Wertheim's Picks: JHH to win; Patty, Vee, Momo SFers

French Open women's seed report

Justine Henin-Hardenne will take home French title

Posted: Monday May 23, 2005 2:12PM; Updated: Monday May 23, 2005 4:45PM

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Your 2005 French Open champion is Justine Henin-Hardenne, predicts SI.com's Jon Wertheim.
Martin Rose/Getty Images


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if(cnnEnableCL){if(!(location.hostname.indexOf('cn n.com')>-1)) {cnnAddCSI('contextualLinks','/.element/ssi/misc/2.0/contextual/story.html','');}else{ cnnAddCSI('contextualLinks','http://cl.cnn.com/ctxtlink/jsp/si/cl/2.0/si-story.jsp','category=sihome&url=http:/\/robots.cnnsi.com/2005/writers/jon_wertheim/05/23/womens.seeds/index.html&desccharcnt=80&site=cnn_si_dyn_ctxt&origin=si');}}Sports Illustrated senior writer Jon Wertheim peers into his crystal ball to predict how the men's (http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2005/writers/jon_wertheim/05/23/mens.seeds/index.html) and women's seeds will fare at this year's French Open. Scroll down to see the can't-miss first-round matches, some dark-horse candidates and his final predictions.

Top 16 seeds

1. Lindsay Davenport: True, Davenport has turned in some encouraging clay-court results this year and isn't totally clueless with dirt underfoot. But it's been six years since she's survived the middle weekend in Paris. Subjective seeding, s'il vous plait?

2. Maria Sharapova: Not unlike Davenport, her seeding fails to reflect reality. The event is on her worst surface, and she comes in on something of a downer, having failed to sew up the top ranking. Could well fall to Paola Suarez, as she did in 2004.

3. Amelie Mauresmo: Nice draw, comes in having won Rome, the elemental game has always been first rate, and she will be a homecourt fave whomever she plays. And yet ... we all know the story. Mental frailty always seems to be underscored at home Grand Slam.

4. Elena Dementieva: Her punchline of a serve doesn't get exploited quite so badly on the slow clay. But last year's losing finalist has played underwhelming tennis lately. And she could get an early test from unsung Barbora "Babsy" Strycova.

5. Anastasia Myskina: The defending champion has all but disappeared since last year's title -- buffeted by physical and personal issues. If she can keep her head and find some swagger, she has a real chance to get back on the map. An early loss and she can bid adieu to the top 10.

6. Svetlana Kuznetsova: The Barcelona training imbued her with clay-court skills, but -- like all the Russians, it seems -- '05 has not been kind to her. Look at her draw, and she can cruise for two rounds but then look for Gisela Dulko to take her out.

7. Nadia Petrova: A terrific athlete, all-court player, terminal underachiever. In theory, she ought to live up to her seeding, but she often finds a way not to ...

8. Patty Schnyder: Not only is this tricky, combustible lefty playing some of the best tennis of her operatic career, but she is in the iffy Davenport/Kim Clijsters quadrant.

9. Vera Zvonareva: Owner of the most hyperactive tear ducts in tennis. She has performed well in France before (even took a set off of Serena Williams at age 16), but her results this year have been modest at best. And even in the best of times her on-court attitude in shaky.

10. Justine Henin-Hardenne: Your '05 champion. Playing as well anyone, as mentally tough as anyone and, after losing so much time to injuries and illness, she won't squander the opportunity.

11. Venus Williams: She's left to carry the family banner after sister Serena withdrew. It's nice to see signs of life last week, albeit at a Tier IV. The aura has long faded, but she still has to be considered at least a minor threat. It's not hard to see some clay specialist -- such as Fabiola Zuluaga in round two -- send Venus out with a whimper. But it's also not hard to see her live up to her seeding on power alone.

12. Elena Bovina: A talented player but not on clay. She has never advanced beyond the third round at Roland Garros.

13. Natalie Dechy: A nice, fluid game but something other than grace under pressure.

14. Kim Clijsters: The state of her right knee has a huge bearing on the women's draw. If she can play her way into form, she has a legitimate shot to win. If not, her quadrant opens up.

