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post #1 of 4 (permalink) Old May 23rd, 2011, 10:24 PM Thread Starter
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Cool Roland Garros - Scoreline Stats -> Complete

I've taken a look at the scorelines of all main-draw matches played so far at Roland Garros (2011). The results have been grouped in categories - easy wins, close matches, matches that fizzled out in the final set, etc. - for an easy overview. I'm going to keep this updated as more results come in.

+Seed WIN means that the highest seeded player won the match (possibly over an unseeded opponent), +Seed LOSS means the highest seed lost. Below is a list of all matches sorted by category. And yes, realise these categories are somewhat subjective (6-3 6-0 is a thrashing?) and that the scorelines don't always tell the whole story. But... oh well. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

---Observations---
Day4: More thrashings in R2 than in R1!
Day4: 2-sets matches are getting closer, but the % of matches going to 3 sets has not gone up.
Day4: More of the higher seeds win their matches.

Day5: The thrashing-% is going down with today's results.
Day5: The 3-sets matches are less "random" - not so much up'n'down anymore.

Day6: First retirement of the tournament.
Day6: No matches between 2 unseeded players (in all of the 3rd round).
Day6: 75% of the higher seeds win their matches.

Day7: I'm still making small adjustments to the categories - comments and suggestions are very welcome!
Day7: Only only 6-0 set in the 3rd round but the trashing-% has gone up.
Day7: More of the higher seeds win their matches.

Day8: Only 3-set matches today (and a retirement)
Day8: Anybody actually reading this?
Day8: It seems to be more or less random if 3-set matches are WLW or LWW.

Day9: Lots of 3-sets matches in the 4th round.
Day9: Still more of the higher seeds win their matches.

Day10: 2 QF's are in; both won by the highest seeded player.

Day13: The final was a perfect example of an otherwise close match that ended with a tiebreak fizzle.

A full description of criteria for the categorization of matches can be found in post#2 (2-sets) and here (3-sets).

Code:
General STATS
ROUND   #       2 SETs          3 SETs          Ret or W/O      +Seed WIN       +Seed LOSS      2xUnseeded   
1st     64      68.7% (44)      31.2% (20)      0.00% (0)       39.0% (25)      9.37% (6)       51.5% (33)   
2nd     32      75.0% (24)      25.0% (8)       0.00% (0)       68.7% (22)      9.37% (3)       21.8% (7)    
3rd     16      68.7% (11)      25.0% (4)       6.25% (1)       81.2% (13)      18.7% (3)       0.00% (0)    
4th     8       25.0% (2)       62.5% (5)       12.5% (1)       87.5% (7)       12.5% (1)       0.00% (0)    
QF      4       75.0% (3)       25.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       75.0% (3)       25.0% (1)       0.00% (0)    
SF      2       100 % (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       100 % (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
F       1       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)    
ALL     127     68.5% (87)      29.9% (38)      1.57% (2)       56.6% (72)      11.8% (15)      31.4% (40)
Code:
2-SETs STATS
ROUND   #       +Seed WIN       +Seed LOSS      6-0* set        SUPER TIE       TIE FIZZ     
1st     44      50.0% (22)      4.54% (2)       15.9% (7)       6.81% (3)       2.27% (1)    
2nd     24      75.0% (18)      8.33% (2)       16.6% (4)       12.5% (3)       4.16% (1)    
3rd     11      81.8% (9)       18.1% (2)       9.09% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
4th     2       100 % (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
QF      3       66.6% (2)       33.3% (1)       33.3% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
SF      2       100 % (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
F       1       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)    
ALL     87      63.2% (55)      9.19% (8)       14.9% (13)      6.89% (6)       3.44% (3)    


