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Old May 16th, 2004, 03:29 PM   #1
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Capriati is just having a good week.....

Look she averages one title a year, so that means once a year she has a good week. She beat Mauresmo and Davenport back to back before last year's USO and she did nothing else all year before and after that. So even if she wins this title, it means nothing, because it'll be her one title a year that she averages. I don't want to be hearing all of this crap that Jennifer Capriati is having another comeback. It's not happening, it happened a few years ago and it's not happening again. She is not winning the FO, she might make the QF or SF, but she's not winning it. She's not the player she was in 2001 and 2002 and never will be again. However, it makes sense for her if she does win this title because it's in Italy and she's of Italian decent.
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Old May 16th, 2004, 03:44 PM   #2
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Old May 16th, 2004, 03:45 PM   #3
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It's always nice to see someone posting nice positive messages here.
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Old May 16th, 2004, 04:31 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSeth1119
Look she averages one title a year, so that means once a year she has a good week. She beat Mauresmo and Davenport back to back before last year's USO and she did nothing else all year before and after that. So even if she wins this title, it means nothing, because it'll be her one title a year that she averages. I don't want to be hearing all of this crap that Jennifer Capriati is having another comeback. It's not happening, it happened a few years ago and it's not happening again. She is not winning the FO, she might make the QF or SF, but she's not winning it. She's not the player she was in 2001 and 2002 and never will be again. However, it makes sense for her if she does win this title because it's in Italy and she's of Italian decent.

That is true.. she's not my fav but I hope she wins the title.
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Old May 16th, 2004, 04:35 PM   #5
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[QUOTEI don't want to be hearing all of this crap that Jennifer Capriati is having another comeback. It's not happening, it happened a few years ago and it's not happening again. She is not winning the FO, she might make the QF or SF, but she's not winning it. She's not the player she was in 2001 and 2002 and never will be again. However, it makes sense for her if she does win this title because it's in Italy and she's of Italian decent.[/quote]

Seth, So you don't want to be hearing all of this crap but it seems that is the only stuff coming out of your mouth. I mean it seems you think you are telepathic. Also, it seems right that she wins in Rome because of her Italian decent, get a grip!
Anyway, if she averages 1 title per year, so what...If it is a Grandslam then who cares.
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Old May 16th, 2004, 05:16 PM   #6
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She is having another comeback and I think the match today just proved it again....even though she lost.....next up.....the French Open, hmmm which she HAS won before!!!!

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Old May 16th, 2004, 05:44 PM   #7
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She is having another comeback you wait and see!! Oh yeah you are an ass!@!!
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Old May 16th, 2004, 06:36 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSeth1119
However, it makes sense for her if she does win this title because it's in Italy and she's of Italian decent.
You see, my issue with your post is not that it contains drivel, but rather, I can't get beyond your error. Italian DESCENT! So, really, once you fall down on that, the rest of what you say is irrelevant. You already proved your point of being dumb, so why compound it by posting shit?
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Old May 16th, 2004, 08:17 PM   #9
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I think it's interesting that you complain that if Jen only wins one title a year it's a bad one and yet you said she's not the same player she was in 2002, a year she won only one title. Heck, even in Jen's BEST year (2001) she won "only" three titles. In most years she won 1 or 2.
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Old May 16th, 2004, 08:36 PM   #10
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you are talking crap JEN CAN AND WILL WIN THE FRENCH OPEN.
GO JEN
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Old May 17th, 2004, 03:11 AM   #11
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you are talking crap JEN CAN AND WILL WIN THE FRENCH OPEN.
GO JEN
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The odds of Jennifer Capriati winning the FO are the same odds of Martina Hingis and Monica Seles playing at the FO in 2004!
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Old May 17th, 2004, 04:28 AM   #12
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Jen has just as much a chance as any other player to win the FO. And when she does WIN it, you will feel so stupid. Go Jen!!!
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Old May 17th, 2004, 06:58 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by TheSeth1119
The odds of Jennifer Capriati winning the FO are the same odds of Martina Hingis and Monica Seles playing at the FO in 2004!


lobotomy efect, huh?
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Old May 17th, 2004, 06:15 PM   #14
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The odds of Jennifer Capriati winning the FO are the same odds of Martina Hingis and Monica Seles playing at the FO in 2004!
This statment is mathmatically impossible. The odds of Martina and Monica playing are ZERO. Any player in the draw has at least a teeny tiny chance to win. Even Martina N. has a least a 1 in a hundred trillion chance to win. And one in one hundred trillion is still a greater chance than 0.

Also, let's look at the contenders..