15. Jelena Jankovic: The current WTA flavor-of-the-month has a chance to make a name for herself in Paris. Star this pony on your racing form.

16. Elena Likhovtseva: The Russian veteran is likely to win a few rounds and then fall to another veteran Sylvia Farina Elia.

Seeds No. 17 to 32

17. Tatiana Golovin: She's due for a real breakthrough Slam. Why not on her home soil?

18. Silvia Farina Elia: She is still going strong, well into her 30s.

21. Mary Pierce: Best days are behind her, but the '00 champ is still capable of fine matches.

22. Francesca Schiavone: A gritty, scrappy player who will play for hours if need be.

25. Dinara Safina: Almost as mercurial as her brother but always a threat.

26. Paola Suarez: A semifinalist last year, Suarez has been struggling with injury.

29. Ana Ivanovic: Like SCG'er Jankovic, she is one of the better players you've likely never seen.

30. Gisela Dulko: Up and comer, especially on clay.

31. Karolina Sprem: She has done little of late but, thanks partially to a cushy draw, could swim upstream in Paris.

Dark horse nation

Tatiana Perebiynis: She is more than a doubles standout.

Virginie Razzano: This veteran has played well of late.

Shahar Peer: The scrappy Israeli will make opponents work for every point.

Maria Kirilenko: Martina Hingis lite.

Sesil Karatancheva: Just for kicks, we predict a breakthrough.

First-round matches to watch

(There aren't many thanks to the 32 seeds ...)

Conchita Martinez vs. Henin-Hardenne: It's not often that two Grand Slam champs meet in round one.

Peer vs. Marion Bartoli: Two of the more unusual players stylistically.

Dulko vs. Sania Mirza: Two of the hotter young players in '05.

Maria Sanchez Lorenzo vs. Myskina: This could be the upset special.

Daniela Hantuchova v. Michaella Krajicek: Big chance for Krajicek, who successfully qualified for the main draw.

Doubles champions

Assuming full health, Paola Suarez and Virginia Ruano Pascual

Semifinals

Mauresmo vs. Henin-Hardenne

Schnyder vs. Venus Williams (Ed.: Due to technical difficulties, this pick has been altered.)

Final

Henin-Hardenne vs. Schnyder

Winner

Henin-Hardenne

Sorry, but original Wortheim picks, before the edit were much funnier!! :haha:

French Open women's seed report

Jon Wertheim, SI.com






Sports Illustrated senior writer Jon Wertheim peers into his crystal ball to predict how the men's and women's seeds will fare at this year's French Open. Scroll down to see the can't-miss first-round matches, some dark-horse candidates and his final predictions.

Top 16 seeds

1. Lindsay Davenport: True, Davenport has turned in some encouraging clay-court results this year and isn't totally clueless with dirt underfoot. But it's been six years since she's survived the middle weekend in Paris. Subjective seeding, s'il vous plait?

2. Maria Sharapova: Not unlike Davenport, her seeding fails to reflect reality. The event is on her worst surface, and she comes in on something of a downer, having failed to sew up the top ranking. Could well fall to Paola Suarez, as she did in 2004.

3. Amelie Mauresmo: Nice draw, comes in having won Rome, the elemental game has always been first rate, and she will be a homecourt fave whomever she plays. And yet ... we all know the story. Mental frailty always seems to be underscored at home Grand Slam.

4. Elena Dementieva: Her punchline of a serve doesn't get exploited quite so badly on the slow clay. But last year's losing finalist has played underwhelming tennis lately. And she could get an early test from unsung Barbora "Babsy" Strycova.

5. Anastasia Myskina: The defending champion has all but disappeared since last year's title -- buffeted by physical and personal issues. If she can keep her head and find some swagger, she has a real chance to get back on the map. An early loss and she can bid adieu to the top 10.

6. Svetlana Kuznetsova: The Barcelona training imbued her with clay-court skills, but -- like all the Russians, it seems -- '05 has not been kind to her. Look at her draw, and she can cruise for two rounds but then look for Gisela Dulko to take her out.

