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Race to 2016 Rio Olympics - Complete

105K views 593 replies 119 participants last post by  tommypress 
#1 · (Edited)
* You can visit the doubles thread in the doubles section.

Race Qualifications
- Based on World Ranking of June 6, 2016
- Ranking from 2015 Nottingham/'s-Hertogenbosch to 2016 Roland Garros


Singles
- 64 Players

1. 56 Direct Acceptances
- Max 4 per NOC

2. 6 ITF Final Qualification Placements
- Host Country minimum
- Top 300 Regional Representation minimum
- Top 200 former Gold Medalists/Grand Slam Champions
- Top players from universal non-represented NOCs
- Other

3. 2 Tripartite Commission Invitation Placements

Player Eligibility
- Fed Cup Participation

Be part of the final nomination of Fed Cup team at the time of the draw and is present at the tie, on a minimum of three occasions within the 4-year Olympics cycle. One of the three occasions must occur in either 2015 or 2016.

...unless!

a. You have played Fed Cup for minimum of 20 weeks.
b. Your nation is in the zonal round robin format for 3-4 years within the Olympics cycle.
c. You have a long-term injury for a minimum of 6 months.
d. You are a newcomer to Fed Cup where your previous rankings were not good enough for your nation.
e. Your nation had too many highly-ranked profile players where you were not given the opportunity to be nominated.

If any of the above five scenarios fits for a player, then the player will only need two, rather than three occasions. However, one of the two still must occur in 2015 or 2016. In the case of c, d and e, special cases may be granted solely under the ITF's discretion.

- In good standing with your nation's tennis association

A player must be nominated by their NOC for Olympics participation to be eligible.
 
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#2 · (Edited)
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Race
- After Nurnberg/Strasbourg
- Performed some checks and hopefully it's right. This will be the final update. I will post WTA official ranking for results after Roland Garros.


Singles - 64 Players

Code:
56 direct entries by ranking
[I]- Provided there are maximum 4 singles players per NOC[/I]

	Pos	Player	 	 	NOC	Slot	Points	

	1	Serena Williams		USA	1	7030	
	2	Agnieszka Radwanska	POL	1	5840	
	3	Angelique Kerber	GER	1	5610	
	4	Garbine Muguruza 	ESP	1	4766	
	5	Simona Halep		ROU	1	4231	
	6	Victoria Azarenka	BLR	1	4211	
	7	Roberta Vinci		ITA	1	3395	
	8	Belinda Bencic		SUI	1	3260	
	9	Venus Williams		USA	2	2876	
	10	Flavia Pennetta		ITA	2	2723	
	11	Petra Kvitova		CZE	1	2638	
	12	Svetlana Kuznetsova	RUS	1	2515	
	13	Carla Suarez Navarro	ESP	2	2455	
	14	Timea Bacsinszky	SUI	2	2370	
	15	Madison Keys		USA	3	2352	
	16	Karolina Pliskova	CZE	2	2350	
	17	Johanna Konta		GBR	1	2240	
	18	Sara Errani		ITA	3	2020	
	19	Sloane Stephens		USA	4	2020	
	20	Elina Svitolina		UKR	1	1986	
	21	Dominika Cibulkova	SVK	1	1951	
	22	Jelena Jankovic		SRB	1	1930	
	23	Samantha Stosur		AUS	1	1920	
	24	Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaRUS	2	1830	
	25	Ana Ivanovic		SRB	2	1780	
	26	Maria Sharapova		RUS	3	1711	
	27	Lucie Safarova		CZE	3	1543	
        28	Shuai Peng		CHN     1       SR27
	29	Irina Begu		ROU	2	1525	
	30	Barbora Strycova	CZE	4	1510	
	31	Darya Kasatkina		RUS	4	1488	
	32	Kristina Mladenovic	FRA	1	1420	
	33	Andrea Petkovic		GER	2	1415	
	34	Caroline Wozniacki	DEN	1	1386		Has to petition for injury exception
	35	Monica Niculescu	ROU	3	1355	
	36	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1	1352	
	37	A. K. Schmiedlova	SVK	2	1330	
	38	Laura Siegemund		GER	3	1325	
[s]		Ekaterina Makarova	RUS	5	1312	[/s]	In if Sharapova out
	39	Caroline Garcia		FRA	2	1295	
	40	Lesya Tsurenko		UKR	2	1291	
[s]		Coco Vandeweghe		USA	5	1232	[/s]
	41	Misaki Doi		JPN	1	1220	
	42	Annika Beck		GER	4	1205	
	43	Timea Babos		HUN	1	1190	
	44	Camila Giorgi		ITA	4	1160	
[s] 	  	Karin Knapp		ITA	5	SR45	[/s]	In if Giorgi or Pennetta out
	45	Eugenie Bouchard	CAN	1	1160	
	46	Daria Gavrilova		AUS	2	1110		Has to petition for nationality exception
	47	Monica Puig		PUR	1	1090	
[s]		Anna lena Friedsam	GER	5	1090	[/s]
	48	Yanina Wickmayer	BEL	1	1085	
[s]		Margarita Gasparyan	RUS	6	1042	[/s]
	49	Kiki Bertens		NED	1	1041	
[s]		Elena Vesnina		RUS	7	1029	[/s]
	50	Kirsten Flipkens	BEL	2	1015	
	51	Johanna Larsson		SWE	1	1013	
	52	Heather Watson		GBR	2	1011	
[s]		Sabine Lisicki		GER	6	992	[/s]
	53	Mirjana Lucic-Baroni	CRO	1	988	
[s]		Varvara Lepchenko	USA	6	969	[/s]
	54	Danka Kovinic		MNE	1	965	
[s]		Mona Barthel		GER	7	965	[/s]
	55	Yulia Putintseva	KAZ	1	955	
[s]		Christina McHale	USA	7	950	[/s]
[s]		Madison Brengle		USA	8	940	[/s]
	56	Shuai Zhang		CHN	2	939	