2-SETs STATS II
ROUND   #       Thrashing       Comfy Win       Close->Easy     Easy->Close     Closeish        TB Fizzle       Easy->Tight     Tight Fight  
1st     44      29.5% (13)      27.2% (12)      22.7% (10)      13.6% (6)       2.27% (1)       2.27% (1)       0.00% (0)       2.27% (1)    
2nd     24      29.1% (7)       4.16% (1)       16.6% (4)       25.0% (6)       12.5% (3)       0.00% (0)       12.5% (3)       0.00% (0)    
3rd     11      36.3% (4)       27.2% (3)       9.09% (1)       9.09% (1)       18.1% (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
4th     2       0.00% (0)       50.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       50.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
QF      3       0.00% (0)       33.3% (1)       33.3% (1)       0.00% (0)       33.3% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
SF      2       0.00% (0)       50.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       50.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
F       1       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
ALL     87      27.5% (24)      21.8% (19)      18.3% (16)      14.9% (13)      10.3% (9)       2.29% (2)       3.44% (3)       1.14% (1)
Code:
3-SETs STATS
ROUND   #       W-L-W           L-W-W           +Seed WIN       +Seed LOSS      6-0* set        SUPER TIE       TIE FIZZ     
1st     20      45.0% (9)       55.0% (11)      15.0% (3)       20.0% (4)       10.0% (2)       25.0% (5)       5.00% (1)    
2nd     8       25.0% (2)       75.0% (6)       50.0% (4)       12.5% (1)       12.5% (1)       0.00% (0)       12.5% (1)    
3rd     4       50.0% (2)       50.0% (2)       75.0% (3)       25.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
4th     5       60.0% (3)       40.0% (2)       80.0% (4)       20.0% (1)       0.00% (0)       20.0% (1)       0.00% (0)    
QF      1       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
ALL     38      42.1% (16)      57.8% (22)      39.4% (15)      18.4% (7)       7.89% (3)       15.7% (6)       5.26% (2)    


3-SETs STATS II
ROUND   #       Sorta Easy      Comfy Win       Close->Easy     Almost Lost     UnD->Close      Close->UnD      Tight Fight  
1st     20      45.0% (9)       0.00% (0)       5.00% (1)       15.0% (3)       15.0% (3)       10.0% (2)       10.0% (2)    
2nd     8       25.0% (2)       12.5% (1)       37.5% (3)       0.00% (0)       12.5% (1)       0.00% (0)       12.5% (1)    
3rd     4       50.0% (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       25.0% (1)       25.0% (1)       0.00% (0)    
4th     5       40.0% (2)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       40.0% (2)       20.0% (1)       0.00% (0)    
QF      1       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       100 % (1)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)       0.00% (0)    
ALL     38      39.4% (15)      2.63% (1)       10.5% (4)       10.5% (4)       18.4% (7)       10.5% (4)       7.89% (3)



Lists of all matches:
Code:
F -> 2-SETs
TB Fizzle     !  Li (6) def. Schiavone (5)               6-4    7-6'0



SF -> 2-SETs
Comfy Win        Schiavone (5) def. Bartoli (11)         6-3    6-3
Closeish         Li (6) def. Sharapova (7)               6-4    7-5



QF -> 2-SETs
Comfy Win        Sharapova (7) def. Petkovic (15)        6-0    6-3
Close->Easy   !  Li (6) def. Azarenka (4)                7-5    6-2
Closeish         Bartoli (11) def. Kuznetsova (13)       7-6'4  6-4

QF -> 3-SETs
Almost Lost      Schiavone (5) def. Pavlyuchenkova (14)  1-6    7-5     7-5
Code:
4th -> 2-SETs
Comfy Win        Azarenka (4) def. Makarova              6-2    6-3
Closeish         Sharapova (7) def. Radwanska (12)       7-6'4  7-5

4th -> 3-SETs
Sorta Easy       Kuznetsova (13) def. Hantuchova (28)    6'6-7  6-3     6-2
Sorta Easy       Li (6) def. Kvitova (9)                 2-6    6-1     6-3
UnD->Close       Petkovic (15) def. Kirilenko (25)       6-2    2-6     6-4
UnD->Close       Schiavone (5) def. Jankovic (10)        6-3    2-6     6-4
Close->UnD    !  Pavlyuchenkova (14) def. Zvonareva (3)  7-6'4  2-6     6-2

4th -> Retirements
1 set up         Bartoli (11) def. Dulko                 7-5    1-0
Code:
3rd -> 2-SETs
Thrashing        Azarenka (4) def. Vinci (30)            6-3    6-2
Thrashing        Jankovic (10) def. Mattek-Sands         6-2    6-2
Thrashing        Kirilenko (25) def. Rus                 6-1    6-1
Thrashing        Li (6) def. Cirstea                     6-2    6-2
Comfy Win        Sharapova (7) def. Chan                 6-2    6-3
Comfy Win        Zvonareva (3) def. Rodionova            6-2    6-3
Comfy Win     !  Hantuchova (28) def. Wozniacki (1)      6-1    6-3
Close->Easy      Kvitova (9) def. King                   6-4    6-2
Easy->Close      Kuznetsova (13) def. Marino             6-0    6-4
Closeish         Radwanska (12) def. Wickmayer (21)      6-4    6-4
Closeish      !  Makarova def. Kanepi (16)               6-4    7-5

