#1 Scenarios for Australian Open - TennisForum.com

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post #1 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:05 PM Thread Starter
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#1 Scenarios for Australian Open

With OZ points off:

Serena: 9470.
Sharapova: 8645.
Azarenka: 8325.

Radwanska does not have a possibility of ascending to #1.

Azarenka:
- Must defend AND have Serena not make semifinals.
- OR Make final and have Serena lose in the third round or earlier along with Sharapova losing in semifinals or earlier.
- A semifinal loss will end her reign at #1.

Sharapova:
- Winning the championship with Serena losing in semifinals or earlier.
- Making final with Serena losing in quarterfinals or earlier and Azarenka losing in semifinals or earlier.
- Make semifinals and have Serena lose first round with Azarenka losing in semifinals or earlier.

Serena:
- Winning the championship, regardless of opponent.
- Making the final, regardless of opponent.
- Making semifinals and Sharapova does not win the championship.
- Making the quarterfinals with Sharapova losing in semifinals or earlier and Azarenka losing in final at best.

Bottom line? Very tough road for Azarenka to return to #1. Really between Maria and Serena.
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post #2 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:06 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Serena is so going to be #1
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post #3 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:07 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Pretty tough for Maria too tbh.
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post #4 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:07 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

In the hypothetical scenario of Vika beating Serena in the final, does she become the real number 1?
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post #5 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:08 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kotre View Post
In the hypothetical scenario of Vika beating Serena in the final, does she become the real number 1?
No
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post #6 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:09 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Funny how, after saying it's irrelevant most of the time, Willytards suddenly start caring about the #1 ranking when Serena nearly has it

Even IF Serena doesn't win the AO then she's pretty much guaranteed it for a period in the spring at the very least, seeing as she has little to defend until the claycourt season.

Last edited by dsanders06; Jan 5th, 2013 at 06:21 PM.
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post #7 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:11 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Quote:
Originally Posted by dsanders06 View Post
Funny how, after saying it's irrelevant most of the time, Willytards suddenly start caring about the #1 ranking when Serena nearly has it
She makes it legitimate because she's actually an elite player unlike every other mug who's held it since 2008.
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post #8 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:18 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

I hope it doesn't make preasure on Serena considering how she can be no1 again...Gosh just win this!

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post #9 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:18 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Sarin can have a long stay at the #1.

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post #10 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:23 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

shes bound to grab it, come IW, but if she loses to azarenka, itll make this an exciting year with a three headed race.

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post #11 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:26 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

If she wins(which I'm hoping this doesn't jinx! ) she'll be at over 11,000 points with virtually NOTHING from the French Open that's pretty shocking, and it means a win here, carrying her form through Miami and the clay season, and a solid result at the french means she might be able to set a new all-time points record right? IIRC only 2 women from the 2000s have had over 11,000 points using the current ranking system, Serena at some point in 2003, and Justine at the end of 2007.

XIX
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post #12 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:31 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Quote:
Originally Posted by JarkaFish View Post
She makes it legitimate because she's actually an elite player unlike every other mug who's held it since 2008.
10 points for Gryffindor!
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post #13 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:34 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Serena should take it, I was hoping that Maria could be N1 especially after the beginning that Vika had last year but with Serena's end of season it's not possible. Maybe after Wimbledon or sth.
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post #14 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:35 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

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Originally Posted by dsanders06 View Post
Funny how, after saying it's irrelevant most of the time, Willytards suddenly start caring about the #1 ranking when Serena nearly has it
But the question is: do we really care? The ranking WILL come, so that's no worry.
Most if not EVERY Serena-fan will tell you: it's all about the majors. At this stage of her career, it's about climbing the ladder.

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post #15 of 93 (permalink) Old Jan 5th, 2013, 06:40 PM
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Re: #1 Scenarios for Australian Open

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kotre View Post
In the hypothetical scenario of Vika beating Serena in the final, does she become the real number 1?
Am I the only one who sees the hilarity in this statement?

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