Personally I don't think it all means much if they can't break thru to the top 100 and get the DE to the slams. Career highs mean jack unless they are consistently trending upwards. I recognise that Liv has had a reasonably successful year at the ITF level, but is her year end ranking going to be any higher than what it was after the AO? Sasha started off with bang and hasn't really followed thru. Top 100 is something to get excited about, it means DE to Slams, DE to some of the lower tier WTA events. Top 200 means flopping around from challenger to challenger and hoping to vulture lots of easy points on the Aussie swing.
However the positive we can take from the male situation is the guys that have come thru Ebden and Marinko are both later bloomers. BTW Ebden is back in the top 100. A ranking of 46 for Marinko, even if that is as high as he goes is nothing to be ashamed of. Lleyton, agree there aren't too many matches left for him and Tomic seems destined to implode.
Points Week Change Tourn Played
46 Matosevic, Marinko (AUS) 825 0 28
48 Tomic, Bernard (AUS) 805 -3 27
74 Hewitt, Lleyton (AUS) 625 4 13
96 Ebden, Matthew (AUS) 519 8 24
I mostly agree with you, in that let's be frank here and state the obvious.
Tomic is in some serious shit, but unless he quits tennis, he won't drop out of top 100, his talent will keep him in it, and that's worst case (except retiring). Even after a horrible year, he's still near top 50.
Matosevic and Ebden are nothing but journeymen in a good patch of form, they will drop out soon and they won't have any big impact in any big tournament anyway, for example Ebden at AO this year. They are nobodies as far as most people are concerned.
Also with Liv and Sacha, they are not going anywhere. Despite the huge support (which borders on delusion sometimes) that they will. They might get into top 100 at some point, but it will be the same case like Matosevic or Ebden, not for long or doing anything significant, just whoring points and having a fluke run at a WTA.
Not sure how long Stosur can keep it going for in terms of near top 10 quality. She's aging and seems mentality tired. Hewitt is already toast.
In the junior mens side there is nobody that can match Tomic's achievements (even if he retired now), let alone Hewitt. Saville will probably be a late developer and have better success than someone like Ebden, but I can't see him going far. Ditto Duckworth. Others like Kubler and Mitchell are nothing special.
Junior girls side of course there's Barty, right now her career path is wide open, she can become anything, the next few years will indicate what she's destined for. Although it's obvious now it's Top 100 at least. She's the only hope for Aussie tennis at the moment and rightfully so should be given most support from TA with respect to WCs etc. over the likes of other Aussies mentioned previously.
Other junior girls are again similar to the boys, nothing special, probably even worse in terms of achievements. There is some hope in the very young girls like Cabrera for example, although it's still early days. Bains despite all the hype has been very disappointing, I expect nothing special from her, although she's still 14 so might surprise us next year.
In conclusion, don't expect 2 world class players from either mens or womens side in the future, so it's nothing different than what we have had before.