3rd -> 3-SETs
Sorta Easy       Pavlyuchenkova (14) def. Vives          3-6    6-3     6-3
Sorta Easy       Petkovic (15) def. Gajdosova (24)       6-2    4-6     6-3
UnD->Close       Bartoli (11) def. Goerges (17)          3-6    6-2     6-4
Close->UnD    !  Dulko def. Stosur (8)                   6-4    1-6     6-3

3rd -> Retirements
1 set up         Schiavone (5) def. Peng (29)            6-3    1-2
Code:
2nd -> 2-SETs
Thrashing        Azarenka (4) def. Parmentier            6-0    6-1
Thrashing        Hantuchova (28) def. Errani             6-1    6-2
Thrashing        Jankovic (10) def. Dushevina            6-3    6-2
Thrashing        Kuznetsova (13) def. Begu               6-1    6-1
Thrashing        Schiavone (5) def. Dolonts              6-1    6-2
Thrashing        Stosur (8) def. Halep                   6-0    6-2
Thrashing        Vives def. Cornet                       6-0    6-2
Comfy Win        Kanepi (16) def. Watson                 6-1    6-3
Close->Easy      Kvitova (9) def. Zheng                  6-4    6-1
Close->Easy      Peng (29) def. Hercog                   7-5    6-1
Close->Easy      Petkovic (15) def. Hradecka             7-6'2  6-2
Close->Easy   !  Dulko def. Pironkova (32)               6-4    6-2
Easy->Close      Chan def. Craybas                       6-1    6-4
Easy->Close      Kirilenko (25) def. Scheepers           6-1    6-4
Easy->Close      Radwanska (12) def. Mirza               6-2    6-4
Easy->Close      Rodionova def. Gallovits-Hall           6-1    6-4
Easy->Close      Vinci (30) def. Bremond                 6-3    6-4
Easy->Close   !  Cirstea def. Dulgheru (27)              6-2    7-5
Closeish         Gajdosova (24) def. Garrigues           7-6'4  6-4
Closeish         Li (6) def. Soler-Espinosa              6-4    7-5
Closeish         Wickmayer (21) def. Morita              6-4    7-5
Easy->Tight      Makarova def. Larsson                   6-3    7-6'5
Easy->Tight      Pavlyuchenkova (14) def. Barthel        6-0    7-6'5
Easy->Tight      Wozniacki (1) def. Wozniak              6-3    7-6'6

