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Old Oct 14th, 2002, 06:29 AM   #1
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probabilities of winning the swisscom challenge

as shown at
http://www.sportpunter.com

here are the probabilities of a player winning and makiing the final respectively for the swisscom challenge. THe website has all of the predictions plus much more.



Davenport 20.3% 34.3%
Capriati 17.8% 33.6%
Mauresmo 15.8% 27.9%
Clijsters 9.8% 18.9%
Hantuchova 9.0% 16.2%
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 02:27 AM   #2
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dokic might be back she atcually won a match
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 02:45 AM   #3
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I seem to recall your "Clijsters" number was even lower than 9.8% last week.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 06:33 AM   #4
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I think Lindsay will take the title
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 06:34 AM   #5
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I think Lindsay will take the title
Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 02:24 PM   #6
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I think you should take Capriati out of the running and shove her down lower.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 02:35 PM   #7
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Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 02:36 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally posted by quasimodo
Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.
At the Porsche Grand Prix, of course.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:22 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally posted by Glenn


Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
Yeah like last year at the masters.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:36 PM   #10
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Originally posted by Glenn
Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3



Last edited by Elske : Oct 15th, 2002 at 03:41 PM.
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Old Oct 15th, 2002, 06:31 PM   #11
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Most of the meetings are very tight - anybody's guess who the winner would be.
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Old Oct 16th, 2002, 12:28 AM   #12
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WIth so many people in the running,
Clijesters had a 5.3% chance of winning last weekat the Porsche. This was 6th best. Which is probably about right. Just because it is a low probabillity doesn't mean that it was inaccurate. Not one player's probability of winning was abover 25% at the start of the tournament.

So does this mean that whoever won the predictions would be inaccurate? I don't think so.
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Old Oct 16th, 2002, 12:29 AM   #13
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NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%
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Old Oct 16th, 2002, 03:05 AM   #14
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Re: NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Quote:
Originally posted by sportpunter
NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%
I bet all my money that I am 100% certain that Hingis won't win the swisscom tournament and not making the finals eaither! .
(Get well soon Martina)
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Old Oct 16th, 2002, 03:24 AM   #15
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Quote:
Originally posted by Elske


Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3


Kim has won the last 2, but she is probably really tired after last week. We shoud find out in the 3rd round
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