7. Nadia Petrova: A terrific athlete, all-court player, terminal underachiever. In theory, she ought to live up to her seeding, but she often finds a way not to ...

8. Patty Schnyder: Not only is this tricky, combustible lefty playing some of the best tennis of her operatic career, but she is in the iffy Davenport/Kim Clijsters quadrant.

9. Vera Zvonareva: Owner of the most hyperactive tear ducts in tennis. She has performed well in France before (even took a set off of Serena Williams at age 16), but her results this year have been modest at best. And even in the best of times her on-court attitude in shaky.

10. Justine Henin-Hardenne: Your '05 champion. Playing as well anyone, as mentally tough as anyone and, after losing so much time to injuries and illness, she won't squander the opportunity.

11. Venus Williams: She's left to carry the family banner after sister Serena withdrew. It's nice to see signs of life last week, albeit at a Tier IV. The aura has long faded, but she still has to be considered at least a minor threat. It's not hard to see some clay specialist -- such as Fabiola Zuluaga in round two -- send Venus out with a whimper. But it's also not hard to see her live up to her seeding on power alone.

12. Elena Bovina: A talented player but not on clay. She has never advanced beyond the third round at Roland Garros.

13. Natalie Dechy: A nice, fluid game but something other than grace under pressure.

14. Kim Clijsters: The state of her right knee has a huge bearing on the women's draw. If she can play her way into form, she has a legitimate shot to win. If not, her quadrant opens up.

15. Jelena Jankovic: The current WTA flavor-of-the-month has a chance to make a name for herself in Paris. Star this pony on your racing form.

16. Elena Likhovtseva: The Russian veteran is likely to win a few rounds and then fall to another veteran Sylvia Farina Elia.

Seeds No. 17 to 32

17. Tatiana Golovin: She's due for a real breakthrough Slam. Why not on her home soil?

18. Silvia Farina Elia: She is still going strong, well into her 30s.

21. Mary Pierce: Best days are behind her, but the '00 champ is still capable of fine matches.

22. Francesca Schiavone: A gritty, scrappy player who will play for hours if need be.

25. Dinara Safina: Almost as mercurial as her brother but always a threat.

26. Paola Suarez: A semifinalist last year, Suarez has been struggling with injury.

29. Ana Ivanovic: Like SCG'er Jankovic, she is one of the better players you've likely never seen.

30. Gisela Dulko: Up and comer, especially on clay.

31. Karolina Sprem: She has done little of late but, thanks partially to a cushy draw, could swim upstream in Paris.

Dark horse nation

Tatiana Perebiynis: She is more than a doubles standout.

Virginie Razzano: This veteran has played well of late.

Shahar Peer: The scrappy Israeli will make opponents work for every point.

Maria Kirilenko: Martina Hingis lite.

Sesil Karatancheva: Just for kicks, we predict a breakthrough.

First-round matches to watch

(There aren't many thanks to the 32 seeds ...)

Conchita Martinez vs. Henin-Hardenne: It's not often that two Grand Slam champs meet in round one.

Peer vs. Marion Bartoli: Two of the more unusual players stylistically.

Dulko vs. Sania Mirza: Two of the hotter young players in '05.

Maria Sanchez Lorenzo vs. Myskina: This could be the upset special.

Daniela Hantuchova v. Michaella Krajicek: Big chance for Krajicek, who successfully qualified for the main draw.

Doubles champions

Assuming full health, Paola Suarez and Virginia Ruano Pascual

Semifinals

Mauresmo vs. Henin-Hardenne

Schnyder vs. Myskina

Final

Henin-Hardenne vs. Myskina

Winner

Henin-Hardenne

Ot this ones

Semifinals:

Mauresmo v. Henin-Hardenne

Schnyder v. Sharapova

:eek: I didnt know he picked Myskina :tape:

lol at Virginie Razzano "veteran"...I know she has been playing for quite a while but it's funny for a girl that is barely 23 y old to be called a veteran!

:eek: I didnt know he picked Myskina :tape:

Yep, and then (when she lost) changed her to Sharapova, only yo change it again as she is in the same 1/4 as Justine! :lol:

He's an idiot still.

i just hope Kim's knee holds up. with Serena out, she's the one i'm cheering for.

