Ana must to reach TOP32 and try to reach TOP24 till end of season, and if she continued to use her forehand frequently to hit winners like in good old days and play aggressive, her chances are good for that. On paper, Ana best shot is winning MM Seoul title where playing only 2 players which ever before reach TOP15 (veterans Petrova and Date), but in reality I think her chances for some big result is better in Tokyo and Beijing where all (injury free) WTA TOP players will play! When Ana is not enough motivated anyone can beat her, but when she is highly motivated and focused - she has chance to beat anyone. That's why she won so far only one MM event in whole life (and that Canberra 2005 wins happen just when 17y old Ana switch ITF circuit with pro-tour, so she has all reasons to be high motivated). I don't see Ana to be "enough motivated" in Korea, but at premier-5 in Japan and premier mandatory in Beijing she can repeat Cincinnati/USO passion for tennis (and wins) once again, which means she can beat anybody and go deep into draw. If Sharapova join Clijsters and sisters into TOP8 till end of season, Ana's Melbourne seeds status will not be such good news if she not reach TOP24 in same time, which means Ana needs one good and one very good result in rest of season. Because Hopman Cup Ana will not defend her Brisbane points, so it will be probably better for her to accept Bali WC and finish season two weeks latter than she originally plan.
Yes.. but you forget that motivated Ana can also be beaten by motivated Clijsters, motivated Sharapova, motivated Venus.. so on.. a battle between talented players will always depend on both.. and they might as well be motivated for the final 2 premier tournaments of the year. Obviously, Ana should try her best and fight hard to do well in Tokyo and Beijing, but she should be 100% motivated to play Seoul as well. You are applying "old Ana" logic to this, but you have to remember that Ana hasn't won a title in 2 whole years.. 2 whole years without knowing the taste of victory.. that's too much. She should see every tournament as a huge opportunity and be 100% up for it. I really believe that's something she needs in the process to recovery.. she needs to feel that taste again. And if it's still this year, then even better.. more incentive for her to work very hard during the off season and actually play to her potential in 2011. Because truth to be told, 2010 is by FAR the worst year of her career. She needs to feel how it is to win a title again, she needs to have those positive incentives, she needs to end the year on a high note, so she can go into the off season and into 2011 more motivated than ever.
If she goes into Seoul unmotivated, into Luxebourg unmotivated.. and ends the year without a title once again, I'm sure she will be kicking herself. This is a special ocasion.. she is finally in a position to actually contend (as long as she plays well obviously), so she should take every chance to give her all and try her best. Seoul is her best shot at a title, because her being motivated and playing well should be enough to beat anyone in that field. So she should take the opportunity.
Besides.. winning Seoul would qualify her for Bali. And if Ana is playing well, I agree that she should go play Bali. She should try to get as many points as posible now, to make it to the top 24. I'm sure if she is playing well and motivated, she will want to keep playing.