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View Full Version : Who has the best shot at the French?


AcesHigh
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:25 PM
I know it's very early, but ever since Sharapova won the Australian Open, there's been talk of her possibly winning the French.

Even the most ridiculous fans would consider Henin the favorite. However, aside from Henin and some other solid claycourters, there are some bigtime players who probably dont have much of a shot, but could challenge for the title anyway(at least their fans seem to think so).

So out of this group, who do you think has the best shot of winning the French Open and why?

>(5)Maria Sharapova-riding a hot streak and coming off a career-best semifinal showing at Roland Garros last year. However, many consider her movement on the surface below-average at best and her powergame is almost nullified by the slow clay

>(6)Venus Williams - former finalist and 5-time quarterfinalist. Has made at least the quarterfinals every even year since 1998, but her movement and high-risk game don't fit the surface well. Except for 2003, she's been guaranteed to implode before making it far into the second week.

>(10)Serena Williams-former champion and hasn't lost before the QF's since 1999. Surprisingly, this has been her most consistent slam since her return in 2004.. but that's only because she's only played her 2 times in that timespan. Probably the most realistic potential of this bunch, but has appeared sluggish at times and she's only won 3 titles since 2004. Additionally, it's a safe bet she'll be dealing with some injury, whether real or alleged.

>(15)Nicole Vaidisova-had some struggles last year and I believe she dealt with injury issues, but seems to be playing well. Had a QF showing at the French last year and SF showing in 2006.

Demska
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:30 PM
Justine, end of.

Shvedbarilescu
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:33 PM
Out of that group I would probably make Vaidisova the favorite although the thought does make me feel a little ill. :lol:

Actually, aside from Venus, the remaining three are most definately not anywhere close to being amongst my favorite players, infact they lie about as far away from that group as one can get. So of those four if one of them were to win RG I would pray very hard for Venus. :)

Sharakim
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:42 PM
If for some reason Justine is knocked out, I think the best contender will be Serena Williams followed closly by Sharapova. Williams is a former champion and despite her age she still has plenty of power and determination. If she really wants it, I see very few players who can stop her at RG, not because they're worse on clay but because Serena scares a lot of players when she's motivated. The key thing is if her body will hold up.

Maria is also a contender. Despite not making the final ever, she's made it to the semis and the quarters. Her record at FO is not that bad. If she wins it'll depend on her draw. It needs to be a tough like AO2008. She has to be battletested on clay by people who like to play on the surface (ie. Patty S). If she can survive, that'll give her ton of confidence and confidence goes a long way. I can see her winning if she makes it to the final having beaten a williams along the way.

Uranium
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:44 PM
venus has won Rome, charleston, amelia island, hamburg and istanbul, she has beest chance.
Maria-:tape:
Serena-possible
Nicole-maybe

Slutiana
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:44 PM
Venus. In AO, she wasn't pelting the ball at 100mph off the ground very much. Although it didn't work on Plexicushion. It will be much better on clay. Plus, she moves waaaaaayyy better than any of the others on clay.

Chris 84
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:51 PM
Can't see any of them winning it. If one of them has a very good draw, and if Henin plays badly, then I guess they might have a tiny chance.....

njnetswill
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:52 PM
Sesil is going to beat Venus again at RG. :p:lol:

bunch_01
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:55 PM
Nicole Vaidosova is unstoppable.

Uranium
Feb 3rd, 2008, 08:56 PM
Sesil is going to beat Venus again at RG. :p:lol:

who says she will make it to the final to play Venus;):p

bunch_01
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:00 PM
Nicole Vaidosova is unstoppable.

Uranium
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:03 PM
Nicole Vaidosova is unstoppable.

Nicole Vaidosova is unstoppable.

u posted it twice, both times misspelling her name:tape:

Dodoboy.
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:09 PM
haha!

Peterk07
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:14 PM
It all depends on Henin. If she plays well, then no one else will have a real chance. If she plays mediocre, or if she'll be beaten a few times on the way to Paris, hurting her confidence, I'd say:

- Henin will still have 50% chance
- Sharapova 10%
- Someone not in this poll (Kuzny, Ana, maybe someone else) 40%

A'DAM
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:20 PM
Well without Justine this pool does not make sense IMHO :o

Emina.
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:23 PM
Maria?! :D

Il Primo!
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:27 PM
Justine, end of.

Re-read that damn question, boy. Being Serena's most pathetic hater and being unstudied are two different things.


