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Marshmallow
Mar 31st, 2007, 08:08 PM
This is premature… but… if I remember correctly, in that ‘hand match’ at the FO 2003, Serena was leading in that final set.

But after the match today… do you think Serena could beat Justine in a FO final this year? Also if she stays healthy, do you think Serena could obtain the GRAND Slam?

Opinions and thoughts please.

Tennisation
Mar 31st, 2007, 08:15 PM
even with Serena's win today, Justine is still the favorite to win FO. Serena did not play well today, she cannot afford to do that against Justine on clay.

robisanl
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:03 PM
Right now, I think Serena has to be the favorite in any tournament she's in, on both fast and slower surfaces. She is proving that even at less than her best, she can beat anyone - she has beat both number 1 players in the same tournament, even though she is still not back to her pre-injury shape. The victory over Henin was close, so I'll be looking to see if Henin can reverse that result the next time they meet, or if Serena will keep improving and pull away from Henin. And with Sharapova, until she gets her serve and her confidence back, it's hard to tell how she will match up with Serena, but I suspect that Serena would still beat her, even if by a less decisive score.

On a separate note, Marshmallow - may I say how much I enjoy your posts in the various threads on this GM. It's like an oasis in the desert of all this sometimes crazy and mean-spirited rambling that goes on here. Your sanity and measured opinions are appreciated.

BuTtErFrEnA
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:08 PM
Serena can beat JH on clay....but as one said she can't afford this sort of start that she had today....

The Daviator
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:10 PM
After today I wouldn't like to call an RG final between the two of them :unsure: But I do think she's got a great shot at winning the Slam...

jcempire
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:11 PM
It's too early to say that, But Serena can do anything you may not expect that she can do it. I wouldn't not be surprise if Serena got FO this year.

tennnisfannn
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:19 PM
If serena plays a copule tournies on clay she has a 50/50 cchance against justine. Consider this, serena wins miami after a 6 week break beating the top two players enroute. Even on clay their matches were split by a single break. Serena can do it.
At that famous FO< she lost to the crowd not Justine.

DavidEllul
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:22 PM
yes she could.. but still, justine has got the edge.

starin
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:23 PM
too early to tell. Serena hasn't played a professional match on clay in over a year and hasn't won a title a clay for several years. And has skipped the FO 2005 &2006. Based on today's performance I would say no. She played very poorly in the first set and played a little better in the next two. But she was very cautious and guiding the ball sometimes. She won this on sheer guts and glory. But her tennis in the previous rounds were very good. If she can play like she did against Sharapova, Vaidisova, and 2nd set against Peer then she has a good shot. She was hitting so hard and cleanly before the final. From her interview it sounds like she knows she played like shite and will hopefully improve during the clay season.

Wannabeknowitall
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:34 PM
No.
I just feel that a player's chances of winning French Open go down if they have issues with their knees, ankles, or hips (sorry Kuerten).

I know she played a lot this week but to have an issue with the knee on a stable surface worries me.

Knee problems have a way of coming back on clay even with no sign of there being an issue prior.
Just ask players like Chanda Rubin and Lindsay Davenport.

Steffi Graf had issues with the her knees when she won the in 1999 French but she's Steffi Graf.
She won five before so she knew how to win that championship so she did it moving about two steps slower than she did just 3 years ago in 1996.

Apoleb
Mar 31st, 2007, 11:35 PM
That's tough to call, cause we haven't seen her on clay yet. She does look very determined to do well, and she still hasn't proved her supremacy on this surface, so she'll be definitely motivated. However, Serena's success this year has been largely dependent on keeping the rallys as short as possible, and on trying to dominate from the first couple of shots. That's how she was dominating Maria and most of her winners today came from short rallys and she was trying to keep the points as short as possible. That wouldn't work on clay. So overall, I'll definitely give the edge to Justine. She'll come up as favorite when they meet on clay, but with Serena's fighting spirit, god knows what will happen. If winning requires her to solve the problem of existence, she'll do it.