Ad.Barna def Dominikovic - Yes, that's right...and when it happens Evie needs to hang her head in shame. Evie is hot favorite, but is under prepared, low on confidence and lost to a Canadian junior last week. Hardly encouraging.
Wheeler def Lefevre - Christina should prevail in straight sets, but she is not in the best form and is struggling to produce the form she showed in America a few months ago. Still, she has the easiest match of them all I feel.
McQuillan def Alves - Alves is pretty good, but hs no experience in Slams. Rachel should win, I'll say in either 2 tight sets o3 in 3. If Rachel loses this match it is time to RETIRE.
Boogert def Stosur - Something tells me Stosur is not ready. She has been disappointing in her last 2 events in America, retiring hurt in one of them. Also, the disappointment of Fed Cup may still be ailing her. If she gets through this match she is more than capable of qualifying. But Kristie is a very good player, don't be fooled by her ranking of 200.
Just my silly predictions. The reason I pick Evie to lose, is that when you stick her in a qualifying draw against lesser opponents, well...she stinks up the joint. She sucks in qualifying events when the pressure is on.
If Evie can beat Barna (she is a much better player than Adriana, but it will be up to her nerves) then she will beat Wheeler too (provided Christina gets through, which she should). So basically, if Evie can get through round 1 I think she can qualify. *But* Gisela Dulko, who beat her in round 1 qualies last year, looms in the 3rd round...
Id love to see Evie vs. Wheeler matchup. Yeah I would lean towards Evie.
Boogert is tough, and it would be a great win for Sam. It was a good effort against Castano (judging from the scoreline) last week so hopefully she feels some confidence. Hopefully Sam is building the ability to guts out matchs, like Alicia is getting better at.
This is the type of match Rachel loses unfortunately. She should have enough toughness & experience to prevail over an inexperienced player however she's never able to exploit these assets.
Thats an interesting point about racheal retiring - she usually wins the challenger wildcard to get into Oz open . . . very intersting thought there
i think 2 girls will get through
obviously either evie or christina and then i think sam will - like last year racheal will get to last round and then unfortunately lose again - hope im wrong as racheal is a brilliant player on her day and has been a great ambassator for aussie womens tennis
hopefully pratt and alicia will get favourable matches in there main draws
Firstly I have to say that the Aussies have all drawn excellent 1st rounds! All Aussies drew players ranked 200 and below, Boogert(200) Alves(232) Lefevre(222) and Barna(243)
Stosur should beat Boogert comfortably - Kristie Boogert is basically retired, she's hardly played in recent months, her last 2 singles events were qualifying at French Open and qualifying at Wimbledon (anyone see a trend!), this will most likely be her last singles match of her career as she appears to have given up singles since April. She's lost 5 of her previous 7 matches to the following players, Virag Nemeth, Joanna Sakowicz, Roberta Vinci, Eva Birnerova and Francesca Schiavone, hardly household names except for Francesca. Kristie's game will most likely be rusty and Samantha who is very steady should make light work of her providing her serve isnt off.
McQuillan should thrash Alves - When I saw the draw I thought could Rachel have gotten a better 1st round match! If she loses this she must realise its time to retire after the Australian Open. I mean she still has the skills IMO but she's wasting her time if she's that fragile mentally and doesnt have the confidence to win this. I think she's overdue for a win outside Australia too! This is Alves first Grand Slam match, she basically just plays $10K's in South America LOL
Wheeler should outperform Lefevre - Christina has the hardest first round IMO but she still should be able to get through this. Lefevre though has had a very consistent year with some solid wins over top 200 players but Christina has the experience in Grand Slam qualifying and is a league above Lefevre.
Dominikovic should outrally Adriana Barna - Adriana doesnt have a powerful game and Evie tends to play well against the ralliers as she has amazing patience and consistency. Last week Evie came up against a heavy hitter who had nothing to lose. This week she comes up against a rallier whose biggest weapon is consistency which also happens to be Evie's biggest strength as well. Evie's serve should see her through this and her lobs/topspin backhand which should bounce above small Adriana's head!
Its looking good to gettin 4 Aussies through but as always I expect maybe a couple will choke hehehe