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sportpunter
Oct 14th, 2002, 06:29 AM
as shown at
http://www.sportpunter.com

here are the probabilities of a player winning and makiing the final respectively for the swisscom challenge. THe website has all of the predictions plus much more.



Davenport 20.3% 34.3%
Capriati 17.8% 33.6%
Mauresmo 15.8% 27.9%
Clijsters 9.8% 18.9%
Hantuchova 9.0% 16.2%

SM
Oct 15th, 2002, 02:27 AM
dokic might be back ;) she atcually won a match :)

disposablehero
Oct 15th, 2002, 02:45 AM
I seem to recall your "Clijsters" number was even lower than 9.8% last week.

LucasArg
Oct 15th, 2002, 06:33 AM
I think Lindsay will take the title :)

Glenn
Oct 15th, 2002, 06:34 AM
Originally posted by LucasArg
I think Lindsay will take the title :)

Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!

mauresmofan
Oct 15th, 2002, 02:24 PM
I think you should take Capriati out of the running and shove her down lower.

Sharapower
Oct 15th, 2002, 02:35 PM
Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.

Sharapower
Oct 15th, 2002, 02:36 PM
Originally posted by quasimodo
Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.

At the Porsche Grand Prix, of course.

Maajken
Oct 15th, 2002, 03:22 PM
Originally posted by Glenn


Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!

Yeah like last year at the masters.

Elske
Oct 15th, 2002, 03:36 PM
Originally posted by Glenn
Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3


:cool:

mauresmofan
Oct 15th, 2002, 06:31 PM
Most of the meetings are very tight - anybody's guess who the winner would be.

sportpunter
Oct 16th, 2002, 12:28 AM
WIth so many people in the running,
Clijesters had a 5.3% chance of winning last weekat the Porsche. This was 6th best. Which is probably about right. Just because it is a low probabillity doesn't mean that it was inaccurate. Not one player's probability of winning was abover 25% at the start of the tournament.

So does this mean that whoever won the predictions would be inaccurate? I don't think so.

sportpunter
Oct 16th, 2002, 12:29 AM
NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%

Sofiane
Oct 16th, 2002, 03:05 AM
Originally posted by sportpunter
NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%

I bet all my money that I am 100% certain that Hingis won't win the swisscom tournament and not making the finals eaither! :).
(Get well soon Martina)

2284
Oct 16th, 2002, 03:24 AM
Originally posted by Elske


Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3


:cool:

Kim has won the last 2, but she is probably really tired after last week. We shoud find out in the 3rd round

disposablehero
Oct 16th, 2002, 04:36 AM
I think you are entirely wrong, Sofiane. Martina's chances here (now that round 1 has been completed) look pretty good. Clearly if they can update round by round this must be pretty accurate stuff.

Hawk
Oct 16th, 2002, 04:43 AM
If Kim faces Lindsay again this week I don't think she'll have enough left in the tank to beat her. Lindsay is obviously a very difficult opponent and one you've got to be near 100% to beat. However Kim has won the last 2 meetings and 3 of the last 4 meetings..so it's anybody's guess.

LucasArg
Oct 16th, 2002, 05:56 AM
Well, of course Kim can beat her, but what I said is Lindsay the one to take the title this week.:)

Gus
Oct 16th, 2002, 11:07 AM
lol Angelica for last year's Masters !!!
BTW I don't see why you guys bother making stats, for Amelie has 90°/o chances winning... Helloooooooooo ;)

Sofiane
Oct 16th, 2002, 02:28 PM
Right Disposbale and at the final, the players have like 50/50 chance to win I guess?