Re: Serena Williams will win Wimbledon
Assuming she wins against Goerges (up a set and a break, so it looks good), the match against La Carla will be a really good bellwether of where she's at. They've played 6 times and La Carla has managed just 16 games in that stretch, avoided a bagel set per match just twice, avoided a bagel or breadstick set per match just once.
It seems unlikely La Carla will be any real threat, but what happens will be demonstrative of where Serena is level-wise. After that, I'd give her even odds against Barty, favored over Riske, and even odds against Konta and Bertens, with Kvitova having a slight edge (based on Serena's occasional lefty misadventures). Any other possible SF opponent she'd be favored against.
Certainly a good chance, but a lot of roadblocks.