DANGER!!!! Aga could dethrone Serena after RG 2016!
From Doha until before the start of RG:
2. Radwanska defends 516 pts.
3. Kerber defends 1196 pts.
1. Serena defends 1885 pts.
Serena has a 3445 pts lead over Aga and 4035 over Kerber right now.
If we substract what they need to defend from last year it looks like this:
Serena: 9245 becomes 7360
Aga: 5700 becomes 5184
Kerber: 5210 becomes 4014
Now Serena only leads 2176 over Aga and 3346 over Kerber.
..and here comes the scary part for Serena. Before the start of RG:
2. Aga can gain 5034 pts.
3. Kerber can gain 4824 pts.
1. Serena can gain 2015 pts.
After adding what they can gain before RG:
1. Aga: 5184 becomes 10218
2. Serena: 7360 becomes 9375
3. Kerber: 4014 becomes 8839
..and then this is what they defend at RG:
Serena: 2000 pts.
Aga: 10 pts.
Kerber: 130 pts.
I'd say danger is back! Looks like Aga is becoming #1 after RG !
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Original post starts here
Serena's 2015 is over so let's focus on her 2016! :grin2:
We all know I'm obsessed with Serena breaking Graf's weeks at No. 1 records (consecutive and overall), so it would be nice to not have to read comments like "who cares about #1, it's all about the slams" YES WE KNOW... GIVE IT A REST! THIS IS ABOUT WEEKS @#1 TTHREAD, GO TALK ABOUT SLAMS IN OTHER THREADS... BACK TO TOPIC:
These records can be broken in 2016
Consecutive weeks at No. 1:
Serena has 138 weeks
- breaks Navratilova (156) on 15 February 2016
- breaks Graf on (186) on 12 September 2016
These records can be broken in 2017
Weeks at No .1 total:
Serena has 256 weeks
- breaks Navratilova (332) on 20 February 2017
- Breaks Graf (377) on 01 January 2018
For now Serena is not in danger of losing the #1 spot, because she has a huge points lead over the rest and none of the other top women are consistent enough to take over her spot. However, she has A LOT of points to defend in 2016 (6780 pts at slams) and it seems that she has started declining slowly..
Right now Serena 11286 has a 4705 pt lead over the #2 Halep 6580. Serena skipping Beijing and YEC means she will lose 1555 pts, which means the lead is 3150.
Halep just lost in Wuhan R16 & Beijing R64 and she's defending 890 pts at the YEC. Best case scenario is Halep winning YEC undefeated (which is not impossible) making Serena's lead only 2540.
It doesn't look like anybody will prevent Serena from breaking Graf's records
From Doha until before the start of RG:
2. Radwanska defends 516 pts.
3. Kerber defends 1196 pts.
1. Serena defends 1885 pts.
Serena has a 3445 pts lead over Aga and 4035 over Kerber right now.
If we substract what they need to defend from last year it looks like this:
Serena: 9245 becomes 7360
Aga: 5700 becomes 5184
Kerber: 5210 becomes 4014
Now Serena only leads 2176 over Aga and 3346 over Kerber.
..and here comes the scary part for Serena. Before the start of RG:
2. Aga can gain 5034 pts.
3. Kerber can gain 4824 pts.
1. Serena can gain 2015 pts.
After adding what they can gain before RG:
1. Aga: 5184 becomes 10218
2. Serena: 7360 becomes 9375
3. Kerber: 4014 becomes 8839
..and then this is what they defend at RG:
Serena: 2000 pts.
Aga: 10 pts.
Kerber: 130 pts.
I'd say danger is back! Looks like Aga is becoming #1 after RG !
_____________________________________________________________________
Original post starts here
Serena's 2015 is over so let's focus on her 2016! :grin2:
We all know I'm obsessed with Serena breaking Graf's weeks at No. 1 records (consecutive and overall), so it would be nice to not have to read comments like "who cares about #1, it's all about the slams" YES WE KNOW... GIVE IT A REST! THIS IS ABOUT WEEKS @#1 TTHREAD, GO TALK ABOUT SLAMS IN OTHER THREADS... BACK TO TOPIC:
These records can be broken in 2016
Consecutive weeks at No. 1:
Serena has 138 weeks
- breaks Navratilova (156) on 15 February 2016
- breaks Graf on (186) on 12 September 2016
These records can be broken in 2017
Weeks at No .1 total:
Serena has 256 weeks
- breaks Navratilova (332) on 20 February 2017
- Breaks Graf (377) on 01 January 2018
For now Serena is not in danger of losing the #1 spot, because she has a huge points lead over the rest and none of the other top women are consistent enough to take over her spot. However, she has A LOT of points to defend in 2016 (6780 pts at slams) and it seems that she has started declining slowly..
Right now Serena 11286 has a 4705 pt lead over the #2 Halep 6580. Serena skipping Beijing and YEC means she will lose 1555 pts, which means the lead is 3150.
Halep just lost in Wuhan R16 & Beijing R64 and she's defending 890 pts at the YEC. Best case scenario is Halep winning YEC undefeated (which is not impossible) making Serena's lead only 2540.
It doesn't look like anybody will prevent Serena from breaking Graf's records