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Jan 13th, 2012, 12:36 AM
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#1
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 6,903
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Australian Open 2012
Here is Sammy's quarter of the draw:
[6] STOSUR, Samantha AUS v CIRSTEA, Sorana ROU
[Q] QUALIFIER v RADWANSKA, Urszula POL
[Q] QUALIFIER v ERRANI, Sara ITA
[Q] QUALIFIER v [29] PETROVA, Nadia RUS
[23] VINCI, Roberta ITA v CADANTU, Alexandra ROU
[WC] KEYS, Madison USA v ZHENG, Jie CHN
DOKIC, Jelena AUS v [SR] CHAKVETADZE, Anna RUS
RAZZANO, Virginie FRA v [9] BARTOLI, Marion FRA
[15] PAVLYUCHENKOVA, Anastasia RUS v ZAKOPALOVA, Klara CZE
BONDARENKO, Kateryna UKR v KING, Vania USA
BARROIS, Kristina GER v KRAJICEK, Michaella NED
DOMINGUEZ LINO, Lourdes ESP v [21] IVANOVIC, Ana SRB
[27] KIRILENKO, Maria RUS v GAJDOSOVA, Jarmila AUS
[WC] ZHANG, Shuai CHN v WOZNIAK, Aleksandra CAN
BEGU, Irina-Camelia ROU v SUAREZ NAVARRO, Carla ESP
DUSHEVINA, Vera RUS v [2] KVITOVA, Petra CZE
I guess it could have been worse, but this isn't the favourable draw I was hoping for. Cirstea's beaten Sam in the past, third round with Petrova looks dangerous, then probably Bartoli, then Kvitova. Kirilenko's floating around as well 
__________________
Sam Stosur|Jarmila Gajdosova|Jelena Dokic|Ashleigh Barty
Svetlana Kuznetsova|Sloane Stephens|Li Na|Francesca Schiavone|Vera Zvonareva
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Jan 13th, 2012, 12:47 AM
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#2
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 2,610
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Re: Australian Open 2012
One match at a time. My thoughts:
R1 vs Sorana
Not an easy opponent but Sam is still the firm favourite. Let's hope it's a repeat of French Open 2009. They are both different players now, so it should be an interesting match.
Potential R2 vs Q/Radwanska
No idea
Potential R3 vs Petrova
Sam has to win the previous two matches comprehensively to have a chance here. That USO match was SO close. Could have gone either way. Nadia is as hard as 3rd round opponents get.
Potential R4 vs Bartoli
Sadly, Sam has no chance. Best hope is this match doesn't happen at all. Marion needs to lose randomly to someone else.
__________________
So long...
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Jan 13th, 2012, 01:10 AM
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#3
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Senior Member
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Brisbane, Australia.
Posts: 9,575
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Its a very tough draw. I dont give Sam NO chance if she should face Marion. Afterall she would have 3 matches under her belt, and when Sam gets on a little run it can help her. Plus its one match at a time so it may not happen at all 
First up Sori. I dont see her losing this, it could be a close first set but I think Sam will win this match.
__________________
♡sam stosur. maria sharapova. jarmila gajdosova♡
dellacqua.kvitova.robson.
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Jan 13th, 2012, 01:31 AM
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#4
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 6,903
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Re: Australian Open 2012
I could maybe see Vinci causing Marion some problems...maybe Zheng as well, given that she's already won a tournament this year and is playing well. But I'm pretty sure Marion will be waiting in the fourth round.
I can't Sam beating Petrova to be honest. At least not the Petrova who showed up at the USO...
__________________
Sam Stosur|Jarmila Gajdosova|Jelena Dokic|Ashleigh Barty
Svetlana Kuznetsova|Sloane Stephens|Li Na|Francesca Schiavone|Vera Zvonareva
Last edited by SilverPersian : Jan 13th, 2012 at 03:43 AM.
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Jan 13th, 2012, 03:49 AM
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#5
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Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 1,637
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Not the worst draw not the best. I expect at leat round 4. Hoping for QF though.
__________________
Sharapova ~ Li ~ Kerber ~ Kvitova ~ Kirilenko ~ Ivanovic ~ Stephens ~ Makarova ~ Safarova ~ Cirstea ~ Goerges ~ Cornet ~ Lisicki ~ Robson ~ Watson ~ Kanepi ~ Keys ~ Tsurenko ~ Wozniak ~ Puig ~ Oudin ~ Petkovic ~ Sevastova ~ Rezai
AND OF COURSE ALL THE AUSSIES!!!
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Jan 13th, 2012, 04:36 AM
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#6
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Senior Member
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 277
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Quote:
Originally Posted by Huntress55
Its a very tough draw. I dont give Sam NO chance if she should face Marion. Afterall she would have 3 matches under her belt, and when Sam gets on a little run it can help her. Plus its one match at a time so it may not happen at all
First up Sori. I dont see her losing this, it could be a close first set but I think Sam will win this match. |
I agree with all of this. Sam *should* get past Sori OK - I think Sam needs to stop letting her opponents in right of the bat. As long as she's in Australia, she's prone to panicking and tightening up the moment her opponent doesn't allow her to dictate play. Once that happens, her usual fighting spirit doesn't seem to kick in quickly or effectively enough (in Oz, that is).
