I'm so current, I'm tomorrow.
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: The City by the Lake.
Ok,... here we go.
Monica enters AI w/1784 points and #12.
#8 is 2524 points, so let's just say that if she gets 2525, she'll be #8 (but this could be a little off):
Winning AI, beating the highest seeds possible (Dechy, Henin, Hantuchova, & Davenport) would give her +376. Let's say this happens:
1784 + 376 = 2160, and still #12 rank.
Her next scheduled event is Rome which is a Tier I. Let's say she wins that, beating Serena, Venus, and Kim (1, 2, and 3).... roughly add 550 for that (this number is very arbitrary)...
2160 + 550 = 2710 which puts her at #6/#7.
I love our girl, but I really don't know about her beating V&S in the same week. So let's say more realistically, she makes QF... instead of 550, add about 175 or so.
2160 + 175 = 2335 / #10 rank.
Now, this run to #8 would be much more easy to grab if Monica entered the J&S Cup in Poland... a Tier IIa. Say she gets to the SF, add another 200 and you have 2535 and a #8 rank.
So, it's all sketchy, but for the sake of argument and until the actual draw is out w/bonus pts in Rome and her results are done...
A QF in Rome gets her #10.
A WIN in Rome gets her top 8.
If she adds J&S Cup (I wish she would!), I see no problem getting #8 seed.
****Mind you the seeds for RG are done immediately after Rome, so Monica's Madrid points do not matter at all. Therefore she should skip Madrid, let those points fall off and add J&S Cup in Poland****
Summary: Top 8 seed can be done (though she may be ranked 9/10 at time RG actually starts as she loses Madrid from 2002). If she wins Rome, then she's good to go, as long as she wins a bunch of quality points. If she adds Poland, and makes SF there and a QF in Rome, I still think #8 could very much be within her reach. ---> of course she'll need to be healthy - and all of this is based on her winning Amelia Island.....