What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking... - TennisForum.com

 
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post #1 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 07:16 PM Thread Starter
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What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Right after the AO or sometime after that? Anyone know the calculations of what's the earliest she can lose it?
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post #2 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 07:18 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Serena sydney SF + AO title = 2200 points

safina has Sydney F + AO F = 1720 points

Not a big difference. And Serena is way more likely to defend those points

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post #3 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 07:21 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season.
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post #4 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 07:23 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

the other threat is Wozniacki who doesn't have much to defend at the beginning of the year

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post #5 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 07:30 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

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Originally Posted by Mikey. View Post
Yeah Serena can definitely lose it if she doesn't do well at AO, but Safina would have to match or better her results in the Australian Summer season.
don't get unrealistic, it's Safina

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post #6 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 10:16 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Safina will be lucky to make it to the 2nd week.
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post #7 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 11:25 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

If I'm not mistaken, if Serena loses early enough in Melbourne and Kuznetsova wins the whole thing, Kuznetsova would jump up to #1. If it's a 2000 point event, Serena could go down to the low 7000s, and Kuznetsova could jump to the low 8000s (points, not rankings ).

Update: So Kuznetsova is defending 620 points in January and Serena is defending 2200 points, which means Kuznetsova can make a 1380 point jump with an Aussie title and nothing else, where as Serena would drop 2198 points with a 1st round loss. Now, I don't see that happening, but it's a hypothetical, no?
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post #8 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 11:32 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Wozniacki is Serena's biggest threat, imo.
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post #9 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 11:44 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

I feel I may need to run on court and bash Woz's legs during the Aus Open.

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post #10 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 11:48 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

If Caroline win the australian open and serena loses in the first week, will caro get to number 1? I hope she wins it, because ana is hopeless at the moment

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post #11 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 8th, 2009, 11:51 PM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.
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post #12 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 9th, 2009, 12:49 AM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

I hope Sharapova becomes #1 soon.
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post #13 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 9th, 2009, 12:51 AM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Hey if Venus wins AO and Serena loses REALLY early in both then Venus will take over as #1. Esp if Venus plays an international and wins it. I can dream can't I?

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post #14 of 14 (permalink) Old Nov 9th, 2009, 12:53 AM
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Re: What the earliest Serena can lose #1 ranking...

Quote:
Originally Posted by nothingfails999 View Post
I think she's safe until Wimbledon - at the earliest.

Thank you for this epic fail clever contribution to this thread.
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