Monica is in Q so Madrid will no longer count as mandatory is she will not qualify for the MD. In this case she will have 1255 points after Madrid. If she'll qualify but lose in the first round of MD she will have 1225 points. The worst scenario from the ranking point of view is to be LL (very possible as she has nr 1 seed in Q) and lose in the first round of MD.
Ok. So at least Monica has picked up 55 points for next week, it could have been worse.
And yeah, Monica against clay court specialists on clay is always a dodgy proposition for Monica, unfortunately.
The problem is that since I followed Romanian WTA tennis closer, there has never been one slam where at least one unseeded Romanian tennis player didn't draw a Top 10 player.
I only hope it's not Monica.
As I am a probabilities „fan” this made me curious.
A Romanian player in MD of a slam has 10/127 =7.87% „chances’ to draw a top 10 seed.
As we usually have 5 players the probability that at least 1 to have a top 10 as a R1 opponent is calculated by adding 7.87+7.87+7.87+7.87+7.87=39.35%
And when Edina Gallovits had also good enough ranking for MD, then of the 6 players the bad luck for at least one goes to 47.22. Scary isn’t it Almost half.
So of 4 slams of the year 2 most probably will meet this situation.
If it happens in 3 or all 4 slams of the year the draws are rigged.
Begu Dulgheru Niculescu Halep
Cetkovska Voegele Shvedova Paszek Hampton
Olaru Bara A. Bogdan ---Bates Feldenkrais Schneider