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post #110 of (permalink) Old Dec 28th, 2012, 03:02 PM
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Re: It's dead obvious Azarenka is going to flop this season

Originally Posted by Smitten View Post
TF logic: form exists in a vacuum. If a player plays well for a stretch of time, they'll always play well. If a player has a bad year, they'll never return to form.

To them, Azarenka will continue her high level until the day she retires and no one else can challenge her. There are numerous players with bigger games than her who did not play up to their level of tennis in 2012.

Azarenka doesn't have a big enough game to establish any staying power. It takes her too long to win points and she doesn't dictate often enough to ever be a dominant champion.

The overwhelming majority of the reason Azarenka is in the position she is in is because her start to the year of 2012. Serena was flopping/injured, Kvitova was flopping, Clijsters was injured/flopping/semi-retired, etc. She doesn't get a medal for beating Sharapova, Radwanska, and a choking Barthel in every event.

She didn't win fuck all until 5 months after IW despite posting consistent results (which she is able to do thanks to her generic baseline game and general low UE count).

tl;dr: The girl is still local.
As I agree with everything you said. It only depends what a flops for her would be. I mean if you consider that being her not winning a GS, then yes, there are big chances tht it will be a flop. On the other hand, I would consider a flop for her only if she can't stay in the top 5, which I don't see happening. She's a safe bet for the top 5 for many years to come unless she is injured.

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