2nd -> 3-SETs
Sorta Easy       Marino def. Sanchez                     2-6    6-3     6-3
Sorta Easy       Mattek-Sands def. Lepchenko             6-3    2-6     6-3
Comfy Win        Bartoli (11) def. Govortsova            6-4    6'1-7   6-2
Close->Easy      Goerges (17) def. Safarova              2-6    7-5     6-2
Close->Easy      Sharapova (7) def. Garcia               3-6    6-4     6-0
Close->Easy   !  Rus def. Clijsters (2)                  3-6    7-5     6-1
UnD->Close       King def. Baltacha                      4-6    6-1     6-4
Tight Fight      Zvonareva (3) def. Lisicki              4-6    7-5     7-5
Code:
1st -> 2-SETs
Thrashing        Gajdosova (24) def. Razzano             6-3    6-1
Thrashing        Halep def. Kudryavtseva                 6-2    6-1
Thrashing        Hercog def. Sanchez                     6-0    6-1
Thrashing        Jankovic (10) def. Bondarenko           6-3    6-1
Thrashing        Kvitova (9) def. Arn                    6-2    6-1
Thrashing        Peng (29) def. Paszek                   6-3    6-2
Thrashing        Radwanska (12) def. Mayr-Achleitner     6-1    6-2
Thrashing        Safarova def. Flipkens                  6-1    6-1
Thrashing        Schiavone (5) def. Oudin                6-2    6-0
Thrashing        Sharapova (7) def. Lucic                6-3    6-0
Thrashing        Vives def. Pivovarova                   6-3    6-0
Thrashing        Wozniacki (1) def. Date-Krumm           6-0    6-2
Thrashing        Wozniak def. Namigata                   6-1    6-1
Comfy Win        Azarenka (4) def. Hlavackova            6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Begu def. Rezai                         6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Cirstea def. Schnyder                   6-1    6-3
Comfy Win        Clijsters (2) def. Yakimova             6-2    6-3
Comfy Win        Craybas def. Daniilidou                 6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Hantuchova (28) def. Zhang              6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Kuznetsova (13) def. Rybarikova         6-2    6-3
Comfy Win        Marino def. Bondarenko                  6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Mirza def. Barrois                      6-3    6-3
Comfy Win        Stosur (8) def. Benesova                6-2    6-3
Comfy Win        Wickmayer (21) def. Niculescu           6-0    6-3
Comfy Win        Zvonareva (3) def. Lino                 6-3    6-3
Close->Easy      Baltacha def. Stephens                  7-5    6-2
Close->Easy      Cornet def. Voracova                    6-4    6-2
Close->Easy      Kanepi (16) def. Arvidsson              7-5    6-1
Close->Easy      Kirilenko (25) def. Vandeweghe          7-6'5  6-2
Close->Easy      Pavlyuchenkova (14) def. Shvedova       7-5    6-3
Close->Easy      Pironkova (32) def. Dellacqua           7-5    6-3
Close->Easy      Watson def. Gacon                       7-6'6  6-1
Close->Easy      Zheng def. Zahlavova                    6-4    6-3
Close->Easy   !  Chan def. Zakopalova (31)               7-5    6-1
Close->Easy   !  Sanchez def. Peer (19)                  7-6'4  6-1
Easy->Close      Barthel def. Bammer                     6-1    7-5
Easy->Close      Dulgheru (27) def. Pous-Tio             6-3    6-4
Easy->Close      Dulko def. Falconi                      6-3    6-4
Easy->Close      Garcia def. Ondraskova                  6-3    6-4
Easy->Close      Goerges (17) def. Johansson             6-1    6-4
Easy->Close      Lisicki def. Amanmuradova               6-0    6-4
Closeish         Garrigues def. Dentoni                  7-5    7-5
TB Fizzle        Petkovic (15) def. Jovanovski           6-4    7-6'3
Tight Fight      Parmentier def. Pervak                  7-6'5  6-4

1st -> 3-SETs
Sorta Easy       Bartoli (11) def. Tatishvili            1-6    6-2     6-1
Sorta Easy       Dushevina def. Dokic                    4-6    6-3     6-2
Sorta Easy       Gallovits-Hall def. Kerber              2-6    6-3     6-1
Sorta Easy       Hradecka def. Sevastova                 6-3    5-7     6-1
Sorta Easy       Li (6) def. Strycova                    6-3    6'6-7   6-3
Sorta Easy       Scheepers def. Kutuzova                 6-3    4-6     6-2
Sorta Easy       Vinci (30) def. Brianti                 6-3    3-6     6-3
Sorta Easy    !  King def. Cibulkova (22)                6'10-7 6-3     6-2
Sorta Easy    !  Lepchenko def. Pennetta (18)            6-3    2-6     6-3
Close->Easy      Mattek-Sands def. Santonja              2-6    7-6'5   6-3
Almost Lost      Dolonts def. Keothavong                 3-6    7-6'5   6-4
Almost Lost      Morita def. Mladenovic                  2-6    6-4     7-5
Almost Lost      Rus def. Erakovic                       2-6    6-4     6-4
UnD->Close       Errani def. McHale                      6'4-7  6-2     9-7
UnD->Close       Soler-Espinosa def. Vesnina             4-6    6-3     6-4
UnD->Close    !  Rodionova def. Petrova (26)             6'5-7  6-3     6-4
Close->UnD       Makarova def. Oprandi                   6-4    3-6     6-0
Close->UnD    !  Larsson def. Ivanovic (20)              7-6'3  0-6     6-2
Tight Fight      Bremond def. Rodina                     6-3    4-6     8-6
Tight Fight      Govortsova def. Szavay                  6-4    4-6     6-4

