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post #5 of (permalink) Old Dec 22nd, 2011, 12:45 PM
country flag Andiyan
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Re: How many players will break top 100 for the first time?

16 made it in last year Iryna Bremond wasnt counted in the number yet.

To sum up the players of the FP:

Minella, 26 yo. Luxembourg veteran that played a very full schedule for the first time in her career, playing many (31!) tournaments in 2011. Hasn't got much points to defend until April, so she might make it. Then again I expect her to drop out soon after that. Her overall abilities seem too limited.

Tsurenko, 22 yo, will almost make it for sure. Shows great improvement, especially last year. It might take a while though since she defends an AO R2 (As a qualifier).'

Panova, 22 yo. Seems like she's been on tour for ages already. Finally raised to a higher level the 2nd half of 2011, having great results on the ITF tour. Already played a competitive match against Bartoli. If she does well in Australia she might make it surprisingly soon.

Doi, 20 yo. The young Japanese rarely beats anyone ranked higher than her. Excells mainly on grass. I'd say it depends on some lucky (GS) draws if she will make the top 100 next year.

Sema, 23 yo. Experienced Japanese that doesn't earn many points outside of Japan. Suffers strange losses to nobodies once in a while. Her making top 100 would be a shock.

Diatchenko, 21 yo. Only played 16 tournaments in 2011 due to a quiet first half of the year. Therefore might (and will, imo) make it very soon. Her match against Danka at Wimbledon showed her potential.

Robson, 17 yo. The hyped British girl will definitely make top 100 if she plays a full schedule next year. Has some promising results to prove her potential already.

Luzhanska, 27 yo US-based Ukrainian veteran that mainly gathered her points on the USTA-tour but never broke through. Has a lot to defend in early 2012, so I predict she will drop out of top 200 again.

Savinykh, the 20 yo Russian had a very solid 2011. She will play in Australia for the first time and if she continues her progress from last year she can make the top 100 too.

Riske, 21 yo American who already has a CH of 104 but dropped on the ranks. Seems to be on the right track again after a convincing row of ITF tournaments in France in oct-nov. But her game seems suited for grass and indoors only. Will that be enough? Imo she has the abilities for it.

Other dark horses (in order of likeliness):
Kristina Mladenovic, 18.
Caroline Garcia, 18.
Timea Babos, 18.
Reka-Luca Jani, 20.
Jana Cepelova, 18.
Ajla Tomljanovic, 18.
Paula Ormaechea, 19.
Monica Puig, 18.
Garbińe Muguruza, 18.
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