		Next in...

	A1	Kateryna Bondarenko	UKR	3	923		In if TPI not used
	A2	Nao Hibino		JPN	2	911		In if TPI not used
	A3	Alize Cornet		FRA	3	905	
	A4	Qiang Wang		CHN	3	869
Code:
Host country representation:
[I]- provided there are none in the Top 60 in the discipline[/I]

	57	Teliana Pereira		BRA	1	698
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is in the Top 300 for Regional Representation:
[I]- provided that the player is the first one on her NOC list[/I]

	58	Ons Jabeur		TUN	1	270	(Africa)
[s]Asia[/s]
[s]Europe[/s]
[s]Central America[/s]
[s]South America[/s]
[s]Oceania[/s]
Code:
Active Grand Slam or Olympic winners in the Singles Top 200:
[I]- provided that the player's NOC does not max out 4 participating slots[/I]

[s]Francesca Schiavone[/s] In if both Giorgi and Pennetta out
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is the first on her NOC list:
[I]- provided that other slots were not used and [U]maximum two[/U] allowed[/I]

	59	Mariana Duque Marino	COL	1	806
	60	Su-Wei Hsieh		TPE	1	804

	B1	Cagla Buyukakcay	TUR	1	789
	B2	Ana Konjuh		CRO	2	774
	B3	Anett Kontaveit		EST	1	701
	B4	Polona Hercog		SLO	1	655
 
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#193 ·
#3 · (Edited)
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Qualifiers
- Pos does not indicate actual position since I did not sort points.

Singles - 64 Players

Code:
[I]- 56 Direct Acceptances[/I]