Tough question. I'd say Vaidisova, for some reasons...but her head:o

njnetswill
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:29 PM
who says she will make it to the final to play Venus;):p

Because she is as great a fighter as Venus. :worship: Well, one can dream. :p

It would be cool to have Venus do well at RG again. I don't remember the last time that happened. :scratch:

mb011
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:32 PM
with williams sisters you just never know. maybe they will miss the toutnament (has happened before), if they play, their form was really bad in australia, on a court which was better for their game. so i don't think they will be favorites, but then again, that was always their advantage :worship:

vaidisova is still not there mentally, for the big stuff.

for me, out of the four the favorite would be maria.

but i voted none of mentioned, as i'm sure justine will be back even stronger, and will win the RG again.

my favorites are always ana and jelena :devil:

mb011
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:33 PM
with williams sisters you just never know. maybe they will miss the toutnament (has happened before), if they play, their form was really bad in australia, on a court which was better for their game. so i don't think they will be favorites, but then again, that was always their advantage :worship:

vaidisova is still not there mentally, for the big stuff.

for me, out of the four the favorite would be maria.

but i voted none of mentioned, as i'm sure justine will be back even stronger, and will win the RG again.

my favorites are always ana and jelena :devil:

AcesHigh
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:33 PM
Because she is as great a fighter as Venus. :worship: Well, one can dream. :p

It would be cool to have Venus do well at RG again. I don't remember the last time that happened. :scratch:

If QF's are "well", then 2006.

njnetswill
Feb 3rd, 2008, 09:51 PM
If QF's are "well", then 2006.

:eek: Wow, I completely forgot about that matchup with Vaidisova. :smash:

svetaisthebest
Feb 3rd, 2008, 10:11 PM
Justine would definitely be the favourite.You can never count out the Williams sisters:lol: so if theyre playing well they can definitely be a threat.Im not sure about Maria because of the surface and Nicole only if she keeps it together mentally.Svetlana please get it together for RG :sad:

Uranium
Feb 3rd, 2008, 10:17 PM
with williams sisters you just never know. maybe they will miss the toutnament (has happened before), if they play, their form was really bad in australia, on a court which was better for their game. so i don't think they will be favorites, but then again, that was always their advantage :worship:

vaidisova is still not there mentally, for the big stuff.

for me, out of the four the favorite would be maria.

but i voted none of mentioned, as i'm sure justine will be back even stronger, and will win the RG again.

my favorites are always ana and jelena :devil:

Venus has NEVER missed the French Open or Wimbledon, she's committed to win:bounce:

jonny84
Feb 3rd, 2008, 10:30 PM
Justine will win.

iamhe
Feb 3rd, 2008, 11:13 PM
I think Justine is still a big favorite. And if she's healthy, she'll probably have a big chance to win it again this year.

Apart from Justine, the ones you mentioned above who has the biggest shot is Serena IMO. Her game compared to Venus and Sharapova suits clay more. And she is experienced and tough. But she has to be healthy, determined and motivated. And of course, she has to be in good form.

Venus and Sharapova of course have chances as well. They are great champions, both experienced and tough. But they are more vulnerable on clay.If they want to win the FO, they have to be in very top form. And more important, they need a good draw to avoid the good claycourters.

Other than the four, I think Jankovic ,Ivanovic and Kuznetsova have a shot,too. They won titles on clay and have good records at RG. But they need to be tough and have some luck.

Sha_ra_po_va
Feb 4th, 2008, 12:56 AM
Remember that the winner of the AUS Open comes in with a little added punch to their name, that Maria reached semis last year (when clearly sub-par) and that players like ivanovic, dementieva and vaidisova have been to the very latter stages of the French (and I'd rank Maria higher than them, in terms of ability and mental strength). She'd need a good draw (or maybe a tough one, after seeing what happened in Melbourne!) and possibly an off-day from Justine (she does have a couple, even on clay!), but I would not be stunned to see her do it. After all, if Mary Pierce can win...:help:

morningglory
Feb 4th, 2008, 12:58 AM
Serena; she's the only one who's won it...

Sam L
Feb 4th, 2008, 01:00 AM
Really hoping Venus. Serena is having surgery on her knee?

ninanina19
Feb 4th, 2008, 01:02 AM
Karatantcheva.

Expat
Feb 4th, 2008, 01:04 AM
among the 4 maria
other than justine only ana comes to mind
sveta and jelena may progress to the later stages but wont win

Slutati
Feb 4th, 2008, 01:18 AM
i voted serena cuz i'm not sure if maria has ever won a tournament on clay.has she?

Pasta-Na
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:11 AM
come on, maria's big serve on clay = :o

ZeroSOFInfinity
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:12 AM
So out of this group, who do you think has the best shot of winning the French Open and why?

