Re: Clay Court 2013: Sam on the Road to Roland Garros
While not ruling anything out - with non-linear Sam, anything is possible - I think Sam's chances of pulling off the RG title this year have shrunk to very slim at best. As so often, the problem is not so much with her form as with her confidence. She is showing some flashes of great form, but because she has so few recent wins under her belt, her confidence is very fragile, leading to indecisive play, silly errors, etc. The fact that this is 99% down to bad luck - what are the odds of drawing two in-form top-25 players in your first two tournaments back after injury? - doesn't help her.
Even last year, when she had a far better clay season than this year, her relative lack of good wins sapped her confidence when she needed it most, which IMO is why she played so inexplicable badly against Errani in the SF. So unless she chalks up some stunning wins next week, I think she will stumble at the first sign of serious resistance at RG. I hope I'm wrong, but I'm trying to be realistic.