	Pos	Player	 	 	NOC	Slot	

	1	Serena Williams		USA	1	
	2	Agnieszka Radwanska	POL	1	
	3	Angelique Kerber	GER	1	
	4	Garbine Muguruza 	ESP	1	
	5	Simona Halep		ROU	1	
	6	Victoria Azarenka	BLR	1	
	7	Roberta Vinci		ITA	1	
	8	Belinda Bencic		SUI	1	
	9	Venus Williams		USA	2	
	10	Flavia Pennetta		ITA	2	
	11	Petra Kvitova		CZE	1	
	12	Svetlana Kuznetsova	RUS	1	
	13	Carla Suarez Navarro	ESP	2	
	14	Timea Bacsinszky	SUI	2	
	15	Madison Keys		USA	3	
	16	Karolina Pliskova	CZE	2	
	17	Johanna Konta		GBR	1	
	18	Sara Errani		ITA	3	
	19	Sloane Stephens		USA	4	
	20	Elina Svitolina		UKR	1	
	21	Dominika Cibulkova	SVK	1	
	22	Jelena Jankovic		SRB	1	
	23	Samantha Stosur		AUS	1	
	24	Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaRUS	2	
	25	Ana Ivanovic		SRB	2	
	26	Maria Sharapova		RUS	3	Depends on ITF hearing on Meldonium
	27	Lucie Safarova		CZE	3	
        28	Shuai Peng		CHN     1       
	29	Irina Begu		ROU	2	
	30	Barbora Strycova	CZE	4	
	31	Darya Kasatkina		RUS	4	
	32	Kristina Mladenovic	FRA	1	
	33	Andrea Petkovic		GER	2	
	34	Caroline Wozniacki	DEN	1	Has to petition for injury exception
	35	Monica Niculescu	ROU	3	
	36	Jelena Ostapenko	LAT	1	
	37	A. K. Schmiedlova	SVK	2	
	38	Laura Siegemund		GER	3	
		Ekaterina Makarova	RUS	5	In if Sharapova out
	39	Caroline Garcia		FRA	2	
	40	Lesya Tsurenko		UKR	2	
	41	Misaki Doi		JPN	1	
	42	Annika Beck		GER	4	
	43	Timea Babos		HUN	1	
	44	Camila Giorgi		ITA	4	Italian Federation may exclude her
 	  	Karin Knapp		ITA	5	In if Giorgi or Pennetta out
	45	Eugenie Bouchard	CAN	1	
	46	Monica Puig		PUR	1	
	47	Yanina Wickmayer	BEL	1
	48	Yulia Putintseva	KAZ	1
	49	Kiki Bertens		NED	1
	50	Daria Gavrilova		AUS	2	
	51	Johanna Larsson		SWE	1
	52	Heather Watson		GBR	2
	53	Alize Cornet		FRA	3
	54	Kirsten Flipkens	BEL	2
	55	Shuai Zhang		CHN	2
- Host Country Minimum

Code:
	57	Teliana Pereira		BRA	1
- Top 300 Regional Representation minimum

Code:
	58	Ons Jabeur		TUN	1
- Top 200 former Gold Medalists/Grand Slam Champions

Code:
	59	
	60	N/A
- Top players from universal non-represented NOCs

Code:
	61
	62
- Other/Tripartite Commission Invitation

Code:
	63
	64
 
#6 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Race

Singles - 64 Players

Code:
Active Grand Slam or Olympic winners in the Singles Top 200:
[I]- provided that the player's NOC does not max out 4 participating slots[/I]

1. Serena Williams (USA)
2. Petra Kvitova (CZE)
3. Maria Sharapova (RUS)
4. Victoria Azarenka (BLR)
5. Samantha Stosur (AUS)
6. Francesca Schiavone (ITA)
7. Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS)
8. Ana Ivanovic (SRB)
9. Venus Williams (USA)
There are currently still five slams left to have a chance to qualify via this option, where based this list will pretty much guarantee Victoria Azarenka and Samantha Stosur in to the Olympics in Rio because their respective compatriots will not take up 4 NOC spots as of current ranking projections (bar injury).
 
#9 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Are you going to weekly post the Olympic rankings starting June 6? I was thinking about doing this. Also, I have a question: Which edition of Roland Garros will count towards the race, 2015 or 2016? Apparently, it should be 2015 Roland Garros.
 
#12 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Are you going to weekly post the Olympic rankings starting June 6? I was thinking about doing this. Also, I have a question: Which edition of Roland Garros will count towards the race, 2015 or 2016? Apparently, it should be 2015 Roland Garros.
Olympic entries will be based on the rankings of June 6 2016, which is post RG 2016.
 
#10 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

The Brazilian automatically get a WC for the mixed doubles and another South American country will get one as well?

It will be interesting to see who gets a spot in the USA squad. There can't be no more than different six players for all three draws.

What in the world will the USTA do with the likes of Kops-Jones, Spears and Mattek-Sands?
Venus, Serena and Keys are pretty much guaranted. Only three spots left to maximize medal chances.
 
#34 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

The Brazilian automatically get a WC for the mixed doubles and another South American country will get one as well?

It will be interesting to see who gets a spot in the USA squad. There can't be no more than different six players for all three draws.

What in the world will the USTA do with the likes of Kops-Jones, Spears and Mattek-Sands?
Venus, Serena and Keys are pretty much guaranted. Only three spots left to maximize medal chances.
Serena
Venus
Reptar
Jones
Spears
Beth

Reptar and Beth playing singles together.

 
#17 ·
Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Hope Marina Erakovic makes it in:scared:

What does she need, top 65?

Last time the cut off for race was around 56 or 58, with Watson alting at the end. Erakovic may have a chance for ITF placement if no one from NZL enters Olympics in tennis in both singles and doubles discipline and her ranking needs to be higher than other players who also qualify under that criteria. I will compile a list of possible candidates.

