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Old Oct 5th, 2005, 02:04 PM   #1
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Championships Excel table - group standings and no.1 scenarios (update!)

http://www.geocities.com/godominique2/Champs.xls

I have added the completed matches and changed the schedule as far as we know it.

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No.1 scenarios: Kim vs. Lindsay

Since Lindsay has already reached the semifinal, she will be no.1 if Kim fails to make it to the semis.
If Kim manages to reach the semis (see under "Black Group scenarios"), then the following applies:

1. If one of them wins the tournament, she will be no.1 (winner of possible final Kim vs. Lindsay will be no.1).
2. If one of them reaches the final (and the other one doesn't), she will be no.1 (winner of possible semifinal Kim vs. Lindsay will be no.1).
3. If both lose in the semifinal, then Kim will be no.1.

Green Group scenarios

Lindsay has qualified for the semis. She needs to beat Maria to be sure of qualifying as no.1 in her group.

Maria just needs with one more win if Patty beats Nadia.
If Nadia beats Patty and Maria loses to Lindsay, then the winner of Maria vs. Nadia advances to the semis.
If Nadia beats Patty and Maria beats Lindsay, then Maria will still need a win or at least a set against Nadia, depending on the set standings.

Nadia most likely needs to win both her matches, although there's still a small chance left if she loses to Patty in three sets.
If she wins both matches and Maria loses to Lindsay, then Nadia is qualified.
If she wins both matches and Maria beats Lindsay, then it will depends on sets won and lost.

Patty needs a straight-sets win against Nadia, Lindsay beating Maria and then Nadia beating Maria. Problem is, Nadia will already know that she's out before her last match.
With a three-sets win against Nadia, Patty only qualifies in a freak scenario with counting games.

Black Group scenarios

Mary needs to win on more set against Amelie to be sure of qualifying.
She will qualify in any case as long as Elena doesn't win both her matches.

Amelie will qualify for the semis with a win against Elena.
If she loses against Elena in three sets then any kind of win against Mary will be enough to qualify.
If she loses against Elena in two sets then a straight-sets win against Mary is needed if Elena beats Kim.
If she loses both her matches then she must hope that Kim beats Elena.

Elena qualifies for the semis if she wins her last two matches and Mary beats Amelie.
If Amelie beats Mary then Elena needs two straight-sets wins.
With a win against Amelie and loss to Kim, she still has an outside chance for the semis if Mary beats Amelie.

Kim qualifies if she beats Elena in two sets, Elena beats Amelie in two sets and Mary beats Amelie in two sets.

Last edited by GoDominique : Nov 10th, 2005 at 08:58 AM.
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Old Oct 5th, 2005, 10:31 PM   #2
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Old Nov 7th, 2005, 03:18 AM   #3
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Bump.
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Old Nov 7th, 2005, 01:41 PM   #4
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Cool. This is my first time seeing the groups, and man is that one group stacked!! Davenport doesn't have any real competition outside of Sharapova, and who knows how Maria is feeling. Kim could lose to anyone in her group, though (well, maybe not Amelie).
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Old Nov 7th, 2005, 09:30 PM   #5
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thx Godominique for your fine excel-sheet
so now we can see when Kim is gonna get the number one spot.
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Old Nov 10th, 2005, 08:58 AM   #6
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Updated.
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Old Nov 10th, 2005, 09:30 AM   #7
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thanks for the analysis.
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