Join Date: Oct 2001
I think the Williams dominance is a clear sign of how improving the GS points changed the rankings. In former years, players got less than 800 points for winning Grand Slams, now they get 1.200 if doing great. Even quarterfinalists get appr. 100 more points compared to the past if beating quality players.
I think if you consider one of the players after them being solid over the year and doing damage at a Grand Slam and the sisters just collecting quarterfinal points f.e. puts them at 260 instead of 1.160 points and that´s definetly a difference. Imagine 260 for last 8 and 1.160 for winning the final. That´s a difference that led to the Williams being so high on top. They deserve that position due to their unbelievable success but as soon as 1 GS or the other goes to another player, rankings can change. Though I believe they´ll dominate the year again.
Regarding Jenn, I doubt you´re right in saying, she´ll drop dramatically. Playing Arabia, Indian Wells and Tokyo will help her improving her rankings before she has to defend anything. On clay, she´ll definetly be solid and regarding the two summer GS, I see no reason why she shouldn´t be ranked top8 as a seed. And facing top players like Dokic or Mauresmo then is just luck of the draw. Mauresmo f.e. should be top8 herself, so I don´t see anyone not within the top8 right now, apart from Davenport and Seles who can beat her WITH EASE. And I definetly DO believe she´s to win one or two titles and having a pretty solid year.
A player of her style is just too keen on showing which form she has in her to let 2 losses depress her. She wants to get back where she sees herself.
Personally, I think everybody wouldn´t see her as top4 at the moment with US/Belgium on top and maybe she wouldn´t beat Mauresmo either, but I do believe she belongs where she is now, top6, and that she can use 2003 to get it better.