Wonder if e KDK will maintain her doubles ranking?!

Even if she maintains it's unlikely she will qualify via doubles because Olympics has a max number of entries and most doubles player will come from singles entry bar the top 10. If none of the doubles player overlaps with singles then it's going to be barely enough, 86-64-20 = 2.
 
#23 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Race - Not yet begun

Singles - 64 Players

Code:
Host country representation:
[I]- provided there are none in the Top 60 in the discipline[/I]

57. Teliana Pereira (BRA1)
Code:
Active Grand Slam or Olympic winners in the Singles Top 200:
[I]- provided that the player's NOC does not max out 4 participating slots[/I]

[s]Serena Williams (USA1)[/s]
[s]Petra Kvitova (CZE1)[/s]
[s]Maria Sharapova (RUS1)[/s]
58. Victoria Azarenka (BLR1)
59. Samantha Stosur (AUS1)
[s]Francesca Schiavone (ITA6)[/s]
[s]Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS3)[/s]
[s]Ana Ivanovic (SRB1)[/s]
[s]Venus Williams (USA2)[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is in the Top 300 for Regional Representation:
[I]- provided that the player is the first one on her NOC list[/I]

60. Africa - Chanelle Scheepers (RSA1) >> Ons Jabeur (TUN1)
[s]Asia[/s]
[s]Europe[/s]
61. Central America - Marcela Zacarias (MEX1) >> Ana Sofia Sanchez (MEX2)
[s]South America[/s]
[s]Oceania[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is the first on her NOC list:
[I]- provided that other slots were not used and maximum two allowed[/I]

62. Alja Tomljanovic (CRO1)
65. Polona Hercog (SLO1)
66. Timea Babos (HUN1)
67. Marina Erakovic (NZL1)
68. Kiki Bertens (NED1)
69. Danka Kovinic (MNE1)
70. Mariana Duque-Marino (COL1)
71. Julia Glushko (ISR1)
72. Michelle Larcher de Brito (POR1)
73. Cagla Buyukakcay (TUR1)
If we use current ranking this is pretty much what we will see in the list. I used top 60 because there is obviously going to be some countries with more than 4 in the Top 60, so there will be duplicates. Again, the race has not yet started, this is a projection based on current rankings.
 
#25 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Will players having switched nationality or in the process of switching such as Tomljanovic or Gavrilova be eligible?
Tomljanovic can still play for Croatia base on the rule, I believe?
 
#75 ·
#39 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

I'm a bit confused. I suppose NOC means National Olympic Committee. So players outside of top 60 who are the first on the NOC list can theoretically still qualify - doesn't that mean that at this moment, for Belgium, Flipkens should also be on that list? Or did I miss something? :confused:

I don't know the specific qualifying rules in Belgium. I've looked for them, but can't find them.
 
#40 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

I'm a bit confused. I suppose NOC means National Olympic Committee. So players outside of top 60 who are the first on the NOC list can theoretically still qualify - doesn't that mean that at this moment, for Belgium, Flipkens should also be on that list? Or did I miss something? :confused:

I don't know the specific qualifying rules in Belgium. I've looked for them, but can't find them.
Universality (max two (2) quota places) - if any places remain, these will be allocated to the next best ranked player on the international singles rankings of 6 June 2016 from an NOC that has no representation in that singles event.

So, there's a limit of 2 places and there are players from NOCs without representation ahead of her.
 
#46 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Race - Updated based on Ranking after Madrid, but do note these are projections. Not actual race...

Singles - 64 Players

Code:
Host country representation:
[I]- provided there are none in the Top 60 in the discipline[/I]

57. Teliana Pereira (BRA1)
Code:
Active Grand Slam or Olympic winners in the Singles Top 200:
[I]- provided that the player's NOC does not max out 4 participating slots[/I]

[s]Serena Williams (USA1)[/s]
[s]Petra Kvitova (CZE1)[/s]
[s]Maria Sharapova (RUS1)[/s]
58. Victoria Azarenka (BLR1)
59. Samantha Stosur (AUS1)
[s]Francesca Schiavone (ITA6)[/s]
[s]Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS3)[/s]
[s]Ana Ivanovic (SRB1)[/s]
[s]Venus Williams (USA2)[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is in the Top 300 for Regional Representation:
[I]- provided that the player is the first one on her NOC list[/I]

