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View Full Version : Tour Champs: Predictable


Volcana
Nov 10th, 2002, 06:42 PM
Serena, Venus, Jenn - The current top three. Just about indisputably the three best players most of the year, especially with Martina, and Lindsay missing big hunks of the year with injuries, and neither yet at 100%.

So who WOULD we have expected in the Tour Championship semis? Certainly after RG?

Serena, Venus, Jenn plus one out of Monica, Kim, Amelie or Justine. So, while the level of play on the tour is higher than ever, I'm not sure the tour is deeper.

Is the #10 player any likelier to beat #1 now than ten years ago?
Is the #3 player any likelier to beat #1 now than ten years ago?

The change I see is, #15 actually has shot at #4 or #5. The chase group behind the leaders has more and better players in it. And on a bad day, #1 loses to #12 now. But a cynic would have said six months ago they knew who three of the four semi-finalists would be, and that cynic would have been right.

I expect to see the chase pack grow down to rank #18 or 19 next year. But the leaders will still be 2 or 3 players who beat everyone else 9 times out of 10.