OZ seeds are pretty much set (barring injury) - TennisForum.com
 
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post #1 of 5 (permalink) Old Dec 21st, 2002, 06:28 PM Thread Starter
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OZ seeds are pretty much set (barring injury)

Last year, Venus Williams gained 198 points for winning Gold Coast,
and she beat Henin in the process.
No top tenplayers are there this year.
So 200 points is about the max anyone can get there.
Aukland gives less. Soooooo...

The top eight are set. So it's no surprise none of them are playing.
Code:
pre wk2   End    wk 1
rk pnts = 2002 - 2002             
-- ---- - ---- - ---- -- ---------
01 6080 = 6080 - 0000 01 Serena
02 4942 = 5140 -  198 02 Venus

03 3796 = 3796 - 0000 03 Jenn
04 3557 = 3557 - 0000 04 Kim

05 31__ = 3218 -  ___ 05 JH2
06 2952 = 2952 - 0000 06 Seles
07 2668 = 2668 - 0000 07 Hantuchova
08 1908 = 1908 - 0000 08 Myskina

   (Schnyder can't catch Myskina.)
       
09 1795 = 1795 - 0000 12 Davenport             
10 1752 = 1752 - 0000 13 Rubin                  
11 1701 = 1701 - 0000 14 Maleeva             
12 1626 = 1644 - 0018 15 Schnyder     Gold Coast
                                              
   The gain in this for Patty is staying seeded 9-12.
   No Williams Sisters in the 4th round.  I think.
   But since Farina Elia, Stevenson and Dementieva
   are all not playing, Patty's seed was safe anyway.
   She'll have to win to get the #9 seed.
                                              
13 1596 = 1596 - 0000 17 Farina Elia            
14 1444 = 1444 - 0000 18 Stevenson           
15 1426 = 1426 - 0000 19 Dementieva              
16 1387 = 1616 - 0129 16 Pistolesi    Aukland
                                                 
   Being seeded #16 instead of #17 at OZ has value.
   Pistolesi needs to hold off Dechy. 
   Daniilidou has an outside chance at the #16 seed too.
                                              
17 1295 = 1295 - 0000 20 Dechy        Gold Coast              
18 1220 = 1220 - 0000 21 Coetzer                
19 1193 = 1193 - 0000 22 Daniilidou   Aukland              
20 1125 = 1173 - 0048 24 Sugiyama     Gold Coast 
21 1122 = 1152 - 0030 25 Kremer       Aukland
22 1137 = 1137 - 0000 26 Bovina       Gold Coast
23 1091 = 1091 - 0000 27 Suarez       Aukland
24 1079 = 1177 - 0098 23 Panova       Aukland         
                                                     
25 1056 = 1056 - 0000 28 Tanasugarn           
26 1049 = 1049 - 0000 29 Raymond                  
27 1026 = 1046 - 0020 30 Shaughnessy  Gold Coast
28 1012 = 1016 - 0004 31 Fernandez    Aukland          
29 1007 = 1007 - 0000 32 Majoli       Gold Coast
30  978 =  978 - 0000 33 Husarova     Aukland              
31  967 =  967 - 0000 34 Martinez     Aukland         
32  935 =  945 - 0000 36 Srebotnik    Aukland         
-- ---- - ---- - ---- -- -----------  ------------                                                          
Anyone within 200 points of Srebotnik has a 
mathematical chance of gaining an OZ seed.
-- ---- - ---- - ---- -- -----------  ------------                                                          
33  891 =  960 - 0069 35 Kournikova               
34  864 =  939 - 0075 37 Bedanova                 
35  851 =  871 - 0020 39 Frazier                   
36  860 =  860 - 0000 40 Schett       Gold Coast
37  847 =  847 - 0000 41 Schiavone    Gold Coast
38  819 =  843 - 0024 42 Likhovtseva  Aukland
39  818 =  818 - 0000 43 Kuznetsova           

NOTE: 25-32 may play 1-8 in the 3rd round.  
      If so, that explains why all but 3 of the 
      seeds 17-32 are playing.
      We won't know the ORDER of seeds 17-32 til 
      after Gold Coast/Aukland

QUESTION: Kournikova and Bedanova are both giving 
          up a shot at an OZ seed.  They may know
          about players who are on the verge of
          withdrawing though.  I notice that the 
          would-be OZ seeds 27-32 are all playing.

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post #2 of 5 (permalink) Old Dec 21st, 2002, 08:22 PM
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Thanx
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post #3 of 5 (permalink) Old Dec 21st, 2002, 09:44 PM
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the only way anna k gets seeded is if another player pulls out right?
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post #4 of 5 (permalink) Old Dec 21st, 2002, 10:17 PM
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or if anna defends her points\gains points by entering auckland or Gold Coast, but i don't think she can now, not even with a WC as they have been taken, i was told.

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post #5 of 5 (permalink) Old Dec 21st, 2002, 11:33 PM
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Anna still has a reasonable chance to get the 32nd seed. I would be surprised if injuries don't claim another top player. It seems like there are always a ton of injuries in the Australian events. Although I hope that doesn't happen, I wouldn't be shocked. Anna or any other player seeded 25-32 faces a potentially very tough 3rd round. Who knows, she might be better off without a seed? I just hope she shows up to the AO healthy and ready to go!
I'm very interested to see of any of the players that are currently seeded in the 25-32 range can play well enough to get into the 17-24 range- especially IVA and CONCHI! I'm not really sure if that's even mathematically possible, but I would love it!
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