Technical difficulties? :haha: x 10000000000

what a :retard:

yeah it's just as funny to see that mess for a 2nd time. How in the HELL do you change your picks after a tournament has started...what kind of knowledge does that show? :tape:

this really makes me respect pam shriver more. :haha:
at least when she's wrong, she kicks herself in the ass for it and doesn't bother trying to make excuses or change her picks... she sticks to it, and if she had picked myskina in the final she would even say after she lost "well i'm really surprised about that result, i had her picked for the final in my draw." i think wertheim taes himself WAY too seriously. he loses more credibility fucking with his picks than he would if he just aknowedged that he made a bad pick.

still, it doesn't make any sense to me anyway why he picked myskina for the final when he said in the seed report that she's fodder for a first round upset. :retard:

this really makes me respect pam shriver more. :haha:
at least when she's wrong, she kicks herself in the ass for it and doesn't bother trying to make excuses or change her picks... she sticks to it, and if she had picked myskina in the final she would even say after she lost "well i'm really surprised about that result, i had her picked for the final in my draw." i think wertheim taes himself WAY too seriously. he loses more credibility fucking with his picks than he would if he just aknowedged that he made a bad pick.

still, it doesn't make any sense to me anyway why he picked myskina for the final when he said in the seed report that she's fodder for a first round upset. :retard:

Predicting this year is pretty impossible - my money would be on Kim but she might be resting the knee any moment. Momo looked wobbly as did venus and Maria hit a lot of errors today but you wouldn't be surprised to see any of them win. Justine's service stats are amazing when it went in so she is now my favourite but Sveta did well today too.

Myskina was totally unpredictable until she revealed what the personal problem was. Now we know, it explains exactly what happened before Sydney, why she said what she did then and why her game has been off since and its clearly not a problem where she has any control of the situation or herself. Given the draw and how Nastya came back after the Olympics, Bali and USO to storm Moscow in 2004 it wasn't such a stupid pick to think she might make the final if she could recover for the FO and if she could somehow get past venus who hardly looks great.Llindsay and any russian are very beatable if she plays well as the 2004 evidence shows. Even yesterday, she played points which were good enough to beat anyone in her draw before the final if she could do it continually so the game is still in there. To his credit, wertheim probably wrote his predictions before he knew what the problem was - his problem was in making the silly assumption that she would recover this week and going with it without any evidence.

Ot this ones

Semifinals:

Mauresmo v. Henin-Hardenne

Schnyder v. Sharapova

wrong part of the draw. DUH! :rolleyes: :lol: :wavey:

fammmedspin-- i wasn't taking a dig at myskina, i was just saying it's odd that he said crap about her earlier in his article-- like she's fodder for a first round upset and then he picked her to get to the final. i too thought she would have a good showing. but to change his pick and not stand behind that he thought myskina would do well is just ridiculous.

:eek: I didnt know he picked Myskina :tape:

He didn't.

Someone in the faux WTAWorld changed the players he picked.

He didn't.

Someone in the faux WTAWorld changed the players he picked.

Leave it to you to accuse others of having poor moral fiber... :lol:


Pot ~ Kettle ~ Black

fammmedspin-- i wasn't taking a dig at myskina, i was just saying it's odd that he said crap about her earlier in his article-- like she's fodder for a first round upset and then he picked her to get to the final. i too thought she would have a good showing. but to change his pick and not stand behind that he thought myskina would do well is just ridiculous.

Agree all that. His problem is he can't cope with the word "if" as in "if Myskina can return to form her draw is beatable", "if Kim is fit she will win", "If Venus can be more consistent...", "if Sveta plays well for 2 sets in a row...." He just jumped for one of the "if"s and ran with it. Then he changed his prediction mid race and logically will do so again when the next wrong "iif" happens.

He is on a a hiding to nothing though because he presumably is told to predict something and not to say anyone of 10 people could win - but thats the reality of FO 05.

He picked Serena over Davenport at the AO this year. He isn't THAT bad. Hahahah.