60. Africa - [s]Chanelle Scheepers (RSA1)[/s] RET. >> Ons Jabeur (TUN1)
[s]Asia[/s]
[s]Europe[/s]
61. Central America - Marcela Zacarias (MEX1) >> Ana Sofia Sanchez (MEX2)
[s]South America[/s]
[s]Oceania[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is the first on her NOC list:
[I]- provided that other slots were not used and maximum two allowed[/I]

62. Kirsten Flipkens (BEL1)
65. Danka Kovinic (MNE1)
66. Polona Hercog (SLO1)
67. Timea Babos (HUN1)
68. Marina Erakovic (NZL1)
69. Kiki Bertens (NED1)
70. Mariana Duque-Marino (COL1)
71. Julia Glushko (ISR1)
72. Michelle Larcher de Brito (POR1)
73. Hsieh Su-Wei (TPE1)
 
#47 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Really interesting who will be 6th in Russian Team. Maybe Kudryavtseva. And she with Pavs will play doubles. Oh.. Alla didn't play Fed Cup ties..
Or only 5 players. And Sveta with Nastia will play doubles.
 
#49 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Really interesting who will be 6th in Russian Team. Maybe Kudryavtseva. And she with Pavs will play doubles. Oh.. Alla didn't play Fed Cup ties..
Or only 5 players. And Sveta with Nastia will play doubles.
Possibly there will be plenty of Fed-cup action net year once Sharapova fufils her Olympic obligations :oh: It would be good to see Alla get to the Olympics. The doubles might be more likely to be Makarov and Vasnina though given Maria Svetlana and Pavs would be in the singles. I guess actually Alla would qualify as 6th Russian if her doubles ranking was high enough.
 
#51 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Why would Makarova even be allowed to play?
She hasn't done anything for Russian FC team.
She played a tie in 2013 and 2014 for Russia, all she need is another tie in 2015 or 2016.

Really interesting who will be 6th in Russian Team. Maybe Kudryavtseva. And she with Pavs will play doubles. Oh.. Alla didn't play Fed Cup ties..
Or only 5 players. And Sveta with Nastia will play doubles.
I don't think they will get an extra slot from ITF besides Vesnina, unless the Russians got top 10 and elected to add someone else not already qualified in signles. They will probably opt for Kuznetsova/Pavlyuchenkova pair to not kill Makarova/Vesnina pair.
 
#53 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Race - After Roma Projections ; Not yet begun

Singles - 64 Players

Code:
Host country representation:
[I]- provided there are none in the Top 60 in the discipline[/I]

57. Teliana Pereira (BRA1)
Code:
Active Grand Slam or Olympic winners in the Singles Top 200:
[I]- provided that the player's NOC does not max out 4 participating slots[/I]

[s]Serena Williams (USA1)[/s]
[s]Petra Kvitova (CZE1)[/s]
[s]Maria Sharapova (RUS1)[/s]
58. Victoria Azarenka (BLR1)
59. Samantha Stosur (AUS1)
[s]Francesca Schiavone (ITA6)[/s]
[s]Svetlana Kuznetsova (RUS3)[/s]
[s]Ana Ivanovic (SRB1)[/s]
[s]Venus Williams (USA2)[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is in the Top 300 for Regional Representation:
[I]- provided that the player is the first one on her NOC list[/I]

60. Africa - [s]Chanelle Scheepers (RSA1)[/s] RET. >> Ons Jabeur (TUN1)
[s]Asia[/s]
[s]Europe[/s]
61. Central America - Marcela Zacarias (MEX1) >> Ana Sofia Sanchez (MEX2)
[s]South America[/s]
[s]Oceania[/s]
Code:
Active players who is currently not in the Top 60 but is the first on her NOC list:
[I]- provided that other slots were not used and maximum two allowed[/I]

62. Alja Tomljanovic (CRO1)
65. Kirsten Flipkens (BEL1)
66. Polona Hercog (SLO1)
67. Marina Erakovic (NZL1)
68. Timea Babos (HUN1)
69. Danka Kovinic (MNE1)
70. Kiki Bertens (NED1)
71. Mariana Duque-Marino (COL1)
72. Julia Glushko (ISR1)
73. Michelle Larcher de Brito (POR1)
Doubles - 32 Teams

Code:
.
Potential Mixed - 16 Teams

Code:
.
 
#54 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Players can use their singles ranking to play doubles?
 
#56 ·
Re: Race to 2016 Rio Olympics

Players can use their singles ranking to play doubles?
Yes.

However, doubles top 10 get guaranteed entry if they have a ranked partner in the same country.
 
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