Actually I'm questioning your credibility, as so far your pick, If I were you I would be running very fast
I know your a pessimist, but I'm waiting for the explanation for arbitrary pick. It makes no sense.
I do not quite understand what you mean in your first sentence. What is wrong with my credibility? I probably did make some small errors in my point totals, which I fully admitted, but as far as who has gathered the most points since Stuttgart I believe my list is accurate. If you see an errors please point them out and I will correct them. Also, who should I be running from?
I already explained my "arbitrary" pick. Maybe you do not like the explanation but I think it makes sound sense. But I will try to explain it again. January is essentially the "Australian" leg of the tour. February is harder to classify but in Caroline's case it was her middle eastern leg of the tour. March consists of American hardcourts and April is the beginning of the clay season. I guess I could have started with Charleston but that takes place in America and is on a different surface, it is kind of a transitional event that does not fit into the hardcourt or claycourt seasons. So I started with Caroline's first (red) clay tournament which was Stuttgart. It makes perfect sense to me. If you divide the season into three parts January-April is essentially the first hardcourt season, April-July is the clay/grass season and July-October is the second hardcourt season. It seems crystal clear to me, I'm not sure what you are failing to grasp. My point is that starting in the middle of the season Caroline's consistency has not been anywhere near what it was from August, 2010-March, 2011. Surely you can not dispute that? In recent months she has not made a single final in any of the big tournaments (grand slams, premier mandatories and premier 5's). Maybe we have been spoiled by her results but the fact is that she was regularly making big finals and in recent months she has not been.
I also totalled up Caroline's points in 2009 and 2010 for the period of Stuttgart-Toronto/Montreal. Since in those two years Cincinnati was played before Toronto/Montreal we will have to wait until her result next week to get a fair comparison but right now the comparison is as follows:
2009-Stuttgart [P], Rome [P5], Madrid [PM], Roland Garros [GS], Eastbourne [P], Wimbledon [GS], Bastad [I], Los Angeles [P], Cincinnati [P5], Toronto [P5]
Ten events played, 2182 points earned
2010-Stuttgart [P], Rome [P5], Madrid [PM], Warsaw [P], Roland Garros [GS], Eastbourne [P], Wimbledon [GS], Copenhagen [I], Cincinnati [P5], Montreal [P5]
Ten events played, 2412 points earned
2011-Stuttgart [P], Madrid [PM], Rome [P5], Brussels [P], Roland Garros [GS], Copenhagen [I], Wimbledon [GS], Bastad [I], Toronto [P5]
Nine events played, 2076 points earned with the results from Cincinnati pending
Caroline will need to make the semis or better in Cincinnati to exceed her point total from the same period last season. A semi appearance in Cincinnati will give her 2471 points. If she fails to make the semis she will actually have regressed from last season. Having the ankle injury last year, combined with how well she did in the summer/fall of 2010 and the first few months of 2011 I thought that she was primed to have a breakthrough clay season but her results over the last three years have been fairly static. That is somewhat worrying, particularly now that she is number one. If there is a silver lining next year she has the potential to pick up quite a few points, particularly at the two slams.