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TheSeth1119
Nov 8th, 2009, 08:16 PM
Right after the AO or sometime after that? Anyone know the calculations of what's the earliest she can lose it?

frenchie
Nov 8th, 2009, 08:18 PM
Serena sydney SF + AO title = 2200 points

safina has Sydney F + AO F = 1720 points

Not a big difference. And Serena is way more likely to defend those points

Mikey.
Nov 8th, 2009, 08:21 PM
Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season. :unsure:

frenchie
Nov 8th, 2009, 08:23 PM
the other threat is Wozniacki who doesn't have much to defend at the beginning of the year

toby345
Nov 8th, 2009, 08:30 PM
Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season. :unsure:

don't get unrealistic, it's Safina :D :spit:

btw.: yes, call me hater ;)

RenaSlam.
Nov 8th, 2009, 11:16 PM
Safina will be lucky to make it to the 2nd week.

OsloErik
Nov 9th, 2009, 12:25 AM
If I'm not mistaken, if Serena loses early enough in Melbourne and Kuznetsova wins the whole thing, Kuznetsova would jump up to #1. If it's a 2000 point event, Serena could go down to the low 7000s, and Kuznetsova could jump to the low 8000s (points, not rankings :lol:).

Update: So Kuznetsova is defending 620 points in January and Serena is defending 2200 points, which means Kuznetsova can make a 1380 point jump with an Aussie title and nothing else, where as Serena would drop 2198 points with a 1st round loss. Now, I don't see that happening, but it's a hypothetical, no?

AnnaK_4ever
Nov 9th, 2009, 12:32 AM
Wozniacki is Serena's biggest threat, imo.

hdfb
Nov 9th, 2009, 12:44 AM
I feel I may need to run on court and bash Woz's legs during the Aus Open.

danieln1
Nov 9th, 2009, 12:48 AM
If Caroline win the australian open and serena loses in the first week, will caro get to number 1? I hope she wins it, because ana is hopeless at the moment

LightWarrior
Nov 9th, 2009, 12:51 AM
I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.

Vartan
Nov 9th, 2009, 01:49 AM
I hope Sharapova becomes #1 soon.

Inger67
Nov 9th, 2009, 01:51 AM
Hey if Venus wins AO and Serena loses REALLY early in both then Venus will take over as #1. Esp if Venus plays an international and wins it. :) I can dream can't I?

Matt01
Nov 9th, 2009, 01:53 AM
I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.


Thank you for this epic fail clever contribution to this thread. :o