Re: Danish Delight - Caroline Wozniacki thread - vol 3
To me tonight's match is pretty hard to call because the players seem so evenly matched. They are both expert counter-punchers. Neither of them is stellar at the net. Caro has the better backhand while Oudin has the better forhand. Their serving power is about equal. Caro is more experienced but Oudin will have the crowd on her side. Caro is a little more consistent (fewer UEs) while Oudin has a little more punch (more Ws). Caro has more reach but Oudin seems a little faster. They were both outclassed in the 1st set of their 4R match against a higher ranked Russian, but both proved tough and fought their way back. They are both in very good physical condition, and while Caro has played fewer hours in this tournament she has also had the tougher program leading up to USO, so I think they'll be about even when it comes to freshness/weariness.
Caro may have an advantage when it comes to returns because of her good anticipation, and maybe she should try to take advantage of Oudin's somewhat short stature with some high-jumping serves. Unlike Caro Oudin is willing to mix up her game with some drop shots which could worh both for and against her.
I have always been calling for Caro to be more agressive, but I'm not completely sure that's the best plan here. Oudin has pulled off all her upsets against opponents who came to her. She hasn't yet shown an ability to be the one to create a match. It might be an idea for Caro to make it a baseline match at first and see if she can outsteady her younger opponent(I know, it won't be much fun to watch). If Oudin is still able to put Caro under pressure and win the points, though, then Caro must be ready to change her game and become agressive.
I see this match as 50-50.
Luxembourg 2016 & Auckland 2018
Madison Brengle: "I'd rather chew on a pinecone than play this match (against Wozniacki)."
Nicole Melichar: "Do you want me to go find you one?"
Nicole Melichar: "I'm really happy I don't have to play against her (Wozniacki)."
Madison Brengle: "Oh, thank you, that makes me feel so much better."