Re: Where will Mona go in 2014 ?
This is probably the most difficult question in women's tennis at the moment. As i already wrote in another thread, any ranking position between 10 and 150 is possible from my point of view.
If you look back to the seasons 2012 and 2013, you could conclude that it is likely that Mona will follow the same pattern in 2014. But in order to get a more complete picture of Mona's career so far, i studied her results in 2011. In that year she was pretty much up and down over the whole course of the season. She often had one or two very strong tournaments, followed by one or two really bad ones with really awful losses. In that way she blew any of her opponents off the court at the ITFs in Mestre (on clay!) and Shrewsbury (including Heather Watson in the final by 60 63), only to then fade away in the qualis of Linz and Luxembourg a few weeks later. She also had matchpoints against Kuznetsova (ranked 14 at that time) in Marbella and two weeks later she lost to the number 275.
So Mona proved in 2011 that she is well able to perform within the range of her possibilities for the whole year.
Why she wasn't able to follow that pattern in 2012 and 2013 is a difficult question and it's up to her to bring that pattern to WTA-level. Maybe it has something to do with normal adaptive difficulties and her coaching situation, but she has to find it out herself.
So for 2014 i don't expect a breakthrough a la Halep or Kerber. I think this is just not possible, given her inconsistency. Even though i still believe that Mona is slightly more talented than both of them, i don't think that her average and low level of performance are good enough to consistently go deep in tournaments.
And this is what being a TOP-10 player is about, that you are able to win on average and even on bad days.
I think it can happen that she has to go back to ITF-level, especially given her special ranking situation with a lot of points to defend within the first two and a half months of next year. In case that happens, would she, as an inconsistent player, then be able to get back to the big tour? I say yes, because she is too talented. But she probably wouldn't do that by playing consistently well on ITF-tournaments, rather by going deep at a few WTA-tournaments after a successful qualifying, like she already did in 2011.
So i think she will still be on the WTA-tour at the end of 2014. I would only expect an end of her career, if she stucks somewhere in ITF-regions for a longer time, which hopefully will never happen.
And with regard to the "same procedure as every year", i believe it will only happen, if Mona doesn't change her coaching situation (which is not unlikely). In case Mona still wants to travel with her mum as her coach, i would advise her to take a few weeks off in the middle of the season in order to work with her homecoach (the guy who helps her peaking for the first three months of the year).
But if Mona hires a proper coach during the offseason and follows his advise with full conviction, i think she will pattern-wise have a season like she had on ITF-level in 2011 and will end the year at around WTA 20.
Last edited by Tecumseh; Oct 21st, 2013 at 07:59 PM.