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Nov 8th, 2009, 07:16 PM
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#1
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 178
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What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Right after the AO or sometime after that? Anyone know the calculations of what's the earliest she can lose it?
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Nov 8th, 2009, 07:18 PM
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#2
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Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,948
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Serena sydney SF + AO title = 2200 points
safina has Sydney F + AO F = 1720 points
Not a big difference. And Serena is way more likely to defend those points
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Anastasia Myskina
Radwanska - S. Williams - V. Williams - Kerber
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Nov 8th, 2009, 07:21 PM
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#3
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Set me free, leave me be.
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 15,735
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season. 
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Official Kleenex Supplier of the Jelena Clinic
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Nov 8th, 2009, 07:23 PM
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#4
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Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 10,948
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
the other threat is Wozniacki who doesn't have much to defend at the beginning of the year
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Anastasia Myskina
Radwanska - S. Williams - V. Williams - Kerber
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Nov 8th, 2009, 07:30 PM
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#5
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Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 1,724
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mikey.
Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season. |
don't get unrealistic, it's Safina  
btw.: yes, call me hater 
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Officially addicted to:
 Maria Sharapova | Serena Williams | Julia Görges | Kim Clijsters | Andrea Petkovic | Sabine Lisicki |
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Nov 8th, 2009, 10:16 PM
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#6
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Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 22,612
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Safina will be lucky to make it to the 2nd week.
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Serena WilliamsCareerGoldenSlamRena__AO03.05.07.09.10__FO02__W02.03.09.10.12__USO99.02.08.12__Venus WilliamsTHE Queen __W00.01.05.07.08__USO00.01__
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Nov 8th, 2009, 11:25 PM
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#7
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 3,291
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
If I'm not mistaken, if Serena loses early enough in Melbourne and Kuznetsova wins the whole thing, Kuznetsova would jump up to #1. If it's a 2000 point event, Serena could go down to the low 7000s, and Kuznetsova could jump to the low 8000s (points, not rankings  ).
Update: So Kuznetsova is defending 620 points in January and Serena is defending 2200 points, which means Kuznetsova can make a 1380 point jump with an Aussie title and nothing else, where as Serena would drop 2198 points with a 1st round loss. Now, I don't see that happening, but it's a hypothetical, no? |
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Nov 8th, 2009, 11:32 PM
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#8
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 9,831
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Wozniacki is Serena's biggest threat, imo.
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Nov 8th, 2009, 11:44 PM
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#9
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Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 8,365
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
I feel I may need to run on court and bash Woz's legs during the Aus Open.
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Going to US Open 2012!  Will be in NYC 22/8 - 2/9. Open to meeting up with fellow US Open attendees, gimme a buzz!
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Nov 8th, 2009, 11:48 PM
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#10
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Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 11,979
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
If Caroline win the australian open and serena loses in the first week, will caro get to number 1? I hope she wins it, because ana is hopeless at the moment
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Nov 8th, 2009, 11:51 PM
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#11
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 4,088
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.
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"Hold serve, hold serve, hold serve. Focus, focus, focus. Be confident, be confident, be confident. Hold serve. Hold, hold, hold. Move up. Attack. Kill. Smile. Hold!!!" Serena
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Nov 9th, 2009, 12:49 AM
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#12
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Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 10,137
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
I hope Sharapova becomes #1 soon.
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Nov 9th, 2009, 12:51 AM
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#13
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 21,199
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Hey if Venus wins AO and Serena loses REALLY early in both then Venus will take over as #1. Esp if Venus plays an international and wins it.  I can dream can't I?
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U.Radwanska-Townsend-Wozniacki-Barthel-Kanepi-Stephens
Burdette-Muguruza-Oudin-Pavlyuchenkova-Kvitova-A.Radwanska-Na
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Nov 9th, 2009, 12:53 AM
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#14
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Senior Member
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 13,334
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
Quote:
Originally Posted by nothingfails999
I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.
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Thank you for this epic fail clever contribution to this thread. 
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What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...