Last edited by Marlene; Jun 5th, 2011 at 09:43 PM. Reason: Complete
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post #2 of 4 (permalink) Old May 24th, 2011, 07:23 PM Thread Starter
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Categories for 2-set matches

Code:
CATEGORIES FOR 2-SET MATCHES

 Set score brackets: 
 
 (e) Easy      		6-2(-)
 (x) Intermediate	6-3
 (c) Close      	6-4 and 7-5 and 7-6(4)
 (t) Tie fizzle		7-6(3-)
 (!) Superclose		7-6(5+)

This gives 25 possible outcomes which are grouped as follows: 

 (e,e)  Trashing	Winner was mucho superior
 (x,e)	Trashing

 (e,x)  Comfy Win	Convincing win but not a complete trashing
 (x,x)  Comfy Win

 (c,e)  Close->Easy	1st set closeish, 2nd set easyish
 (c,x)	Close->Easy
 (t,e)	Close->Easy
 (t,x)	Close->Easy
 (!,e)	Close->Easy

 (e,c)  Easy->Close	1st set easyish, 2nd set more close but never superclose 
 (x,c)  Easy->Close
 (e,t)  Easy->Close
 (x,t)	Easy->Close

 (c,c)  Close'ish	Closish score but not superclose
 (t,c)  Close'ish
 (!,x)  Close'ish

 (c,t)  TB Fizzle	Closeish match that ended in a tiebreak which fizzled
 (t,t)	TB Fizzle

 (e,!)  Easy->Tight	1st set easyish, 2nd set superclose 			
 (x,!)  Easy->Tight

 (!,t)	Tight Fight	Very close match
 (!,c)  Tight Fight
 (t,!)  Tight Fight
 (c,!)  Tight Fight
 (!,!)  Tight Fight

Last edited by Marlene; May 27th, 2011 at 10:38 PM.
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post #3 of 4 (permalink) Old May 25th, 2011, 01:31 AM
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Re: Roland Garros - Scoreline Stats

Here are some suggestions, they are more than ten so pick what you like. I can put some names to them if you want but I'm no good at those

Love these stats btw

4-6 6-3 6-4 (routine 3-set match, not too close, not too up and down)
- Soler-Espinosa def. Vesnina

6-3 2-6 6-3 (up and down)
- Lepchenko def. Pennetta

1-6 6-2 6-1 (slow start then cruising)
- Bartoli def. Tatishvili

2-6 6-4 7-5 (slow start and difficult end)
- Morita def. Mladenovic

7-6 0-6 6-2 (first set was really tight and then ... )
- Larsson def. Ivanovic

2-6 7-6 6-3 (winner carries momentum after winning tough 2nd set)
- Mattek-Sands def. Parra Santonja

6-7 6-3 6-2 (winner keeps focused after losing tough first set)
- King def. Cibulkova

6-2 3-6 7-6 (the real battle starts at 3rd set)
- No example yet

6-3 5-7 6-1 (loser was dominated and was lucky to win a set)
- Hradecka def. Sevastova

7-5 0-6 7-6 (loser won more points, the winner barely survived)
- No example yet

6-7 6-2 9-7 (2nd set loser fights 'til the end)
- Errani def. McHale

6-3 4-6 8-6 (all close)
- Bremond def. Rodina


-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
* Jaja - Sveta - Vika - Petra - Vera *
Marion - Flavia - Andrea - Alisa

-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-

Last edited by Ralph214; May 25th, 2011 at 02:18 AM.
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post #4 of 4 (permalink) Old May 25th, 2011, 04:30 PM Thread Starter
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Re: Roland Garros - Scoreline Stats

Ralph, thanks for your suggestions. I've basically scrapped my first approach (focus on special cases) and gone with something more systematic - the match categories are now based on mainly how the deciding sets were won, i.e. "close sets" vs "easily won" sets.

Then there's just another small problem - what to call a 6-3 set - close or easy? You can get to 6-3 in one set with a single break of serve ("close") but then 6-3 in the next set requires two breaks of serve ("easy"). I suppose I could add an "inbetween" category (easy-inbetween-close) but then there'll be 54 different categories already - not very overview'ish. I'm still fine-tuning the sorting mechanism, though, so suggestions are still welcome.
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