>(5)Maria Sharapova-riding a hot streak and coming off a career-best semifinal showing at Roland Garros last year. However, many consider her movement on the surface below-average at best and her powergame is almost nullified by the slow clay

>(6)Venus Williams - former finalist and 5-time quarterfinalist. Has made at least the quarterfinals every even year since 1998, but her movement and high-risk game don't fit the surface well. Except for 2003, she's been guaranteed to implode before making it far into the second week.

>(10)Serena Williams-former champion and hasn't lost before the QF's since 1999. Surprisingly, this has been her most consistent slam since her return in 2004.. but that's only because she's only played her 2 times in that timespan. Probably the most realistic potential of this bunch, but has appeared sluggish at times and she's only won 3 titles since 2004. Additionally, it's a safe bet she'll be dealing with some injury, whether real or alleged.

>(15)Nicole Vaidisova-had some struggles last year and I believe she dealt with injury issues, but seems to be playing well. Had a QF showing at the French last year and SF showing in 2006.

I agree with your comments about Venus, Serena and Vaidisova, but slightly different about Maria....

Maria Sharapova
If you mean "now" my answer is a resounding NO. Hard-hitting and massive serves will win you titles on any other surfaces, but not on clay. Yeah, she was in the FO semis last year, but I believe (and I am a Maria fan) that it was a total fluke. Wins over Loit (a decent claycourter, but not any challenge to her), Craybas (need I say more?), Kudryavtseva (a qualifier), Patty (choke....) and Anna (you expect her to beat Anna, don't you?) doesn't mean she CAN play on clay - if she had faced Justine, Sveta, Jelena or Ana before the semis, she would be out by then. I don't say that she WON'T win it.... but I can't see it at the moment. Maybe in a few years time, when Justine is not around anymore... or getting a very favourable draw and most of the clay specialists are out with injury.....who knows?

heytennis
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:16 AM
Maria isn't bad on clay, she just hasn't made too much of an effort to improve. Now that the career slam talk is coming up, hopefully she will take RG seriously.

SAEKeithSerena
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:21 AM
marias going to complete here career grand slam this year. she's on fire.

RJWCapriati
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:24 AM
(10) S. Williams

Huntress555
Feb 4th, 2008, 04:32 AM
I think any of those could win it, but I'm going for Masha :D

AcesHigh
Feb 4th, 2008, 05:15 AM
I agree with your comments about Venus, Serena and Vaidisova, but slightly different about Maria....

Maria Sharapova
If you mean "now" my answer is a resounding NO. Hard-hitting and massive serves will win you titles on any other surfaces, but not on clay. Yeah, she was in the FO semis last year, but I believe (and I am a Maria fan) that it was a total fluke. Wins over Loit (a decent claycourter, but not any challenge to her), Craybas (need I say more?), Kudryavtseva (a qualifier), Patty (choke....) and Anna (you expect her to beat Anna, don't you?) doesn't mean she CAN play on clay - if she had faced Justine, Sveta, Jelena or Ana before the semis, she would be out by then. I don't say that she WON'T win it.... but I can't see it at the moment. Maybe in a few years time, when Justine is not around anymore... or getting a very favourable draw and most of the clay specialists are out with injury.....who knows?

You hit the nail on the head. For all the people saying Sharapova, how exactly is she going to do it? However, I put her together with this group because IMO all of these players have little chance to win. Ana, Jelena, and Sveta I would put in a Tier below Henin as the favorites if Henin were to miss the tournament or something. This group I would put even below Ana, Jelena and Sveta.
Serena isn't what she used to be. Venus doesn't have the consistency. Nicole doesn't have the experience or the mental strength yet IMO and Sharapova's game does not suit the surface at all. She has neither the movement or variety.

Tennisstar86
Feb 4th, 2008, 05:16 AM
i voted serena cuz i'm not sure if maria has ever won a tournament on clay.has she?

no...she has never won a clay court tourny.....

My vote is for JAnkovic.....

ElusiveChanteuse
Feb 4th, 2008, 06:16 AM
Maria will win it on 2010!;)

faboozadoo15
Feb 4th, 2008, 06:26 AM
Maria has the best shot of this group. She's going to be the second favorite, in my opinion. She's on fire.

hwanmig
Feb 4th, 2008, 06:44 AM
Karatantcheva.

Yup Sesil has a greater chance of winning RG than any of clay hacks well except for Nicole and Serena I guess.

Junex
Feb 4th, 2008, 07:49 AM
If its not gonna be justine, then it will be Sesil!

Shimizu Amon
Feb 4th, 2008, 09:40 AM
I don't know. I just wait and see who's in form when we go to it.
It's still a long way to go to RG.