IF she gets as far as to play Marion, she does have a chance, but I'm not rating her chances very highly. Sam's focus is so off in Australia, and Marion's oddball between-point and receiving-serve antics are very distracting at the best of times.
I'll be satisfied if she makes it to R3 tbh. Of course, I say that now but...
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Jan 13th, 2012, 05:23 AM
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#7
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 9,355
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Re: Australian Open 2012
From R3 onwards this is about as tough a draw as Sam could possibly have been dealt. Unless she goes into total meltdown she should beat Cirstea and whoever she gets in R2, but she has potential matchups against Nadia, Marion, Petra, Serena/Maria and Vika/Kim after that, so she's got a mountain to climb if she wants to pull this one off. IMO the hard bits are R3-R4-QF. Nadia is always a handful for Sam, Marion has been in great form and Petra... well, enough said. If Sam can get to the SF I'd like her chances against anyone, and TBH I can't really see Serena, Maria or Kim even getting that far given their fitness issues and lack of recent matches. But realistically, given this draw a QF finish would be a really great result.
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Jan 13th, 2012, 07:55 AM
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#8
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 9,355
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Re: Australian Open 2012
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Jan 13th, 2012, 11:07 AM
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#9
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Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: London
Posts: 1,545
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Quote:
Originally Posted by stromatolite
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Ha! That IS pretty funny. In fact is is a shit draw. We've come to expect that...
__________________
It's later than you think...
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Jan 13th, 2012, 11:34 AM
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#10
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 9,355
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Quote:
Originally Posted by Siderophyre
Ha! That IS pretty funny. In fact is is a shit draw. We've come to expect that...
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Yes, tournament favorite in the QF and second favorite in the SF doesn't strike me as a generous draw either.
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Jan 13th, 2012, 11:39 AM
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#11
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,581
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Re: Australian Open 2012
One match at a time!!! And lets be honest Sam draw are usually hard....Come on SAM!!!!
__________________
When life gives you lemons... ask for tequila and salt
No tengan miedo: la cosa se pone oscura, pero nunca deja de ser dulce.
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Jan 13th, 2012, 11:43 AM
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#12
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 6,903
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Well, she had just about the toughest draw imaginable at the FO2010, and look what happened there!
(She also happened to be in the form of her life, on her favourite surface, and outside of Australia, but whatever).
__________________
Sam Stosur|Jarmila Gajdosova|Jelena Dokic|Ashleigh Barty
Svetlana Kuznetsova|Sloane Stephens|Li Na|Francesca Schiavone|Vera Zvonareva
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Jan 13th, 2012, 11:49 AM
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#13
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 9,355
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Quote:
Originally Posted by SilverPersian
Well, she had just about the toughest draw imaginable at the FO2010, and look what happened there!
(She also happened to be in the form of her life, on her favourite surface, and outside of Australia, but whatever).
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If she can get over her nerves I think she's in the form of her life right now. So negotiating the early rounds might well be the hardest bit if she wants to lift the trophy. But:
Quote:
Originally Posted by tenniscrazy84
One match at a time!!! And lets be honest Sam draw are usually hard....Come on SAM!!!!
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Couldn't agree more!
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Jan 13th, 2012, 03:19 PM
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#14
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Cruising in Sammy-side
Posts: 2,821
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Great. I'm having Hopman Cup flashbacks when I think of Sam vs Sorona 
Screw it, go Sam 
__________________
Smash 'em Sam
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Jan 13th, 2012, 05:31 PM
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#15
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Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Warwick Avenue
Posts: 2,927
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Re: Australian Open 2012
Quote:
Originally Posted by sunsets21
Great. I'm having Hopman Cup flashbacks when I think of Sam vs Sorona
Screw it, go Sam |
i thought of the hc too but if sam stays calm she can get past sori. go sam!
__________________
Ágnes Szávay
Career High Singles 13 * (24 Sep 2007)
Singles Titles: Palermo, 2007, def. Martina Muller 6-0, 6-1
Beijing, 2007, def. Jelena Jankovic 6-7(7) 7-5 6-2; Budapest, 2009, def. Patty Schnyder 2-6 6-4 6-2; Budapest, 2010, def. Patty Schnyder 6-2 6-4; Prague 2010, def. Zahlavova Strycova 6-2 1-6 6-2
Has wins over Schiavone, Radwanska, Hantuchova, Stosur, Petrova, Peng, Dementieva, Safina, Bartoli, Lisicki, Ivanovic, Pennetta, Azarenka, V. Williams.
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Australian Open 2012
at the wildly different ways Sam's draw is being described in the media:
