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Old May 20th, 2010, 04:18 PM   #106
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Situation is as follows:

Guaranteed debutante:

Larsson

Possible debutantes out of qualies, sorted by the chances I give them of actually winning their qualifying round match (from most likely to least likely):

Halep
Doi
El Tabakh
Kalashnikova
Nara
Pervak
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Old May 20th, 2010, 04:56 PM   #107
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Quote:
Originally Posted by Just Do It View Post
Who's the most successful debutant of all time ?
Didn't Capriati have an amazing run at her first slam? That's before I started following tennis though.
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Old May 20th, 2010, 11:16 PM   #108
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

I know Santangelo and Vesnina made the 4r of their debut slams (both at 2005 AO i think) and Suarez Navarro played first grand slam and made QF at FO.
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Old May 21st, 2010, 04:13 PM   #109
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Halep, El Tabakh, Doi, Pervak all through.

Nara still going against Niculescu.
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Old May 21st, 2010, 07:04 PM   #110
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Quote:
Originally Posted by njnetswill View Post
Didn't Capriati have an amazing run at her first slam? That's before I started following tennis though.
Definetely Capriati making SF in her first GS appearance, RG 90, 20 years ago now
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Old May 21st, 2010, 07:08 PM   #111
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Dokic had a great run in W 1999 ? As a Q she beat Hingis in round 1 to reach QF or SF ?
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Old May 21st, 2010, 07:54 PM   #112
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

So 4 teenagers have made it to the MD. I always love that Roland-Garros often provides the most newcomers to Grand Slam MDs.
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Old May 21st, 2010, 07:54 PM   #113
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Nara makes GS debut by winning epic match against Niculescu
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Old May 21st, 2010, 07:57 PM   #114
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

It was Stevenson the one who made SF

But anyway, both girls had played in GS MD before.
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Old Jun 5th, 2010, 08:44 PM   #115
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

OP updated with RG 2010 debutantes, who didn't fare all that well in their first GS. Then again the debutantes were mostly somewhat random, and those that weren't got bad 1R draws.

For the English Open, we already have a guaranteed debutante: indoor legend La Push.

BTW I'm considering adding those players who made their Slam MD debut through WCs, and identifying those who got in on ranking.
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Old Jun 6th, 2010, 06:27 AM   #116
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

I discovered this thread a couple weeks ago. GOAT.
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Old Jun 16th, 2010, 02:55 PM   #117
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Possible debutantes in the qualifying round, rated from more likely to less likely to actually make it to the MD:

Hlavackova
Namigata
Garcia Vidagany
Whybourn
Tomljanovic

Last edited by Corswandt : Jun 16th, 2010 at 03:19 PM.
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Old Jun 16th, 2010, 06:44 PM   #118
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Order of likeliness:
1.Hlavackova - She should win rather easily.
2.Garcia Vidagany - This one is slightly in Arn's favour, but Garcia Vidagany has some chances.
3.Tomljanovic - Kaia has been playing well, but the other 2 stand almost no chance.
4.Namigata - She only has a chance if Niculescu has an off-day. She is too tired to even play a third set, I would guess.
5.Whybourn - Can't see her making it, although I have never seen her playing. But she did not beat anyone of note in qualifying.
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Old Jun 16th, 2010, 10:11 PM   #119
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

It's too bad Ajla has the toughest opponent, she's by far the most interesting potential debutante.
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Old Jun 16th, 2010, 10:30 PM   #120
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Re: Grand Slam debutantes

Quote:
Originally Posted by njnetswill View Post
It's too bad Ajla has the toughest opponent, she's by far the most interesting potential debutante.
I don't think I would go that far, I did get to see a bit of Ajla in the last couple of days and she does have a nice mix of power and finesse and is using both well but I am still thrilled to see Andrea finally making a nice move up the rankings in the last 12 months. If she can maintain that momentum there is no reason why she can't be top 100 within a few months or even weeks and she too does have a very refreshing game with a lot of very flat hitting and so many of her groundies just barely creeping over the net.
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