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Volcana
Feb 15th, 2002, 11:59 PM
The vagaries of scheduling will have a significant impact on the #1 ranking.

Venus Williams defends nothing the last two weeks in February. Jennifer Capriati will lose 243 points while not playing. This will probably mean a new #1. (The chart below records points that will come off, NOT ranking.)

wk --/-- : JC. VW. MH. MS.
08 02/18 : 141 --- --- 216 Dubai/Okla City
09 02/25 : 102 --- --- 115 Scottsdale

The process will reverse itself in March. A non-playing Venus will drop 613 points in March. Jenn will lose 291, Martina 349. However both of them will play at least one of Indian Wells, Miami.
Venus Williams will not be #1 on April 1st.

wk --/-- : JC. VW. MH. MS.
10 03/04 : --- 174 164 001 Indian Wells
12 03/18 : 291 443 185 --- Miami

Clay season. Venus defends 302 total points including RG. Jenn, 1646, Martina 1045. Advantage Venus.

wk --/-- : JC. VW. MH. MS.
14 04/01 : --- --- --- ---
15 04/08 : --- --- 071 --- Amelia Island
16 04/15 : 401 --- 282 --- Charleston
17 04/22 : --- --- --- ---
18 04/29 : --- 268 --- --- Hamburg
14 05/06 : 294 040 170 --- Berlin
15 05/13 : 001 --- 182 --- Rome
16 05/20 : --- --- --- 001 Madrid
17 05/27 : 950 002 340 --- Roland Garros

Grass Season. Advantage Hingis. Martina defends 2 points, Jenn 448, Venus 906.

wk --/-- : JC. VW. MH. MS.
19 06/10 : --- --- --- --- DFS
20 06/17 : --- --- --- --- Eastbourne
21 06/24 : 448 906 002 --- Wimbledon

Monica defends nothing from after Scottsdale til California Hard court season. She does have 15 tournaments already, but two of them are 1r losses. She's about 2000 points out of the #1 spot.

joao
Feb 16th, 2002, 12:56 AM
Thanks Volcana for summarizing all these points!

Venus not #1 on 1st april??? I wouldn't be so sure??? It all depends on what the other players will do! If Venus wins Antwerp and Dubai (which is not at all impossible!), JCap will have to at least reach the finals at Scottsdale to take back the #1 spot after IW! Otherwise, Venus will remain #1 ... JCap is not playing IW! And giving Venus'record at Miami, she will be the favorite to win Miami again and remain #1! JCap has finals points to defend at Miami!!!
JCap losing in the SF at Scottsdale and in the finals against Venus in Miami.... impossible Scenario?? Not sure about that one........

By not defending all her middle-east points, hingis will be #5 before Scottsdale, almost 1400 points behind the #1! Hingis needs to win both Scottsdale, IW and Miami if she wants to have a shot at #1 before the clay season ... big task!!!

Of course if Venus doesn't win Antwerp and Dubai, she will definitely not be #1 in april 1st!:sad:

Brian Stewart
Feb 16th, 2002, 02:40 PM
Interesting. The #1 ranking could change hands several more times this year. With Jen and Venus leaning so heavily on their pair of slams, if someone else grabs one of those titles away, it would be a huge blow.

I would not be surprised to see both of them fail in one of their slam defenses. That would really open things up.