discretionary spots available.
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post #5 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 8th, 2017, 08:30 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

I expect them to take the least-controversial route possible with the MDWCs as they have in recent years, i.e. Minor, Ahn, Day & Gibbs. But I also really don't expect much consternation if any of them are dropped for the likes of Sharapova or even Anisimova, Dolehide, etc.

My guess for QWC: Arconada, Liu, Kratzer, Halbauer, DiLorenzo, Anderson, Duval, Kiick, Tatishvili, Stewart (that's one too many, but I expect one of the first 3 will be elevated to MD with the 18s WC)
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post #6 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 8th, 2017, 09:42 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

I would say they will do a WC playoff for the AUS WC but nothing has been confirmed as this stage.
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post #7 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 9th, 2017, 12:44 AM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

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I would say they will do a WC playoff for the AUS WC but nothing has been confirmed as this stage.
They will be doing a playoff ... Cabrera will be playing.
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post #8 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 9th, 2017, 05:01 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

I'm confused about Parmentier. Isn't she next in MD? I mean, doesn't she have good chances to join the MD without a WC?
Who would get it then? Tessah or Paquet hopefully.
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post #9 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 9th, 2017, 06:47 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

Halbauer probably won't get a WC as she's injured and hopes to be back next month.
Such bad timing!
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post #10 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 13th, 2017, 09:23 AM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

USTA Girls' Nationals final is between two 18yos, Ashley Kratzer and Kelly Chen - none of the more hyped names or younger juniors made it. I thought the winner of the Osuigwe/Liu QF would have taken it.

Kratzer had a great result a couple of weeks ago getting to the Stockton 60K final but she definitely hasn't had much talk around her. Chen was one of the first (possibly the actual first) 1999 girls to win a pro title as a 15yo in 2014 but she hasn't played a pro event since 2015.
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post #11 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 13th, 2017, 01:42 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

what about Sharapova?
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post #12 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 13th, 2017, 05:34 PM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by gold fangs View Post
USTA Girls' Nationals final is between two 18yos, Ashley Kratzer and Kelly Chen - none of the more hyped names or younger juniors made it. I thought the winner of the Osuigwe/Liu QF would have taken it.

Kratzer had a great result a couple of weeks ago getting to the Stockton 60K final but she definitely hasn't had much talk around her. Chen was one of the first (possibly the actual first) 1999 girls to win a pro title as a 15yo in 2014 but she hasn't played a pro event since 2015.
I believe Chen was third after Gasanova and Zhuk but there might have been someone else too. Still impressive nevertheless.

Chen is committed to Duke while Kratzer seems to have gone pro (Doesn't having no rating on tennisrecruiting mean that?) so I hope Kratzer wins this one.

Kinda sad that Dolehide and Day skipped this, one of them getting a WC from here would've made the other WC choices easier for the organizers.
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post #13 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 14th, 2017, 07:54 AM
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Petkorazzi View Post
Chen is committed to Duke while Kratzer seems to have gone pro (Doesn't having no rating on tennisrecruiting mean that?) so I hope Kratzer wins this one.
Kratzer won in three sets. Not a WC anyone would have predicted. I think she's deliberately focused on pros rather than juniors so far but her results are solid rather than outstanding - that Stockton 60K final run is the highlight of her year but there are several kinda bad R1/qualy losses in there too.

I saw a bit of her Stockton run and she seems to have quite a bit of cleanly struck power in her game though.
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post #14 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 14th, 2017, 08:23 AM Thread Starter
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

Quote:
Originally Posted by gold fangs View Post
Kratzer won in three sets. Not a WC anyone would have predicted. I think she's deliberately focused on pros rather than juniors so far but her results are solid rather than outstanding - that Stockton 60K final run is the highlight of her year but there are several kinda bad R1/qualy losses in there too.

I saw a bit of her Stockton run and she seems to have quite a bit of cleanly struck power in her game though.
Yeah, saw two matches of hers at Stockton. She played rather well against Shilin, but she was spraying everything against Kenin. She's definitely an aggressive player so naturally, her results are going to be streaky. But she only started to get solid result in the second half of the year.

Quote:
Ashley Kratzer wins USTA junior championship
By Glae*Thien

AUGUST 13, 2017, 9:50 PM
Newport Beach’s Ashley Kratzer repeatedly banged the back of one foot with her racket in frustration at a low point for her in the final of the USTA Girls’ 18s National Championships

The third-seeded left-hander later heard cheers for her calm underdog opponent during a changeover and subsequently drew a code violation for racket abuse on the way to dropping the second set.

To open the third set, Kratzer won the first four games, only to lose the next four. Yet ultimately she showed her smile in closing out a 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 victory over No.33 Kelly Chen, of Cerritos, at the Barnes Tennis Center on
Sunday.

“I was very frustrated,’’ said Kratzer, 18, who turned pro last December and climbed to No. 341 in the world rankings. “My mental game has been a major struggle. It’s definitely gotten a lot better, but there are times when I
have to let it out or I’m going to let it out in my swings, and that’s not good. But I’d rather not.’’

The 5-foot-11 Kratzer also has experienced a late growth spurt since, she recalls, being about 5-0 at age 15. Because of her size, she bypassed a heavy schedule of junior tournaments to enter occasional pro events as an amateur instead.

Kratzer, who reached the round of 32 in this tournament last year, returned with the goal of a berth in the U.S Open main draw that’s awarded to the 18s winner.

“This is the biggest tournament that I’ve ever won,’’ said Kratzer, who will receive $50,000 for appearing in the U.S. Open, more than double her career earnings of $20,763. “Just the fact that there’s a wild-card (berth) involved
is absolutely amazing.’’

Chen, who is heading to Duke for college tennis, missed out on last year’s tournament while dealing with a yearlong battle with both a knee injury and ulcers. This marked the first major event of her return.

“Overall, I just kept fighting,’’ said Chen, 18, who highlighted her match with 20 service winners and three aces. “I came up short, but overall, I played great.’’

Kratzer impressed mostly with a powerful forehand. In the end, she won the last two games in nine points.

“At 4-4, I started hitting heavy, pushing her back, so I was much more comfortable,’’ Kratzer said. “At 4-0, I got away from my game plan.’’

Chen overcame a 4-0 deficit in the third set of a quarterfinal triumph over No. 10 Ann Li, a junior finalist at Wimbledon this year.

Thien*is*a*freelance*writer.
Copyright*©*2017,*The*San*Diego*Union*Tribune
Ashley Kratzer wins USTA junior championship - The San Diego Union-Tribune
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post #15 of 67 (permalink) Old Aug 14th, 2017, 08:32 AM Thread Starter
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Re: US Open WC speculation, discussion, chat, etc.

My prediction for Q WCs:

1. National Playoff.
2. RU USTA Girls National: Kelly Chen
3. Claire Liu
4. Victoria Duval
5. Usue Maitane Arconada
6. Ann Li /Whitney Osuigwe
7. Jessica Pegula
8. Emina Bektas



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