Originally Posted by Kathy Rinaldi
Kvitova played two rounds in Brisbane and one here so no consolation in that fact.
Cepelova is the kind of player who is awkward to beat for any non elite big hitter in first match of the season. Hlavackova had the same problems as Miki did in the next round, losing a tight one, and Sveta went to three sets. They are all playing around the same level, hopefully Miki can do enough tidying up this week to play a bit cleaner in Melbourne, draw permitting.
Yeah, actually, a good point to differentiate between "elite" big hitters and "non-elite" big hitters and how they handle the journeywomen "retriever" types. A Sharapova or a Li Na has the regular confidence in her big shots to blow the Cepelova's off the court 90% of the time, with an "off day" resulting in the occasional struggle or maybe fluke loss. On the other hand, less confident (and lower-ranked) big hitters/bashers (Hlavackova, Voskoboeva, Lucic, etc.) have to work hard to beat these types ~most~ of the time, with a loss always a distinct possibility.
The sticky hard courts in Oz summer heat are not ideal for an "okay" mover like Lucic, but she practices primarily on hard courts and, given the obvious amount of hard work she has been putting in as far as training, one does hope that she will be rewarded with commensurate results.
One win in Melbourne --just one-- will vault her up to around 86; essentially equalling her "best ranking" of the 2008-2012 full-time comeback. Just ONE win will change the tone of her entire career "comeback" at this point, because she can build significantly upon it all the way through Wimbledon. A Top 70 or Top 60 ranking is not out of the question if she can win just one match in Melbourne and follow-up with a mere handful of main draw wins (anywhere) before Wimbledon.
Here's hoping for a winnable 1st Round match-up at Flinders Park and a very focused, gritty, fighting Miki to show up.