you are right, the draw isn't that difficult as it looks!!
now that she has beaten "awfulescu", she could go quite far in this tournament! she will face ana or schiavone in round two, I would prefer to see her play against ana (she is my second favorite player )
if kiri plays like in the last weeks, she can surely beat both of them
then maybe former no. 1 caroline, but as you said, she isn't at her best at the moment..
but let's play R2 first