probabilities of winning the swisscom challenge - TennisForum.com
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post #1 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 14th, 2002, 07:29 AM Thread Starter
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probabilities of winning the swisscom challenge

as shown at
http://www.sportpunter.com

here are the probabilities of a player winning and makiing the final respectively for the swisscom challenge. THe website has all of the predictions plus much more.



Davenport 20.3% 34.3%
Capriati 17.8% 33.6%
Mauresmo 15.8% 27.9%
Clijsters 9.8% 18.9%
Hantuchova 9.0% 16.2%

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post #2 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:27 AM
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dokic might be back she atcually won a match

Good luck to the Aussie and Balkan girls!
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post #3 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:45 AM
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I seem to recall your "Clijsters" number was even lower than 9.8% last week.

You have to answer for Santino, Carlo.
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post #4 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 07:33 AM
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I think Lindsay will take the title

VENUS WILLIAMS
SERENA WILLIAMS
PAULA ORMAECHEA
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post #5 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 07:34 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by LucasArg
I think Lindsay will take the title
Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
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post #6 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:24 PM
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I think you should take Capriati out of the running and shove her down lower.

RIP Elena Baltacha, thank you for dedicating your life to a sport we all love. You'll be missed but never forgotten.
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post #7 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:35 PM
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Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.
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post #8 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 03:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally posted by quasimodo
Well... Sport punter gave Clijsters winner at 5.3% and Hantuchova finalist at 5.5%.

That shows the limit of that kind of prediction, unless everybody gets rich at horses betting, for instance.
At the Porsche Grand Prix, of course.
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post #9 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 04:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Glenn


Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
Yeah like last year at the masters.

Men när natten är ljus - I ditt sjuttiotalshus
Och du är ånga, spår av ett moln
I en dröm om att fly till någonting nytt

Och du håller så hårt och när längtan blir svår
Så är jag din, din, din att ta med
Att ta ut, att ta in i någonting nytt
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post #10 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 04:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Glenn
Lindsay always gets beaten by Kim!
Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3



Last edited by Elske; Oct 15th, 2002 at 04:41 PM.
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post #11 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 15th, 2002, 07:31 PM
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Most of the meetings are very tight - anybody's guess who the winner would be.

RIP Elena Baltacha, thank you for dedicating your life to a sport we all love. You'll be missed but never forgotten.
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post #12 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 16th, 2002, 01:28 AM Thread Starter
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WIth so many people in the running,
Clijesters had a 5.3% chance of winning last weekat the Porsche. This was 6th best. Which is probably about right. Just because it is a low probabillity doesn't mean that it was inaccurate. Not one player's probability of winning was abover 25% at the start of the tournament.

So does this mean that whoever won the predictions would be inaccurate? I don't think so.

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post #13 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 16th, 2002, 01:29 AM Thread Starter
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NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%

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post #14 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 16th, 2002, 04:05 AM
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Re: NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Quote:
Originally posted by sportpunter
NEW PROBABILITIES AFTER ROUND 1

Prob of winning and making final as shown at www.sportpunter.com

Davenport 21.4% 32.8%
Capriati 19.3% 36.5%
Mauresmo 17.9% 30.3%
Clijsters 8.7% 19.8%
Hingis 8.5% 18.1%
I bet all my money that I am 100% certain that Hingis won't win the swisscom tournament and not making the finals eaither! .
(Get well soon Martina)
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post #15 of 20 (permalink) Old Oct 16th, 2002, 04:24 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Elske


Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) v Kim CLIJSTERS (BEL)

2000 U.S. Open Hard (O) 64 Lindsay DAVENPORT 4-6 6-2 6-2
2000 Fed Cup (WG-SF) Carpet (I) R2 Lindsay DAVENPORT 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3
2001 Australian Open Hard (O) 16 Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-4 6-0
2001 Wimbledon Grass (O) QF Lindsay DAVENPORT 6-1 6-2
2001 Stanford Hard (O) FR Kim CLIJSTERS 4-6 7-6(5) 1-6
2001 W.T.A. Tour Championships Hard (I) SF Lindsay DAVENPORT 1-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2002 Stanford Hard (O) SF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 4-6 2-6
2002 Stuttgart Hard (I) QF Kim CLIJSTERS 6-4 3-6 4-6

Lindsay DAVENPORT (USA) leads 5 : 3


Kim has won the last 2, but she is probably really tired after last week. We shoud find out in the 3rd round
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