1. Justine- should be the fave, but has missed a lot of time
2. Amelie-Has had great results in warmup events but hasn't won a major yet and feels a lot of pressure playing in her home Grand Slam
3. Serena-won two years ago but was just beaten by Jen. So I guess she can't win, right?
4. Venus. Hasn't won a major in a couple years. Hasn't won more than a title or two in a year since 2002. Hasn't beaten Serena since 2001. Started the year off poorly, but is having a great claycourt season. Sound familliar? In fact, Jen's had similar statistics over the past couple years. Since their results are so similar than Venus doesn't have a shot either, right?
5. Linsday. Has never won this tournament and skipped Berlin and Rome. She should contend for the title though.
6. Anastasia-Has never done well at RG, nor has she ever won a major. Was creamed by Jen in Berlin and lost early at Rome, so she can NOT be a contender, right?
7. Nadia Petrova. Beat Jen here in the 4th round last year. She is hot and cold though so it's hard to predict. She will have a lot of pressure to defend her SF points from last year.
8. Elena D- The last time she made a slam semi was 2000
9. Svetlana K-has been hot this year but is still unproven in majors
10. Vera Z-quarterfinalist last year and potential darkhorse
11. Ai? She's older than Jen. She's won fewer titles than Jen.
12. Chanda-she's been out for a while, has never won a major and is older than Jen

And now Jen:
A former champ of Roland Garros and has made the semis on two other occasions. Has a new coach and has gotten over an injury. Slow start to the season but great performances in Berlin and Rome. Has won a major more recently than Venus or Linsday.

Jen will be seeded between 5 and 7. That means that she should be favored to do better than 120-122 players (nobody can be favored to do better than 128 players). This would mean that by your theory, 120-122 players would have a LESSER chance of winning RG than Martina H and Monica would have of playing RG!

It would be one thing if Jen had a crappy record on clay. But she doesn't. If you said Andy Roddick doesn't have much of a chance, than I might agree. Since there are more surface specialists in the mens game, you can't always apply math to figure out the favorites.

Also, the odds really don't mean squat. Anyone who plays has a chance to win. The top players could all do really well, or some or all of them could lose early. The odds are that the top players will at least make the 4th round, but that doesn't mean they will. If someone had said that Jennifer Capriati would win the 2001 Australian Open the day before the tournament, someone would have said, "Yeah right. She has about the same chances of winning the tournament as Chris Evert and Steffi Graf have of playing it" (again mathematically impossible).

And Jen wound up winning that event if I remember correctly.

Last edited by JennyS : May 17th, 2004 at 06:41 PM.
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Old May 17th, 2004, 07:55 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JennyS
This statment is mathmatically impossible. The odds of Martina and Monica playing are ZERO. Any player in the draw has at least a teeny tiny chance to win. Even Martina N. has a least a 1 in a hundred trillion chance to win. And one in one hundred trillion is still a greater chance than 0.

Also, let's look at the contenders..

1. Justine- should be the fave, but has missed a lot of time
2. Amelie-Has had great results in warmup events but hasn't won a major yet and feels a lot of pressure playing in her home Grand Slam
3. Serena-won two years ago but was just beaten by Jen. So I guess she can't win, right?
4. Venus. Hasn't won a major in a couple years. Hasn't won more than a title or two in a year since 2002. Hasn't beaten Serena since 2001. Started the year off poorly, but is having a great claycourt season. Sound familliar? In fact, Jen's had similar statistics over the past couple years. Since their results are so similar than Venus doesn't have a shot either, right?
5. Linsday. Has never won this tournament and skipped Berlin and Rome. She should contend for the title though.
6. Anastasia-Has never done well at RG, nor has she ever won a major. Was creamed by Jen in Berlin and lost early at Rome, so she can NOT be a contender, right?
7. Nadia Petrova. Beat Jen here in the 4th round last year. She is hot and cold though so it's hard to predict. She will have a lot of pressure to defend her SF points from last year.
8. Elena D- The last time she made a slam semi was 2000
9. Svetlana K-has been hot this year but is still unproven in majors
10. Vera Z-quarterfinalist last year and potential darkhorse
11. Ai? She's older than Jen. She's won fewer titles than Jen.
12. Chanda-she's been out for a while, has never won a major and is older than Jen

And now Jen:
A former champ of Roland Garros and has made the semis on two other occasions. Has a new coach and has gotten over an injury. Slow start to the season but great performances in Berlin and Rome. Has won a major more recently than Venus or Linsday.

Jen will be seeded between 5 and 7. That means that she should be favored to do better than 120-122 players (nobody can be favored to do better than 128 players). This would mean that by your theory, 120-122 players would have a LESSER chance of winning RG than Martina H and Monica would have of playing RG!

It would be one thing if Jen had a crappy record on clay. But she doesn't. If you said Andy Roddick doesn't have much of a chance, than I might agree. Since there are more surface specialists in the mens game, you can't always apply math to figure out the favorites.

Also, the odds really don't mean squat. Anyone who plays has a chance to win. The top players could all do really well, or some or all of them could lose early. The odds are that the top players will at least make the 4th round, but that doesn't mean they will. If someone had said that Jennifer Capriati would win the 2001 Australian Open the day before the tournament, someone would have said, "Yeah right. She has about the same chances of winning the tournament as Chris Evert and Steffi Graf have of playing it" (again mathematically impossible).

And Jen wound up winning that event if I remember correctly.
Ok let's leave it at this, Jeniifer Capriati does have a 1/128 chance of winning it, but she's not going to win it. She's a good player, but will not imo make it pas tthe QF or SF.
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