Re: How many USA women will make R3?
Obviously Mattek-Sands v. Stephens and McHale v. Davis matches guarantee at least two Americans in the third round. Add Serena because she should be a cinch for the third round. Actually Serena’s 2nd opponent is likely to be Jamie Hampton who should complete the 12-0 US first round sweep, and thus there must be the presence of at least three Americans in the 3rd round.
After that should there be one more American then there would have to be an upset at least on paper. Probably the best opportunity would be Varvara Lepchenko against JJ. We all know that JJ has stank the tennis courts of the WTA something awful for quite some time now and if this were a first round match I would pick Varvara. But this is a 2nd round match so that JJ has cleared the hurdle of the 1st rd blues and clearly she is the better player.
There are a lot of posters herein who like Venus chances against Radwanska but I think that is just wishful thinking. For Venus to win it would take a major upset but that then major upsets do occasionally occur in sports generally and in women’s tennis particularly.
I’ve seen Vania King play and she does have lots of ability and should prove to be a tough opponent for Cibulkova, but the latter is the more experienced and definitely the better player.
The other three Americans have no chance whatsoever. I’ve never seen Alexa Glatch play but I understand she is ranked 190th and she has equaled her best slams result. Melanie Oudin’s first round win was an upset considering her career since her remarkable run in the ’09 US Open and thus will present no challenge to Errani. I’ve seen Falconi play once; the ’12 US Open against Sabine Lisicki. She was trounced 6-0, 6-1 and the match was even more lopsided than such score would suggest. As Stosur is a better player than Lisicki, I would not be surprised that Irina does not even get to a game point on any of her service never mind seeing a break point. A double bagel loss is a good bet.
In conclusion, optimistically I can see four Americans in rd 3 (one of Venus or King or Varvara winning) but realistically it will only be three.