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Old May 30th, 2011, 12:24 AM   #8
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Re: Comebacks after first set lost with 0:6 (2011 so far+2010),2009)

Here are some stats for 3-sets matches that began with a bagel (based on WTA maindraw matches 1997-2010):

The most common set scores in the 2nd and 3rd set are 6-4 and 6-3 - but the variation is high, cf. lists below.

An inverse bagel (0-6 6-0 X-X) has only happened twice;
Elena Dementieva def. Elena Bovina (Gaz de France Stars 2004, Final, I.hard); 0-6 6-0 6-4
Monica Niculescu def. Ekaterina Ivanova (Tashkent Open 2010, 2nd, Hard); 0-6 6-0 6-1

The majority of bagel-begun-3-setters are close in the 2nd set - 71% of the matches have a score of 6-3(+) in the 2nd set.
...but that number goes down in the 3rd set; 61% of the matches have a score of 6-3(+) in the 2nd set.


Code:
Set scores in 3-sets matches (lww) that began with a bagel; 2nd -- 3rd


SET 2nd
YEAR    #       __6:0________   __6:1________   __6:2________   __6:3________   __6:4________   __7:5________   __7:6________  
1997    14      0.00% (0)       21.4% (3)       7.14% (1)       14.2% (2)       35.7% (5)       7.14% (1)       14.2% (2)      
1998    9       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       22.2% (2)       33.3% (3)       11.1% (1)       22.2% (2)       11.1% (1)     
1999    10      0.00% (0)       10.0% (1)       30.0% (3)       20.0% (2)       20.0% (2)       20.0% (2)       0.00% (0)      
2000    9       0.00% (0)       11.1% (1)       0.00% (0)       11.1% (1)       44.4% (4)       22.2% (2)       11.1% (1)      
2001    16      0.00% (0)       12.5% (2)       18.7% (3)       31.2% (5)       25.0% (4)       6.25% (1)       6.25% (1) 
2002    13      0.00% (0)       7.69% (1)       15.3% (2)       7.69% (1)       30.7% (4)       7.69% (1)       30.7% (4)     
2003    15      0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       13.3% (2)       20.0% (3)       46.6% (7)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (3)        
2004    16      6.25% (1)       6.25% (1)       18.7% (3)       25.0% (4)       18.7% (3)       6.25% (1)       18.7% (3)        
2005    10      0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       40.0% (4)       10.0% (1)       
2006    11      0.00% (0)       9.09% (1)       0.00% (0)       54.5% (6)       18.1% (2)       9.09% (1)       9.09% (1)          
2007    10      0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       60.0% (6)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       
2008    10      0.00% (0)       30.0% (3)       10.0% (1)       50.0% (5)       0.00% (0)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       
2009    11      0.00% (0)       9.09% (1)       9.09% (1)       27.2% (3)       18.1% (2)       0.00% (0)       36.3% (4) 
2010    10      10.0% (1)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       30.0% (3)       10.0% (1) 

ALL av (SD)     1.16% (2.9%)    11.2% (8.6%)    16% (14%)       21.7% (16%)     22.7% (12%)     13.6% (11%)     13.4% (9.9%)
Code:
SET 3rd
YEAR    #       __6:0________   __6:1________   __6:2________   __6:3________   __6:4________   __7:5________   __7:6'x______   __8-6(+)_____ 
1997    14      0.00% (0)       21.4% (3)       28.5% (4)       7.14% (1)       7.14% (1)       14.2% (2)       14.2% (2)       7.14% (1)     
1998    9       0.00% (0)       11.1% (1)       44.4% (4)       11.1% (1)       11.1% (1)       11.1% (1)       11.1% (1)       0.00% (0)     
1999    10      0.00% (0)       10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       50.0% (5)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)     
2000    9       0.00% (0)       11.1% (1)       22.2% (2)       11.1% (1)       33.3% (3)       11.1% (1)       0.00% (0)       11.1% (1)     
2001    16      0.00% (0)       12.5% (2)       31.2% (5)       31.2% (5)       6.25% (1)       6.25% (1)       6.25% (1)       6.25% (1)     
2002    13      15.3% (2)       15.3% (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       23.0% (3)       23.0% (3)       23.0% (3)       0.00% (0)     
2003    15      0.00% (0)       26.6% (4)       20.0% (3)       13.3% (2)       20.0% (3)       0.00% (0)       6.66% (1)       13.3% (2)     
2004    16      0.00% (0)       25.0% (4)       18.7% (3)       18.7% (3)       25.0% (4)       0.00% (0)       12.5% (2)       0.00% (0)     
2005    10      10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       10.0% (1)       30.0% (3)       20.0% (2)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       0.00% (0)     
2006    11      0.00% (0)       9.09% (1)       9.09% (1)       45.4% (5)       18.1% (2)       9.09% (1)       0.00% (0)       9.09% (1)     
2007    10      0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       40.0% (4)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       30.0% (3)       0.00% (0)     
2008    10      10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       50.0% (5)       0.00% (0)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)     
2009    11      9.09% (1)       18.1% (2)       18.1% (2)       9.09% (1)       36.3% (4)       9.09% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)     
2010    10      20.0% (2)       40.0% (4)       20.0% (2)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       10.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)     

ALL av (SD)     4.6% (6.7%)     16.4% (9.5%)    18.7% (11%)     20.5% (15%)     19.3% (14%)     7.42% (6.6%)    9.56% (9.3%)    3.35% (4.8%) 


av = average (aritmethic mean)
SD = standard deviation (pop)

Last edited by Marlene : May 30th, 2011 at 11:41 AM.
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